During the Hangzhou humanoid robot show, there was notable enthusiasm from the supply chain on the opportunities arising from humanoid robots, with an abundance of participants specialising in harmonic reducers, ball-screws bearings, while the dexterous hands and ball screw suppliers are the points of interest. Nevertheless, there is a general consensus that the current technology is still immature, and a resolution to the roadblocks will come more gradually in the next few years. Maintain MARKE...
We continue to see rapid developments in China’s humanoid robot space, with supply chain players and key developers turning increasingly optimistic about the industry’s outlook. Comments indicate that technology development will take 2-3 years before full replacement of workers is feasible. Nevertheless, shipments will ramp up rapidly in the coming years, with cost reduction likely exceeding previous expectations. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
A director at Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co sold 299,900 shares at 68.670CNY and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last ...
Inovance’s 1Q25 results were a solid beat, primarily driven by a solid 38% growth in revenue and better cost controls. 2025 guidance is conservative, as management is partially factoring in the potential impacts of the trade war. Nevertheless, end-demand for automation goods is recovering, and the NEV business should continue to register robust growth. Inovance is also optimistic on humanoid robots, but development will likely take more time. Maintain HOLD and trim target price to Rmb67.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/HOLD/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.00) CCB delivered disappointing 1Q25 results as net profit declined 4.0%, dragged by NIM compression and tepid fee income. Furthermore, revenue growth was no longer supported by trading gains, as yields rebounded during 1Q25. Asset quality was a silver lining as CCB highlighted the sequential improvement in the retail and property developer segments. Management also noted that tariff risk is manageable in terms of...
GREATER CHINA Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/HOLD/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss due to weaker NIM and fee income; tariff risk is limited. Downgrade to HOLD. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.10/Target: HK$6.60): 1Q25: In line; cautious outlook amid rising curtailment rates and upcoming policy shift. China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$44.50/Target: HK$49.00): 1Q25: Earnings down 2.1% yoy on weaker trading gains. Estun Automation (002747 CH/SELL/Rmb19.17/Target: Rmb...
The IT hardware sector registered corrections in share price in the past two weeks as market realised that contribution from the exciting GenAI-driven applications are unlikely to be meaningful in 2025. Nevertheless, the potential cost savings and efficiency boost facilitated by AI are clear and we expect investments into applications development to remain high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT and expect downstream AI applications to remain a key investment focus through 2025.
Inovance’s 3Q24 results arrived at the mid-point of its guided range, but the mix further deteriorated as the automation business ended up weaker than expected. Full-year sales/profit target is unchanged, but management indicated that achieving the target will be very challenging. Heading into 2025, growth should start to pick up thanks to a recovery in Li-ion capex, and the start of equipment replacement demand driven by government stimulus. Downgrade to HOLD and maintain target price at Rmb56....
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Initiate Coverage VSTECS Holdings (856 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$5.47) VSTECS is the eighth-largest IT distributor globally with an established presence in SEA and China. We forecast a three-year net profit CAGR of 9.2% in 2024-26, fuelled by the rising adoption of AI, refresh cycles for consumer electronics and diversifying cloud services. We like VSTECS’ operating efficiency and cash conversion. We expect a dividend yield of 4.4%/5.1% in 2024-25 on solid cash flow generation...
GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage VSTECS Holdings (856 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$5.47): Leading IT distributor riding the AI wave. Results Haier Smart Home (6690 HK/BUY/HK$29.80/Target: HK$42.00): 3Q24: Earnings growth driven by efficiency improvement; expect potential tariff hike to have limited impact. Joyson Electronics (600699 CH/BUY/Rmb16.68/Target: Rmb30.00): 3Q24: Earnings in line; maintain BUY with unchanged target price of Rmb30.00. Shenzhen Inovance (300124 CH/HOLD/Rmb56.46/Target: Rmb56...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...
Inovance’s 2Q24 results are at the higher end of its guided range. Management maintained 2024 revenue/net profit growth targets of 15-35%/5-20% respectively, but stated that the net profit target will be difficult to achieve due to the slow recovery in industrial automation demand. The bright spots are the EV component business’ momentum which remains strong and the automation market which should start to bottom out from 4Q24 onwards. Maintain BUY and cut target price to Rmb56.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$71.65/Target: HK$109.60) 1H24 core net profit rose 17% yoy. Management keeps its retail sales target for the Anta brand in the teens, but has slightly lowered the target for Fila to a high single digit due to the weak performance of Fila Fusion and Fila Kids. However, management is maintaining operating margin targets for both Anta brand and Fila. Descente and KOLON are expected to continue delivering rapid growth in the next two years. On s...
GREATER CHINA Results Anta (2020 HK/BUY/HK$71.65/Target: HK$109.60) 1H24: Results beat. Fila's guidance slightly lowered; new brands performed well. China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$4.63/Target: HK$7.20) 1H24: Results meet expectations; higher dividend payout ratio. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$18.22/Target: HK$27.00) 2Q24: Margins deteriorate; automation demand outlook remains sluggish. Shenzhen Inovance (300124 CH/BU...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: We expect stimulus to be announced in August and add COSCO Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and add SELL call on WuXi Bio, and XPeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Jul 24: Our picks are BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising The M&A And Monetisation Bets: Our Alpha Picks marginally beat the KLCI. Jul 24 picks: Ekovest, Gamu...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Call: Adding ASMPT, Innovent, Poly Property Services, TAL Education and Trip.com to our BUY list; hedging with SELL call on BYD. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Jun 24 And 2Q24: Our picks are BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Opting For More Adventurous Choices: Our Alpha Picks beat the KLCI again. Jul 24 picks: BURSA, Ekovest, Gamuda, Lagenda, Mah Sing, MYEG, Pekat...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Market Strategy 2H24: Building blocks in place. Results Meituan (3690 HK/BUY/HK$112.70/Target: HK$130.00) 1Q24: Earnings beat. ISHT margin to stabilise in 2Q24; upgrade To BUY. INDONESIA Results Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ/HOLD/Rp2,460/Target: Rp2,500) 1Q24: EBITDA below expectations with potential improvement ahead. MALAYSIA Sector Gaming ...
Rebound on policy clarity. The MSCI China index has made impressive gains of 23.3% since bottoming out in late-Jan 24, bringing ytd performance to 8.2%. This is a remarkable turnaround, as Asia ex-Japan is only up 6.9% ytd. This comes after the government gave clear indications that it remains firmly behind the healthy development of capital markets and efforts to revive the property market will no longer be clouded by concerns of re-igniting the bubble. Further re-rating hinges on real est...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Call: Adding KE Holdings and Wharf REIC to our BUY list; hedging with SELL call on BYD. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: First Month Of Underperformance In 2024: Our picks are EXCL, BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Choices For A “Summer Lull”: Our Alpha Picks trounce the KLCI again. May 24 picks: BAUTO, BURSA, Gamuda, GENM, Lagenda, Mah Sing, MYEG, PMETAL, RGB, and VSI. SINGAPORE Strategy Alpha Picks...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
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