reports
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - MOF Inc Set To Exit DNB; DNB’s Operating Losses T...
MOF Inc Set To Exit DNB; DNB’s Operating Losses To Pressure Shareholders’ Bottom Line Highlights MOF Inc has exercised its put options in relation to its existing 41.67% stake in DNB, requiring CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power International (YTL Power) to each fork out RM327.9m to honour the shareholders’ agreement. We expect DNB to operate at a loss (2025 estimated loss is RM1b) in the near term. Our sensitivity analysis suggests -10% and -12% impact to 2026 earnings forecasts for CelcomDigi...
- Chong Lee Len
- Greater China Research Team
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Johnny Yum
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Kong Ho Meng
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, December 04, 2025
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut improved sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jacobson,...
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
ENRG ENERGI MEGA PERSADA
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
DLUM DELEUM BERHAD
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
09999 NETEASE INC
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
WDH WATERDROP INC
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
CDB CELCOMDIGI BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
DEWA IJ DARMA HENWA (DEWA IJ)
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - MOF Exercises Put Options For Its 41.67% Stake In...
MOF Exercises Put Options For Its 41.67% Stake In DNB Highlights In a recent Bursa announcement by CelcomDigi and Maxis, the Ministry of Finance (MOF) has exercised its put options in relations to its existing 41.67% stake in Digital Nasional Bhd (DNB). The put option notice requires the three investor shareholders, CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power International to purchase the ordinary shares in DNB owned by MOF and take over the MOF loan together with accrued interest. The trio is required ...
- Chong Lee Len
CelcomDigi (CDB MK) - 3Q25: Below Expectations; Margin Compression To ...
3Q25: Below Expectations; Margin Compression To Persist Highlights CelcomDigi reported a 3Q25 core net profit of RM400m (-7% qoq; -8% yoy), excluding a one-off bad debt provision expense and device rebate reversal. This brings 9M25 core net profit to RM1,262m, accounting for 70% and 73% of our and consensus full-year estimates respectively. We deem the results below expectations. We cut our 2025-27 earnings estimates by 3-6% on the back of higher depreciation charges, bad debt charges and hi...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Joyce Chu
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Ken Lee
- Philip Wong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, November 18, 2025
Greater China Company Results | Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$17.20/Target: HK$42.00 Geely’s 3Q25 results meet expectations with GAAP net profit/core net profit growing 58%/19% yoy and 6%/24% qoq to Rmb3.82b/Rmb3.96b respectively. Earnings growth will be driven by a strong product cycle, optimisation of sales mix, penetration into overseas markets, and consolidation of its brand portfolios. We maintain our 2025-27 earnings estimates. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$42.00 pegged...
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
CENTEL CENTRAL PLAZA HOTEL
YUMC YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC.
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CDB CELCOMDIGI BHD
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
09868 XPENG INC
99SMART 99 SPEED MART RETAIL HOLDINGS BHD
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - Capitalising On Enterprise Segment Amid Saturated...
Capitalising On Enterprise Segment Amid Saturated Mobile Landscape Highlights The enterprise segment is expected to drive revenue expansion among telco players as the saturated mobile market experiences a muted subscriber and ARPU outlook. In the recent Budget 2026, the government is allocating up to RM780m to expand fibre coverage to more than 2,700 locations under JENDELA 2. This will benefit telco infrastructure players and MNOs. The sector trades at 8x EV/EBITDA, +2SD above the mean. M...
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Sunny Chen
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, October 16, 2025
Greater China Economics | Inflation September’s CPI inflation improved slightly to -0.3% yoy (+0.1ppt), with core CPI reaching a ytd high of 1.0% yoy. However, food prices remained weak (-4.4% yoy), led by a 17% yoy fall in pork prices. PPI deflation eased to -2.3% yoy (+0.6ppt), with broad recovery in mining and quarrying and raw metal materials. Looking ahead, look out for improvement in consumer goods PPI inflation, which should be indicative of a sustainable improvement in pricing power....
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00241 ALIBABA HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BH BUMRUNGRAD HOSPITAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
AXIATA HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LTD SPONSORED ADR
MAXIS AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
T MAXIS BHD
3933 TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
2877 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
HCM CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
01801 HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
1833 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
300760 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
603882 SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
AWC GUANGZHOU KINGMED DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
1093 ASSET WORLD CORP PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
TDC CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
603259 TIME DOTCOM BHD
2269 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS A
3692 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
06160 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
300765 BEIGENE LTD.
CDB WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
8AZ CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
BTG CELCOMDIGI BHD
300244 AZTECH GLOBAL LTD
DKFT IJ BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ONC@US@ DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
CENTRAL OMEGA RESOURCES
BEONE MEDICINE INC
- Malaysia Research Team
Telecommunications - TM Leads Peers On The Path To Full Compliance Of ...
TM Leads Peers On The Path To Full Compliance Of Bursa Malaysia’s NSRF Highlights Malaysian telcos appear to be well-equipped to meet Bursa Malaysia’s sustainability reporting requirements, progressively aligning disclosures with Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) pillars and the NSRF. In addition, our ESG scoring suggests that TM and Maxis are ahead of their peers when it comes to ESG undertakings. The sector trades at 8x EV/EBITDA, +2SD above mean. Maintain MARKET...
- Chong Lee Len
- Ejann Hiew
- Jonathan Koh
- Lester Siew
- Malaysia Research Team
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, September 24, 2025
Greater China Company Update | Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$23.53/Target: US$26.80) Miniso’s qtd business performance was in line with management’s expectations. Domestically, it has 12 Miniso Land stores, with a payback period of 3-4 months. Overseas, adjustments were implemented in the US market following the appointment of the new CEO, who has over 15 years of experience in local retailing. On proprietary IP strategy, Yoyo’s sales are expected to exceed Rmb100m in 2026. Management expects propr...
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
MLK MALAKOFF CORP BHD
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
PEP PPB GROUP BERHAD
GMB GAS MALAYSIA BHD
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
CDB CELCOMDIGI BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
SAMAIDEN SAMAIDEN GROUP BHD
SVS SOLARVEST BIOENERGY INC
- Chris Hoare
Malaysian Telcos Q2 25 review: Still pressured by Prepaid but reitera...
Service revenue improved to almost flat (-0.3% YoY from -1.1%), supported by Fibre growth and Postpaid growth offsetting Prepaid weakness. Operationally, Maxis delivered stronger EBITDA growth on cost efficiencies while CelcomDigi was weighed by higher bad debt provisions. Both reiterated their LSD service revenue guidance, implying a stronger second half.
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - 2Q25: Results In Line; Continued Pre-To-Postpaid ...
2Q25: Results In Line; Continued Pre-To-Postpaid Migration Broadly, 2Q25 sector earnings came in within expectations, except for Axiata and CelcomDigi. After the 2Q25 results announcement, we cut our earnings forecasts by 6%. The quarter was characterised by: a) 2% qoq service revenue growth, b) cost discipline, c) encouraging enterprise business pipeline, and d) robust demand for fibre. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; catalysts include Axiata’s infrastructure asset monetisation and CelcomDigi’s synergi...
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, September 11, 2025
Greater China Economics | Inflation China’s August CPI returned to deflation at -0.4% yoy (-0.4ppt), below consensus, led by a sharper fall in food prices (-4.3% yoy) which includes a 16.1% yoy drop in pork prices. In contrast, core CPI rose to a ytd high of 0.9% (+0.1ppt), underpinned by services inflation. PPI deflation eased to -2.9% yoy (+0.7ppt), reflecting upstream stabilisation in mining and raw materials. The CPI-PPI divergence underscores fragile consumer demand. Broader policy supp...
- Chris Hoare
Axiata (Buy, RM 4.5, +74%) Q2 25 Quick Take: On track
Axiata saw an all-around improvement as constant currency EBITDA inflected to growth and underlying EBIT accelerated. YTD EBIT performance (+8.4%) is tracking well against its high-single digit guidance. Leverage is also falling closer to its 2.5x target, aided by the cash proceeds received from the XLSmart merger.
- Chong Lee Len
CelcomDigi (CDB MK) - 2Q25: Slightly Below Expectations; On Track to A...
2Q25: Slightly Below Expectations; On Track to Achieve FY25 Guidance CelcomDigi reported 2Q25 core net profit of RM439m (+7% yoy; +2% qoq), attributed to solid contributions from the enterprise and home and fibre segments, coupled with operating cost savings. However, this came in slightly below our expectations on the back of weak prepaid revenue contributions and elevated provisions for doubtful debts. We trim 2025 net profit forecasts by 5%. Maintain BUY with a DCF-based target price of RM4.3...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, August 19, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: Keeping an eye on JBM Healthcare’s upcoming marketing campaigns in 2H25. Results China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.92/Target: HK$2.30): 1H25: In line; cement margins rebound, concrete delivers growth. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$37.06/Target: HK$50.00): 1H25: Results beat; increases revenue growth guidance to high double-digit. Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK/BUY/HK$7.91/Target: HK$10.50): 1H25: R...
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - Additional RM600m Of Shareholder Advance Invested...
Additional RM600m Of Shareholder Advance Invested Into DNB In a Bursa Malaysia announcement, both CelcomDigi and Maxis announced that they have each contributed an additional shareholder advance of RM116,666,667 on 15 Aug 25 at the request of Digital Nasional (DNB). Concurrently, YTL Power International (YTL) and MOF Inc. also injected RM116,666,667 and RM250,202,928 respectively into the additional shareholder advance exercise, bringing the total to RM600,202,929. Of the total RM600m additional...
- Chris Hoare
Malaysian Telcos Q1 25 review: Weaker service revenue impacted by pre...
Service revenue trends deteriorated in Q1, impacted by one-offs and ongoing prepaid competition. On an underlying basis, both CelcomDigi and Maxis were stable YoY. Still, EBITDA managed to inflect to positive territory (although barely). Both remained confident in delivering low-single digit service revenue growth in 2025 as they build up their Enterprise segments.
- Chong Lee Len
Telecommunications - 1Q25 Results Largely In Line; Mobile Competition ...
1Q25 Results Largely In Line; Mobile Competition Remains Intense 1Q25 sector earnings rose 5% qoq but fell 3% yoy driven by stable postpaid revenue, robust enterprise revenue and good cost control. Prepaid earnings were adversely impacted by intense unlimited data offerings. Broadly, earnings came in within expectations except for Axiata. After the results, we trim sector earnings by 7%. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; catalysts include Axiata’s monetisation of EDOTCO and CelcomDigi’s synergistic saving...
- Chong Lee Len
CelcomDigi (CDB MK) - 1Q25: Within Expectations; Focus On Integration ...
1Q25: Within Expectations; Focus On Integration Efforts For The Year CelcomDigi’s 1Q25 net profit rose 141% qoq and 5% yoy to RM388m. This included costs related to changes in the operating model, inventory and equipment asset adjustments in 1Q25 and accelerated depreciation in 4Q24. Stripping these out, 1Q25 core net profit came in at RM430m (+6% qoq; -10% yoy), in line with expectations. The group maintains its 2025 guidance of low-to-mid single-digit EBIT growth. BUY on weakness with a DCF-ba...
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