reports
- Malaysia Research Team
Telecommunications - TM Leads Peers On The Path To Full Compliance Of ...
TM Leads Peers On The Path To Full Compliance Of Bursa Malaysia’s NSRF Highlights Malaysian telcos appear to be well-equipped to meet Bursa Malaysia’s sustainability reporting requirements, progressively aligning disclosures with Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) pillars and the NSRF. In addition, our ESG scoring suggests that TM and Maxis are ahead of their peers when it comes to ESG undertakings. The sector trades at 8x EV/EBITDA, +2SD above mean. Maintain MARKET...
- Chong Lee Len
- Ejann Hiew
- Jonathan Koh
- Lester Siew
- Malaysia Research Team
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, September 24, 2025
Greater China Company Update | Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$23.53/Target: US$26.80) Miniso’s qtd business performance was in line with management’s expectations. Domestically, it has 12 Miniso Land stores, with a payback period of 3-4 months. Overseas, adjustments were implemented in the US market following the appointment of the new CEO, who has over 15 years of experience in local retailing. On proprietary IP strategy, Yoyo’s sales are expected to exceed Rmb100m in 2026. Management expects propr...
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
MLK MALAKOFF CORP BHD
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
PEP PPB GROUP BERHAD
GMB GAS MALAYSIA BHD
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
CDB CELCOMDIGI BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
SAMAIDEN SAMAIDEN GROUP BHD
SVS SOLARVEST BIOENERGY INC
- Chris Hoare
Malaysian Telcos Q2 25 review: Still pressured by Prepaid but reitera...
Service revenue improved to almost flat (-0.3% YoY from -1.1%), supported by Fibre growth and Postpaid growth offsetting Prepaid weakness. Operationally, Maxis delivered stronger EBITDA growth on cost efficiencies while CelcomDigi was weighed by higher bad debt provisions. Both reiterated their LSD service revenue guidance, implying a stronger second half.
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - 2Q25: Results In Line; Continued Pre-To-Postpaid ...
2Q25: Results In Line; Continued Pre-To-Postpaid Migration Broadly, 2Q25 sector earnings came in within expectations, except for Axiata and CelcomDigi. After the 2Q25 results announcement, we cut our earnings forecasts by 6%. The quarter was characterised by: a) 2% qoq service revenue growth, b) cost discipline, c) encouraging enterprise business pipeline, and d) robust demand for fibre. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; catalysts include Axiata’s infrastructure asset monetisation and CelcomDigi’s synergi...
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, September 11, 2025
Greater China Economics | Inflation China’s August CPI returned to deflation at -0.4% yoy (-0.4ppt), below consensus, led by a sharper fall in food prices (-4.3% yoy) which includes a 16.1% yoy drop in pork prices. In contrast, core CPI rose to a ytd high of 0.9% (+0.1ppt), underpinned by services inflation. PPI deflation eased to -2.9% yoy (+0.7ppt), reflecting upstream stabilisation in mining and raw materials. The CPI-PPI divergence underscores fragile consumer demand. Broader policy supp...
- Chris Hoare
Axiata (Buy, RM 4.5, +74%) Q2 25 Quick Take: On track
Axiata saw an all-around improvement as constant currency EBITDA inflected to growth and underlying EBIT accelerated. YTD EBIT performance (+8.4%) is tracking well against its high-single digit guidance. Leverage is also falling closer to its 2.5x target, aided by the cash proceeds received from the XLSmart merger.
- Chong Lee Len
Maxis (MAXIS MK) - 2Q25: In Line; Cost Discipline Driving Underlying P...
2Q25: In Line; Cost Discipline Driving Underlying Profits Maxis registered robust 2Q25 net profit of RM398m (+11.8% yoy; +7.3% qoq). This brings 1H25 net profit to RM769m – a commendable 9% yoy growth. We deem the results to be in line with expectations, with 1H25 net profit making up 51% and 52% of house and street estimates. Earnings were largely driven by stable topline and good cost discipline. Maxis declared a second interim net DPS of 4 sen/share (79% payout). Maintain BUY with a DCF-based...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Colin Lee
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Wei Xiang Ku
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 22, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth turns positive on price cuts. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$43.72/Target: HK$57.70): 1H25: Margins miss due to transition period; meaningful recovery in 2H25. Maintain BUY. AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/HK$73.45/Target: HK$91.00): 1H25: In-line VONB growth; strong OPAT beat. EVE Energy (300014 HK/HOLD/ Rmb48.07/Target: Rmb50.00): 2Q25: Earnings miss due to lowe...
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
A2XN AAC TECHNOLOGIES HOLDINGS INC.
VST HOLDINGS LTD.
SATS SP SATS LTD.
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
9896 MINISO GROUP HOLDING LTD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - Additional RM600m Of Shareholder Advance Invested...
Additional RM600m Of Shareholder Advance Invested Into DNB In a Bursa Malaysia announcement, both CelcomDigi and Maxis announced that they have each contributed an additional shareholder advance of RM116,666,667 on 15 Aug 25 at the request of Digital Nasional (DNB). Concurrently, YTL Power International (YTL) and MOF Inc. also injected RM116,666,667 and RM250,202,928 respectively into the additional shareholder advance exercise, bringing the total to RM600,202,929. Of the total RM600m additional...
- Chris Hoare
Malaysian Telcos Q1 25 review: Weaker service revenue impacted by pre...
Service revenue trends deteriorated in Q1, impacted by one-offs and ongoing prepaid competition. On an underlying basis, both CelcomDigi and Maxis were stable YoY. Still, EBITDA managed to inflect to positive territory (although barely). Both remained confident in delivering low-single digit service revenue growth in 2025 as they build up their Enterprise segments.
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - 1Q25 Results Largely In Line; Mobile Competition ...
1Q25 Results Largely In Line; Mobile Competition Remains Intense 1Q25 sector earnings rose 5% qoq but fell 3% yoy driven by stable postpaid revenue, robust enterprise revenue and good cost control. Prepaid earnings were adversely impacted by intense unlimited data offerings. Broadly, earnings came in within expectations except for Axiata. After the results, we trim sector earnings by 7%. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; catalysts include Axiata’s monetisation of EDOTCO and CelcomDigi’s synergistic saving...
- Chong Lee Len
Maxis (MAXIS MK) - 1Q25: Strong Results On Good Cost Discipline And En...
1Q25: Strong Results On Good Cost Discipline And Enterprise Segment Growth 1Q25 net profit rose 16% qoq to RM371m (+5% yoy), making up 25% of house and street estimates. The sequential growth was driven by cost discipline, enterprise business growth and lower finance charges. Postpaid revenue was stable yoy on the back of continuous pre-to-postpaid migration. Prepaid competition remained intense into the quarter. Maxis declared its first interim net DPS of 4 sen/share (84% payout). BUY on weakne...
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, May 19, 2025
GREATER CHINA Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb19.22/Target: Rmb25.30) 2Q25 guidance in line; GB200/GB300 smooth production ramp as the key driver for 2025-26. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy JCI rallies from global tailwinds Market rebound gains momentum amid global tailwinds and rate cut hopes. MALAYSIA Results Maxis (MAXIS MK/BUY/RM3.76/Target: RM4.20) 1Q25: Strong set of results; earnings d...
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PLANB PLAN B MEDIA
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
- Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Chong Lee Len
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kong Ho Meng
- Lester Siew
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, May 14, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$137.00/Target: HK$185.00): 1Q25: Strong earnings beat; intact 2025 outlook; vague visibility on food delivery. JD Logistics, Inc (2618 HK/BUY/HK$12.24/Target: HK$22.00): 2024: Results broadly in line; revenue growth to accelerate in 2025. Maintain BUY. Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$54.50/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Solid earnings beat; encouraging margin outlook in 2025. INDONESIA Update Trimegah Bangun Persada (NCKL IJ/BUY/Rp670/Tar...
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SE SEA ADS
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
CPALL TB CP ALL
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
- Chong Lee Len
Maxis (MAXIS MK) - Cost Discipline And Core Business Focus To Drive Ea...
Cost Discipline And Core Business Focus To Drive Earnings We expect Maxis to book a sequentially stronger 1Q25 core net profit of RM330m- 350m. Key drivers include: a) continuation of pre-to-postpaid customer migration, b) bundling of home fibre and other connectivity products to lower the churn rate, and c) stronger growth in the enterprise segment. Margins are expected to be partly dampened by a higher 5G access fee in 2025. Maxis trades at 9x 2025F EV/EBITDA and offers a 4.7% dividend yield. ...
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - A Defensive Bet; Rational Competition In The Near...
A Defensive Bet; Rational Competition In The Near Term In a risk-off environment, the sector has outperformed the FBMKLCI by 8% ytd. Our recent channel checks suggest competition is rational and telcos are likely to focus on profitability and cash flow. We expect an above-market dividend yield of 5% while sector earnings are expected to grow 4% and 6% in 2025 and 2026 respectively. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT as we watch for pockets of catalysts including monetisation of edotco by Axiata and CelcomDi...
- Chris Hoare
Malaysian Telcos Q4 24 review: Soft Q4; guidance suggests recovery on...
4Q24 service revenue trend remained soft off prepaid weakness, partly offset by Fibre and Enterprise momentum which enabled Maxis to grow faster than CelcomDigi. Industry EBITDA was weaker off a higher comparable base, but guidance suggests a recovery in 2025 in particular for CelcomDigi.
- Chris Hoare
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - 2024: Earnings Within Expectations; Higher-than-e...
2024: Earnings Within Expectations; Higher-than-expected Dividends 2024 earnings rose 9% yoy on Axiata’s better-than-expected earnings. In addition, TIME continued to deliver a high single-digit earnings growth and special dividend. Amid balance sheet optimisation and robust cash flow, TIME, TM and Maxis declared higher dividends in 2024. Key events in 1H25 include the rollout of the 5G network by U Mobile and resolution of DNB’s shareholding. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Our top picks are Axiata, Ce...
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Paula Ruth
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, March 10, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures intensify as CPI turns negative. Trade A weaker start for 2025. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights WIR Asia (WIRG IJ/NOT RATED/Rp116) Digital reality tech company with AI features; 9M24 NPAT up 18% yoy. MALAYSIA Sector T...
AMATA AMATA CORP
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
688536 3PEAK INCORPORATED
CDB CELCOMDIGI BHD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
WIRG IJ WIR ASIA
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