Strategy | Alpha Picks: Another Outperformance In October In Oct 25, our portfolio outperformed the JCI by 11.1%. All of our stock picks saw positive gains, with ASSA seeing the most at +26.8%. Events to look out are the MSCI rebalancing announcement on 5 November, and BI’s rate decision on 19 Nov 25. We maintain exposure to gold and US dollar earners, and add JPFA for its solid 2H25 growth. Our Alpha Picks: AADI, ASSA, ADRO, ARCI ENRG, JPFA and MDKA. Highlights • Our stock portfolio outperfo...
Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...
Strategy | Alpha Picks: Another Outperformance In October In Oct 25, our portfolio outperformed the JCI by 11.1%. All of our stock picks saw positive gains, with ASSA seeing the most at +26.8%. Events to look out are the MSCI rebalancing announcement on 5 November, and BI’s rate decision on 19 Nov 25. We maintain exposure to gold and US dollar earners, and add JPFA for its solid 2H25 growth. Our Alpha Picks: AADI, ASSA, ADRO, ARCI ENRG, JPFA and MDKA. Company Results | GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (G...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s EV sales surged 25% wow in the 39th week of 2025 but slowed to 10.5% yoy amid a high base and anti-involution efforts. Geely and XPeng outperformed, while BYD and Li Auto saw yoy sales declines. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector, with top BUYs on CATL and Geely; we downgrade Ganfeng Lithium from BUY to HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$40.00, as the stock price has hit our target. Indonesia Economics | Indonesia’s Trade Balance Hits Mu...
Highlights • Our stock portfolio outperformed the JCI by 15.65% in Sep 25. • We drop BBCA, BBNI and BRMS, and add US dollar earners (MDKA & ADRO). AMRT is included for its strong 2H25 momentum. • Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, ARCI, ADRO, AMRT, MDKA, HRUM and NCKL.
Economics | Indonesia’s Trade Balance Hits Multi-Year High On Import Weakness Indonesia's Aug 25 trade surplus surged to a multi-year high of US$5.49b, primarily driven by a decline in imports due to weak domestic demand. Exports saw only a marginal growth, narrowly supported by China, which offset global softness. The outlook remains challenging, with exports facing headwinds from global economic deceleration, rising protectionism, waning front-loading effects and weak commodity prices, while a...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile This week's key highlights include insights from a China Automobile Dealer Association forum and a visit to Lynk & Co's Chengdu plant, China's historic L3 ADAS policy approval, and weekly sales updates. The market responded positively to these developments, prompting target price upgrades for Tuopu, Sanhua, Joyson Electronics and Fuyao Glass. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT for China's auto sector, with Geely and CATL as top BUYs, and BYD and Li Auto as top SELLs...
Highlights • We expect 2026 net profit to grow 19% yoy to US$426m, supported by stable metallurgical coal prices, a higher sales volume, the start of its aluminium project, and a stronger BPI contribution after the 2025 maintenance. • The aluminium smelter (KAI, 55% stake via ADMR) will start commercial operations in 2026, adding US$17.2m to net profit at 75% utilisation, making ADRO/ADMR Indonesia’s only aluminium proxies. • Renewable projects (Batam 2GWp Solar PV + BESS, US$3b; Mentarang hydro...
Company Update | Alamtri Resources Indonesia (ADRO IJ/BUY/Rp1,640/Target: Rp2,170) We expect 2026 net profit to rise 19% yoy to US$426m, supported by stable metallurgical coal prices, higher sales volume, the commercial start of its aluminium smelter (KAI, 55% via ADMR) adding US$17.2m, and a stronger BPI contribution after the 2025 maintenance, while renewable projects (Batam Solar + BESS, Mentarang hydro) remain key catalysts pending approval and execution. Upgrade to BUY with a lower target p...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Review of the mainland and Hong Kong property markets in 2024. INDONESIA Update Alamtri Resources Indonesia (ADRO IJ/HOLD/Rp2,380/Target: Rp2,600): Transition into sustainability. MALAYSIA Results Tenaga Nasional (TNB MK/HOLD/RM14.58/Target: RM13.20): TNB is set to benefit from a healthy Regulatory Period 4 regime. SINGAPORE Update CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.425/Target: S$0.59): Good buying opportunity as company scales up in the US. THAIL...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: We remain hedged, adding COSCO Shipping Holdings and Foxconn Industrial Internet to our BUY list, but include additional SELL calls on Li Auto and Xpeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in Jan 24: Our picks are EXCL, MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Eyes Also On Results Season Winners: Our Alpha Picks performance again trounced the KLCI in Jan 24 (+9.6% vs +4.0%). Feb 24 pic...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: We add the potential beneficiaries of the upcoming CNY festival − Galaxy Entertainment and Trip.com − to our BUY list, but include SELL calls on BYD and Geely due to the subsidy reduction. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in 4Q23 and 2023: Our picks are MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, TLKM, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Domestic Event Winners: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the KLCI in Dec 23. Jan 24 pick...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls: We add a mix of turnaround stocks and beneficiaries of policy support to our BUY list − CSPC, HKEX, Lenovo, Longfor, Pinduoduo and Sunny Optical. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance With A 3.7% Return: Our picks are GOTO, BMRI, JSMR, TLKM, BBNI, NCKL, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Still Focusing On Domestic Winners: Our Alpha Picks trounced the FBMKLCI in Nov 23, mostly thanks to Hume’s run-up. De...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: October Conviction Calls: We expect further downside pressure, so we add SELLs on Henlius and Xpeng to the list, on top of BUYs on Anta, Lenovo, PICC P&C and SHKP. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Potential Bull Market in 4Q23: Our picks: BBNI, SMGR, NCKL, MAPI, CTRA, MYOR, AKRA and CMRY. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: A Handful Of Events To Capitalise On: Our Alpha Picks modestly outperformed the FBMKLCI in Sep 23. Oct 23 picks: BUY BURSA, HAPL, HUME, MAHB a...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We focus on stocks with pricing power or sustainable margins against a weakening macro backdrop. Add Giordano, KE Holdings and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Aug 23: Our picks: MYOR, BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, SMGR and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Warming Up For Better Months Ahead: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in Aug 23. Sep 23 picks: BUY BURSA, HAPL, HUME, MAHB, Mr DIY, My EG Servi...
A director at Adaro Energy Tbk sold 3,000,000 shares at 3,926.667IDR and the significance rating of the trade was 74/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
After the JCI’s strong outperformance in 2022, investors believe that the index is likely to underperform in 2023 against the MSCI Asia Pacific. We view 2023 as a stock picking environment for investing in the JCI. The ban on premarital sex is a step back for Indonesia. Investors are intrigued by the potential presidential candidacy of Ganjar Pranowo. We disagree with the hypothesis that China relaxing its zero-COVID policy will cause commodity prices to rise further. Our top five BUYS are BBRI,...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.