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Kristof Samoy ... (+4)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Umicore Feedback FY25 results conference call

Below are the highlights from the conference call. We remind that FY25 adjusted EBITDA increased by 11% to 847m, slightly above the high end of the 790-840m guidance range (in line with KBCS estimate, 1% above consensus). The company did not give a precise guidance on FY26 although sounded cautious on developments in the EV industry. The strong metal price environment will partly be offset by lower hedging levels for 2026 and maintenance, while new longer term hedges generate additional earnings...

Martijn Den Drijver ... (+2)
  • Martijn Den Drijver
  • Usama Tariq
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 4Q25/26 results. Arcadis: Main topics 4Q25/FY25 conference call. ASM: 4Q25 preview, FY26 should be strong. Brunel: 4Q25 result beats and trends stabilise; DACH back to growth in 1Q26; additional cost savings announced and special dividend. Cofinimmo: Beat on bottom line, strong investment outlook for 2026. IMCD: Another step in EMEA. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Peer Danone 4Q25 results. Recticel: Peer Kingspan FY25 results. Software sector: Cheaper code...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Umicore FY25 adj EBITDA +11%, no precise FY26 guidance

FY25 adjusted EBITDA increased by 11% to 847m, slightly above the high end of the 790-840m guidance range (in line with KBCS estimate, 1% above consensus). The company did not give a precise guidance on FY26 although sounded cautious on developments in the EV industry. The strong metal price environment will partly be offset by lower hedging levels for 2026 and maintenance, while new longer term hedges generate additional earnings visibility at very attractive levels for a longer period of time....

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Umicore/Metals prices melt-up drives earnings upgrade/HOLD

We raise our 2025F-26F estimates for Umicore on the back of higher precious and platinum group metals prices, with our estimates for the battery materials business broadly unchanged. We raise our target price from €10 to €19 per share, driven by higher estimates and peer multiples, yet maintain our HOLD recommendation. Umicore shares have rallied +85% over the last year, largely driven by the melt-up in metals prices, although its earnings power in 2026F is likely moderated by elevated hedging l...

Umicore S.A.: 1 director

A director at Umicore S.A. bought 1,000 shares at 18.460EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Umicore Walking on Sunshine - increasing target price to € 21

We upgrade our forecasts for the coming years with our 2030E adjusted EBITDA estimate upped by c. 8%. Loosening EU standards on CO2 emission regulation for cars & vans provide some additional support to the Catalysts business, whilst we have kept our forecasts for Battery Materials unchanged as these were already below the company's CMD targets and upside to our numbers will have to come from new supply arrangements/partnerships. The very strong metal price environment will most likely allow Umi...

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Umicore EU looks set to abandon combustion engine ban in 2035

Based on various press articles, it seems increasingly likely that the European Union is to abandon the earlier agreed ban on new combustion engine-based passenger cars by 2035, whilst new legislation would still require a significant reduction of tailpipe emissions. Any loosening of legislation would probably be good news for Umicore's Catalysts business, with European ICE Light duty Automotive Catalysts' revenue representing c. 28% of total ICE light duty Automotive Catalysts' revenue. We awai...

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Hoste
Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Umicore FIRST LOOK: Silicon-anodes JV with HS Hyosung Advance Material...

After more than a decade of R&D efforts on developing silicon carbon composite anode materials for EV batteries, Umicore now believes its technology is ready for industrialization & commercialization and has announced its intention to create a JV with HS Hyosung Advanced Materials. Umicore will retain a minority stake in the JV, which will allow the group to limit expenditure for the roll-out of its anode technology. This approach is very much in sync with the approach taken for the cathode acti...

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