Shuanghuan’s 1Q24 results arrived at the midpoint of its profit guidance, which is in line with our and consensus estimates. Both the ICE-car and EV gear businesses registered a solid >20% yoy growth, while the civil gear business managed to register a profit during the quarter. For 2024, a recovery in ICE-car gears, product upgrade for EV gears, and the rapid expansion of the civil gear business seem to be the key growth drivers for Shuanghuan. Maintain BUY and keep target price at Rmb27.60.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Manufacturing PMI came in better than expected at 50.4% (-0.4ppt) and stayed in the expansionary zone for the second month. It was mainly supported by production and new orders as employment remained a drag, dropping 0.1ppt to 48.0%. Non-manufacturing hit a three-month low of 51.2%, dragged by moderation in new orders and business expectations. We expect policy support to continue and the July Politburo may see new measures being rolled out. Sector Aviation T...
GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming Apr 24 GGR down 5% mom; downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.10/Target: HK$6.00) 1Q24: Results in line with better NIM performance. LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH/SELL/Rmb18.20/Target: Rmb14.38) 2023/1Q24: Below expectations; inventory write-down wipes out earnings. Downgrade to SELL. PICC Property and Casualty (2328 HK/BUY/HK$9.71/Target: HK$11.70) 1Q24: Earnings miss on higher COR and lower investment income...
Shuanghuan’s 4Q23 results are in line with our estimates and preliminary results, although the revenue was slightly below due to a weaker-than-expected EV gear business. In 2024, growth of the EV gear business should stabilise, but the high growth period is likely over, while the overseas business and development of the newlyacquired civil gear business will be crucial for Shuanghuan to find a new growth driver. Maintain BUY but cut target price to Rmb27.60.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply Slower-than-expected credit expansion. Trade Exports drop 7.5% and imports fall 1.9%. Sector Healthcare ICL: Recent policies may cloud revenue growth in 2024; accelerating market consolidation to benefit leading players. Results Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co (002472 CH/BUY/Rmb21.60/Target: Rmb27.60) 4Q23: Results in line; but slowdown in EV gear business is apparent. HSI AND HS TECH INDEX OUTLOOK
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Slower-than-expected credit expansion. Trade: Exports drop 7.5% and imports fall 1.9%. Sector Healthcare: ICL: Recent policies may cloud revenue growth in 2024; accelerating market consolidation to benefit leading players. Results Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co (002472 CH/BUY/Rmb21.60/Target: Rmb27.60): 4Q23: Results in line; but slowdown in EV gear business is apparent. MALAYSIA Sector Banking: The operational commencement of the various new digital bank...
We are starting to see a marginal orders recovery in some cyclical verticals and consumer electronics, although visibility is still limited while the impact from foreign brands’ destocking may last into 1Q24. Demand drivers will shift in 2024 as cyclicals and consumer electronics recover while solar and Li-ion weaken; as such, brands with a diversified product mix should be better positioned to capture the recovery cycle in 4Q23-1H24. Downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT as the recovery turned out weaker ...
Shuanghuan’s 3Q23 net profit was in line with preliminary results, while top-line growth was better than our expectation with a steadily improving PV/CV business and strong growth in the civil gear/robotic reducer business. Going forward, management expects a healthy growth for the PV gear business as inventory correction comes to an end, and remains confident in achieving 2024’s incentive target of Rmb950m. Trim target price to Rmb31.80 but upgrade to BUY on undemanding valuation.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly Pet food exports on track for recovery; beneficiary: Yantai China Pet Food. Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$246.20/Target: HK$630.00) 3Q23: Earnings up 82% yoy and 53% qoq, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$630.00. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$4.48/Target: HK$6.00) 3Q23: Results in line; earnings up 2.6% on lower credit costs. China Merchants Bank Co. (3968 HK/BUY/HK$30.30/Target: HK$45.00) 3Q23: Results miss; longer wait ne...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly: Pet food exports on track for recovery; beneficiary: Yantai China Pet Food. Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$246.20/Target: HK$630.00): 3Q23: Earnings up 82% yoy and 53% qoq, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$630.00. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$4.48/Target: HK$6.00): 3Q23: Results in line; earnings up 2.6% on lower credit costs. China Merchants Bank Co. (3968 HK/BUY/HK$30.30/Target: HK$45.00): 3Q23: Results miss; longer wait need...
As foreign brands struggled to destock amid a tough macro environment, domestic automation names maintained the robust momentum in market share gains, with both Inovance and Estun seeing record-high market shares during 2Q23. The market’s recovery is slower than expected, but we are starting to see more positive signs, such as a pick-up in demand from cyclical end-markets, and slightly better sentiments from consumer electronic names. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
While the 2Q23 headline numbers are in line with preliminary results, the detailed breakdown shows that the EV business’ sales growth was slightly behind our expectations, but this is more than offset by the robust recovery in the CV business. Also, the stable margins amid the EV price war showcases Shuanghuan’s strong pricing power over its client, and we expect its sales growth to pick up in 2H23 with the shipment orders recovering since June. Maintain HOLD and raise target to Rmb36.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Insurance Outstanding 1H23 results from PICC P&C, Ping An and Prudential. Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$6.27/Target: HK$8.80) 1H23: Above expectations; wind power utilisation hours grew 8.4% yoy. China Merchants Port (144 HK/BUY/HK$9.46/Target: HK$13.33) 1H23: Results broadly in line; attractive valuation amid cautious outlook. Maintain BUY. CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$33.25/Target: HK$47.48) 1H23: Results beat expectations; leading market position further str...
GREATER CHINA Sector Insurance: Outstanding 1H23 results from PICC P&C, Ping An and Prudential. Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$6.27/Target: HK$8.80): 1H23: Above expectations; wind power utilisation hours grew 8.4% yoy. CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$33.25/Target: HK$47.48): 1H23: Results beat expectations; leading market position further strengthened. Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK/SELL/HK$40.15/Target: HK$33.00): 2Q23: Report profit beats on one-off gains, core earnings in line. Maintain SELL....
A director at Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co Ltd sold 1,000,000 shares at 28.120CNY and the significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over th...
Most leading automation names in China have resumed positive growth from a low base in May-Jun 23 after a brief correction in April. Component players are generally performing better than the market’s previous expectations, while robots may disappoint due to EV clients asking for shipment delays. Heading into the results period, we now prefer Inovance for its resilient earnings growth, while Estun may take a back seat as the market monitors its shipment delivery. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: We like oversold sectors like consumer and TMT. Add COSCO Shipping Port, KE Holdings, Kuaishou and Kweichow Moutai to our BUY list and Great Wall Motor to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in May 23: Our picks are BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Anticipating A Lull June: Our Alpha Picks slightly underperformed the FBMKLCI in May 23. June 23 picks: BUY B...
After a steeper-than-expected pullback in May, MSCI China‘s and HSI’s 12-month forward PE have fallen to a relatively attractive 9.7x and 8.7x respectively. As the nonmanufacturing PMI remains in expansionary zone, we expect better macro data ahead to provide the catalyst for a rebound. Overall, we increase exposure to oversold sectors, ie consumer and TMT; add COSCO Shipping Port, KE Holdings, Kuaishou and Kweichow Moutai to our BUY list and Great Wall Motor to our SELL list.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: We like oversold sectors like consumer and TMT. Add COSCO Shipping Port, KE Holdings, Kuaishou and Kweichow Moutai to our BUY list and Great Wall Motor to our SELL list. Sector Property Management: GFA expansion largely on track; weak economic recovery weighing on community value-added service. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in May 23: Our picks are BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. SINGAPORE Stra...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: We expect increased volatility in May, but with limited downside. Add CATL, Inovance, Sands China and Tongcheng Travel to our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Apr 23: Our picks are CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Navigating the Dreaded Month of May: Our Alpha Picks performed in line with the FBMKLCI in Apr 23. May 23 picks: BAT, Genting Malaysia, Malaysia Air...
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