We upgrade Triglav to Outperform and see an upside potential of c. 25% to our new TP of € 62. Our updated model assumptions reflect the 2025-2030 strategy, with increase in EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 of 7.4% and 6.8%. We think the 2025 guidance has upside potential and expect an upgrade with H1 results in August. Finally, despite the improved fundamentals, the stock is trading at an unjustified discount to peers.
Three Directors at Zavarovalnica Triglav D.D bought 1,017 shares at between 38.900EUR and 39.000EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's direct...
Telekom Slovenije: On 31 January 2019 Telekom Slovenije concluded the sale of its 100% stake in Blicnet, Banja Luka. Telekom will announce the total value of the purchase fee after determining the adjustment figures, while it is known that the purchase fee significantly exceeds the book value of the investment. Remember, Telekom Slovenije and Telekomunikacije Republike Srpske, Banja Luka, signed the agreement on the sale of the 100% stake in Blicnet on 2 October 2018. The sale of Blicnet is in ...
Luka Koper: According to the President of the Management Board of Luka Koper, Dimitrij Zadel, the company needs a second tier between DivaÄa and Koper, and in addition, a lot of investments have already begun so that they can follow the growth of cargo. This week the government confirmed the investment program for the second tier, the construction of which is estimated at EUR 1.2bn. The project is supposed to be paid by user charges. Namely, since January, the state has already started to c...
Bank of Slovenia - Developments in the banking sector:Year-on-year growth in the balance sheet total slowed to 1.9% in November 2018 with total assets reaching EUR 38.5bn. Loans to the non-banking sector grew by 6.1% YoY. Growth in deposits by the non-banking sector stood at 5% in November, and is continuing to outpace growth in the balance sheet total. The NPE ratio declined to 4.2% in November, equivalent to NPEs of EUR 1.8 billion, while the NPL ratio declined to 6.0%.The banks generated a pr...
Luka Koper:Luka Koper published the information about the maritime throughput and revenues in 2018. In 4Q18 Luka Koper handled 6.4 MT of cargo, a 12.7% YoY increase. Bulk and break bulk cargos increased by 22.3%, liquid cargos by 17.2%, container freight by 8.1% and general cargos by 6.9%. Number of TEUs increased by 9.7% YoY in 4Q and reached 988.5k for the entire year. So far, trade wars and slowing global economy had no impact on TEU handling. The only weak spot in 4Q was vehicles handlings w...
This week was marked by publications of the business plans for 2019 and estimatedbusiness performance for 2018. Among them were Luka Koper, Zavarovalnica, Triglav,Mercator, Unior and Salus. More details on page 2.Luka Koper:Results for 2018 will be mainly in line with our expectations, while 2019 projectionsare below our estimates. EBITDA is therefore 5% below our plans, EBIT 7% and netincome 10% below our plans. Margins in 2019 will therefore fall to 5-year low. Afterattaining all the necessary...
NLB 9M18:NLB also reported its 9M18 results with net interest income of EUR 231.9m, up by 1.4% YoY. Net interest margin is at 2.5%, ranging from Serbian branch 5.1% to Slovenian operations of 1.9%. Non-interest income increased to EUR 120m or by 4.1% YoY in the period.Cost-income ratio stands at 57.0%. EBT amounted to EUR 181.7m with profit at EUR 158.3m. This represents a decrease of 8.5% and 13.9% YoY respectively.3Q18 brought net interest income of EUR 125.9m with profit after tax of EUR 53.5...
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