3Q24: Strong Results; EBITDA Guidance Maintained Maxis reported strong 3Q24 results, with net profit surging 28% yoy. This was due to higher service revenue and a one-off manpower rationalisation cost in 3Q23. Maxis declared a third interim DPS of 4 sen/share (86% payout) and maintained its EBITDA guidance of a low single-digit growth for 2024. The upcoming 4Q24 results are expected to be sequentially weaker given higher device costs and subsidies with the launch of iPhone 16. Maintain BUY with ...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: Deflationary pressure persists, particularly for upstream pricing. Results ECARX (ECX US/BUY/US$1.84/Target: US$3.40): 3Q24: Revenue beat despite price competition. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp438/Target: Rp480): Unclear outlook for 2025; regulatory risk to key brand products. Downgrade to HOLD. MALAYSIA Results 99 Speed Mart Retail (99SMART MK/BUY/RM2.32/Target: RM2.60): 3Q24: Delivers on earnings as it is on the cusp of ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. Sector Aviation – China Airlines: 3Q24 earnings a slight miss; expect losses in seasonally weak 4Q24. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Macau Gaming Oct 24 GGR up 7% yoy and...
A Surprise Award Of Second 5G Network To U Mobile The second 5G network award to U Mobile comes as a surprise and we expect this to have an overhang on Maxis and CelcomDigi as both heavyweights weigh their options moving forward. We note that U Mobile has invited CelcomDigi and TM to participate in the rollout of its second network. Potential winners are telco contractors such as edotco, OCK, EdgePoint Towers and Naza Communications. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. The sector currently trades at 6.2x 12...
2Q24: In Line; Transition To Dual Wholesale Network For 5G By Year-end 2Q24 results came in within expectations, with sector earnings contracting 5% yoy and 2% qoq. The quarter was characterised by: a) 2% yoy service revenue growth, with Maxis achieving 5% yoy growth; and b) strong underlying demand for home broadband amid price competition. Following the results, we project sector earnings to grow 3%. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Our top picks are CelcomDigi, Maxis and TIME dotCom. We expect the sec...
GREATER CHINA Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$16.46/Target: HK$19.50) 1H24: Below expectations; exploring opportunities in overseas markets. CR Mixc (1209 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target: HK$33.70) 1H24: Results in line with surprise from special dividend. Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK/BUY/HK$12.34/Target: HK$19.60) 1H24: Core net profit up 13% yoy. Accelerated store opening pace in 2H24; dividend payout expected to remain at reasonable leve...
2Q24: Another Strong Quarter; Lifts EBITDA Guidance Maxis registered a sequentially higher net profit in 2Q24 on the back of cost discipline. This was partly offset by seasonally lower device sales. 2Q24 normalised EBITDA margin expanded to 40.4% (+0.3ppt qoq) on the back of higher postpaid, fibre and enterprise revenues, as well as cost discipline. Maxis declared a second interim DPS of 4 sen/share (88% payout) as management lifts 2024 EBITDA guidance. Maintain BUY with a DCF-based target price...
GREATER CHINA Results Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$3.54/Target: HK$4.92): 1H24: Stronger 2H24, expect restocking into 1H25. CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/SELL/HK$5.68/Target: HK$5.00): 1H24: Results miss; major products face considerable price pressure. Downgrade to SELL. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$7.88/Target: HK$13.00): 1H24: Core earnings up 108% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$13.00. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$228.60/Target: HK$30...
Transition To Dual Wholesale Network For 5G By End-24 Telcos have been invited by the government to submit proposals to develop Malaysia’s second 5G network. The government also said that telcos are restricted to holding equity only in one entity. As such, consortiums forming entity B (second network) will sell their share in DNB. The government will also exit DNB. We expect the government to announce a second network by end-24. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top picks are TIME and MAXIS.
Positive Earnings Momentum Driven By Core Consumer Business Maxis will focus on its pillars of strength − mobile, fibre and enterprise − to drive nearterm earnings. A well-executed pre-to-postpaid migration strategy can lift service revenue by 20% and lower customer churn. Together with fixed-mobile convergence and good cost discipline, we expect positive earnings momentum in the near term. Maxis will submit a business plan for the second 5G network, as Malaysia transitions to a dual-wholesale n...
GREATER CHINA Results Bosideng (3998 HK/NOT RATED/HK$4.56): FY24: Earnings beat; healthy inventory; targets revenue to exceed Rmb30b by FY25/26. INDONESIA Strategy Investors Feedback To 2H24 Strategy: Our top picks are BBRI, BBNI, BMRI, BBTN, BSDE, CTRA, BUKA, CMRY, ACES and JSMR. We have an end-24 target of 7,800 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Results Sapura Energy (SAPE MK/HOLD/RM0.04/Target: RM0.06): 1QFY24: Core loss expected due to weak rig EBITDA, though this is temporary. SAPE made progress in c...
1Q24: Results In Line; Transition To Dual Wholesale Network For 5G In 2H24 1Q24 results were within expectations with earnings growth of 14% yoy on the back of a 2% service revenue growth, higher wholesale income (as TM and TIME benefit from burgeoning data centre build-ups) and good cost discipline. We expect the sector to transition to a dual wholesale network by 21 June. Key events to look out for in 2H24 include: a) fixed-line price competition, and b) synergistic savings from CelcomDigi. Ma...
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential spending, and lower-tier cities lead growth. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp4,300/Target: Rp4,300) Issuance of new shares to complete the divestment process. MALAYSIA Sector Telecommunications 1Q24 earnings up 14% yoy on the back ...
1Q24: Strong Set Of Results; Postpaid And Enterprise Fuel Growth Maxis’ 1Q24 net profit rose 10% yoy to RM353m (-2% qoq) – with revenue growth accelerating ahead of management’s 2024 guidance. The yoy growth was thanks to positive flow-through from Maxis’ pre-to-postpaid strategy, higher enterprise revenue and cost discipline. Maxis declared a first interim DPS of 4 sen/share (89% payout). Its roadmap for a 5.5G rollout is the key event to look out for in the next 12 months. Maintain BUY with a ...
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity April data reflects uneven progress. Sector Property The central government announced a solid policy combo to revive buyers’ sentiment, marking a positive action to mitigate the property industry’s risks. INDONESIA Results Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ/SELL/Rp24,075/Target: Rp21,500) 1...
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