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Brenntag SE: 1 director

A director at Brenntag SE bought 500 shares at 78.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO : Glass half full – Volume recovery started after almost 2 years ...

As Spring approaches, we see industry-wide destocking coming to an end, emerging recovery trends in China gaining momentum and European spot energy cost relief rolling in, all helping to restore plant utilisation and earnings. We add more cyclicality to our preferred names, upgrading BASF to Outperform (Neutral). Momentum being regained in specialties chemicals distribution triggers our upgrade of IMCD to Outperform (Neutral). ‘From record to record’ remains our mantra at FUCHS. ...

Salome Charamalet ... (+2)
  • Salome Charamalet
  • Stefano Toffano

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/07/2024

We are initiating coverage of Lonza with a target price of CHF 535 and an Outperform rating. As one of the world's leading contract development and manufacturing organisations (CDMO), Lonza is predestined to benefit from the sustainable drivers of this industry. The group's global presence and strong market positions in the growth areas of biologics and cell and gene therapy (CGT) will fuel double-digit sales growth and >30% EBITDA margins in the medium term. Despite significant growt...

Salome Charamalet ... (+2)
  • Salome Charamalet
  • Stefano Toffano

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 07/03/2024

We are initiating coverage of Lonza with a target price of CHF 535 and an Outperform rating. As one of the world's leading contract development and manufacturing organisations (CDMO), Lonza is predestined to benefit from the sustainable drivers of this industry. The group's global presence and strong market positions in the growth areas of biologics and cell and gene therapy (CGT) will fuel double-digit sales growth and >30% EBITDA margins in the medium term. Despite significant growt...

Fabian Semon ... (+2)
  • Fabian Semon
  • Michael B. Schäfer

Brenntag : Q4 op. EBITA -5% vs consensus but record OpFCF of € 1.7bn; ...

>Op. EBITA turnaround in Q4, up 12% y-o-y adj. for FX to € 285m, -5% below cons of € 301m - Op. EBITA turned around in Q4 after three quarters of y-o-y decline to € 285m, 5% below consensus expectations of € 301m, showing a 12% FX-adjusted recovery fuelled by the two segments, Specialties (+4%) and Essentials (+10% FX adj. y-o-y). Op. EBITA was slightly down q-o-q compared to Q3 2023, which reported € 295m op. EBITA with stable Essentials and cost contingency measure...

Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 12/05/2023

2024 promises its fair share of electoral, geopolitical and economic risks, but the most significant risk is that central bankers will be slow to cut interest rates. This could take us from a soft landing to a severe recession. In the short term, we are letting ourselves be carried along by the market's complacency, with a tactical bottom-fishing sector allocation targeting sectors that are cyclical and interest-rate-sensitive as a priority. In the medium term, we favour sectors that ...

Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 05/12/2023

L’année 2024 promet son lot de risques électoraux, géopolitiques et économiques, mais le plus important est celui d’un retard à l’allumage des banquiers centraux dans leurs baisses de taux. Ceci pourrait nous faire passer d’un « soft landing » à une récession sévère. A court terme, nous nous laissons porter par la complaisance du marché avec une allocation tactique sectorielle « bottom fishing » ciblant en priorité les secteurs cycliques et sensibles aux taux. A moyen terme, nous priv...

Fabian Semon ... (+2)
  • Fabian Semon
  • Michael B. Schäfer

Brenntag : CMD headlines: Raising mid-term EBITA growth ambition by 1p...

>Raised medium-term growth ambitions out to 2027, more upbeat on Essentials - Brenntag will host its CMD in London today. Management raised its growth ambitions out to 2027 (CAGR 2023-2027) to 7-9% organic EBITA growth p.a. (was 6-8% CAGR 2021-2026). We project 6.4% p.a. including (!) M&A effects to € 1,473m out to 2026, i.e. we are more cautious on an organic basis. The Vara consensus for 2025 looks for €1,414m, in line with our forecast of € 1,409m. Operating E...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 12/04/2023

Uncertainty remains over the macroeconomic situation, which is the main driver of traffic growth in the short-term. Additionally, inflationary pressure on both opex and capex are likely to put pressure on tariffs, testing the leeway from the regulators. We have adopted what we currently consider to be a reasonably cautious stance on the three airports under our coverage and conclude that Aena offers the most attractive risk/reward profile, followed by Fraport, while regulatory uncerta...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 04/12/2023

Uncertainty remains over the macroeconomic situation, which is the main driver of traffic growth in the short-term. Additionally, inflationary pressure on both opex and capex are likely to put pressure on tariffs, testing the leeway from the regulators. We have adopted what we currently consider to be a reasonably cautious stance on the three airports under our coverage and conclude that Aena offers the most attractive risk/reward profile, followed by Fraport, while regulatory uncerta...

Fabian Semon ... (+2)
  • Fabian Semon
  • Michael B. Schäfer

Brenntag : CMD preview – more details on ‘Specialties’ steering model;...

>Confirmation of mid-term targets expected - Brenntag will host its CMD on 5 December in London. We expect management to confirm mid-term targets outlined at last year’s CMD in November 2022, when the company for the first time presented dedicated mid-term targets for ‘Essentials’ and ‘Specialties’ segments out to 2026. This included also organic op. EBITA growth target CAGR 2021-2026 of 6-8% based on € 1,082m reported in 2021. We project 6.4% p.a. including (!) M&A ...

Fabian Semon ... (+2)
  • Fabian Semon
  • Michael B. Schäfer

Brenntag : Q3 op. EBITA 4% below css; strong OpFCF accumulates to 93% ...

>Q3 op. EBITA down 15% y-o-y adjusted for FX to € 303m, 4%/2% below cons/ODDO BHF (€ 314m/€ 309m) - Op. EBITA of € 303m came in slightly below expectations, reporting a 15% FX adj. decline fuelled by weaker Specialties and Essentials. Q3 op. EBITA is 4% below the consensus of € 314m and down 9% q-o-q sequentially compared to Q2 23, which reported € 332m op. EBITA and fuelled by weaker Specialties (-7% q-o-q) and by Essentials (op. EBITA down 12% q-o-q). Brenntag confi...

Emna Ben Bdira ... (+2)
  • Emna Ben Bdira
  • Maxime Kogge

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 18/10/2023

Nous relevons notre recommandation sur BBVA à Surperformance dans l’optique d’une levée partielle de la décote sur les activités turques (valorisation jusqu’alors très faible) sur fond d’amélioration même graduelle de la situation macroéconomique du pays, et alors que le groupe présente de solides fondamentaux. Parallèlement, nous réhaussons nos estimations de RN sur la période 2023-25e de 4% en moyenne afin d’intégrer un biais un peu moins conservateur notamment sur les coûts et le C...

Emna Ben Bdira ... (+2)
  • Emna Ben Bdira
  • Maxime Kogge

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/18/2023

We have upgraded our rating on BBVA to Outperform given the prospect of a partial easing of the discount on its Turkish operations (very marginally valued up to now), with the improvement, albeit very gradual, in the country’s macroeconomic situation in the short to medium term, and with BBVA presenting solid fundamentals. At the same time, we have upgraded our net income estimates for the 2023-2025e period by 4% on average to reflect our slightly less conservative stance on costs and...

Fabian Semon ... (+2)
  • Fabian Semon
  • Michael B. Schäfer

Brenntag : Preview Q3 – Q2 trends continuing, heading to low-end of FY...

>Expect Q2 trends to have continued in Q3, i.e. Essentials holding up better than Specialties against Q3 2022 - We expect upcoming Q3 results due 9 November to largely confirm trends seen in Q2 2023 when 15% y-o-y drop in Essentials to € 226m outpaced 35% y-o-y drop in Specialties op. EBITA to € 145m resulting in an overall group op. EBITA decline by 28% y-o-y to € 332m. We expect continuing slight sequential volume recovery trends already seen in Q2 to have continue...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/14/2023

In this report, we analyse the Dutch fiber market that KPN dominates with a 65% market share. Rapid rollout progress, good returns, a rising activation rate, and a 30% drop in Capex all support both strong FCF growth and shareholder returns. The upcoming CMD (7/11) should, we believe, provide a number of new triggers. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 14/09/2023

EDP est le dernier énergéticien conventionnel à avoir sa filiale renouvelable, EDP Renovaveis, cotée séparément. Depuis longtemps, nous considérons, qu’une unification des structures permettrait de résoudre la problématique de l’arbitrage et de rééquilibrer les valorisations. Les récents mouvements stratégiques (OPA sur EDP Do Brasil, augmentation de capital de EDPR) nous amènent à l’anticiper à l’horizon 2025, par le biais d’une offre d’échange inversée en provenance d’EDP Renovaveis...

Fabian Semon ... (+2)
  • Fabian Semon
  • Michael B. Schäfer

Brenntag : Roadshow feedback - Q2 trends continuing including volume r...

>Current trading sees Q2 trends continuing, incl. slightly better volumes - We hosted a roadshow with Brenntag's CFO, confirming that trends seen in Q2 and expected for the remainder of the year continued heading into Q3. Sequential volume recovery continued at a slow pace. Specialties volumes in Q2 were stable q-o-q with price declines weighing on EBITA in Q2. In Essentials, sequential volume recovery with GP/unit gradually coming down progressed into Q3, as expecte...

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