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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/03/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.60 per share: Production rises again. Maiden reserves report. First LNG sales in Kazakhstan on track for 1H26 – YE24 2P reserves in Uzbekistan were estimated at 18.5 mmboe. 4Q24 production was 10,511 boe/d increasing to 12,019 boe/d in March to date and 12,288 boe/d over the past five days. In March, Condor signed a non-binding letter of intent outlining the basic terms and conditions for ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Return to production growth in Vietnam

• FY24 production and YE24 net cash have already been reported. • The FY25 production guidance of 5.0-6.2 mboe/d is unchanged. However the highlight of the press release is the upcoming programme in Vietnam. • The FY25 capex guidance has increased to US$37–66 mm, up from the previous US$33 mm. The minimum programme includes drilling the TGT appraisal commitment well (18X) and procuring long-lead items for three TGT infill wells and two CNV wells (one appraisal well, 5X, and one infill well), sc...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 21/02/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.60 per share: Very high flow rate at bypassed zone boosts production and unlocks reserves - A potential bypassed 60 m gas pay section, identified using advanced cased-hole logging tools and reprocessed existing 3-D seismic data, was put in production over a 23 m perforated interval at a rate of 1,100 boe/d, increasing to 1,300 boe/d over the past five days as the completion fluid has been ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): MOU with EGPC in Egypt to improve terms...

• Pharos and IPR have signed a non-binding MOU with EGPC to use their best efforts to conclude negotiations for the merger of the El Fayum and North Beni Suef Concession Agreements. • While there is limited information at this stage, this is an important step that would unlock further investment through better fiscal terms and longer licence duration. • The El-Fayum licence has a current expiry date of 2034 (including a 5 year extension), with 9 years remaining. A typical new licence in Egypt h...

Hybridan Team ... (+2)
  • Hybridan Team
  • Jon Levinson

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 19/02/2025

Our daily digest of news from UK Small Caps @HybridanLLP 19th February 2025 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced, or it is a rumour ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement ****Alphabetically arranged Share prices and market capitalisations taken from the current price on the day of publication Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: Intelligent Ultrasou...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 24/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Historic permit award in Italy opens a new growth area - ADX has been offered and accepted the “d 363 C.R-.AX” permit in the Sicily Channel, offshore Italy, covering a maximum area of 346 km2. ADX applied for the permit in 2018, but the moratorium on awarding new exploration blocks in Italy was only lifted last year. ADX will become a licensed operator in Italy as well as Austria ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): FY24 in line. All eyes on Vietnam drill...

• FY24 production was 5,801 boe/d including, 1,440 bbl/d in Egypt and 4,361 boe/d in Vietnam. This is in line with expectations. • The FY25 production guidance has been set at 5.0-6.2 mboe/d, including 3.6-4.6 mboe/d in Vietnam and 1.4-1.6 mboe/d. • The FY25 production guidance for Egypt is below our expectations, which had assumed a normalization of the business environment. This normalization would have led to increased investment and production. Consequently, we have deferred this growth in E...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Five year licence extension adds reserv...

• The TGT and CNV licenses in Vietnam have been extended by five years, to December 2031 and December 2032, respectively. In return, Pharos' working interest in the licenses is reduced from 30.5% to 25.3% for TGT and from 25% to 20% for CNV. • This extension is significant for Pharos as it unlocks approximately 5.7 mmboe of resources and immediately adds 0.8 mmboe of 2P reserves. • The extension allows Pharos to convert approximately 0.8 mmboe from the 2C category to 2P reserves. Pharos' year-en...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 06/12/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price of £0.08 per share: US$100 mm guarantees highlight the value of the South Africa energy trading business - British International Investment (BII) and GuarantCo have announced a US$100 mm guarantee finance facility for Etana Energy, the South African electricity trading platform which is owned and was co-founded by Chariot (49%) and H1 Holdings (51%). Etana is one of the few companies holding an electric...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Delivering on expectations. Continued p...

• Production from January to the end of November 2024 was 5,760 boe/d. This is line with our expectations. • FY24 production is expected to be around the same level. This is in line with our forecasts and within the FY24 production guidance range of 5.2-6.5 mboe/d. • The new wells at TGT are also performing in line with expectations and production in Vietnam from January to the end of November was 4,324 boe/d. This is in line with our forecasts. • The approval of the 5 year extension to the TG...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 20/09/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX CN)C; Target price A$0.75 per share: Production boost at Anshof in October – The ANS-2A sidetrack well has encountered a 6.5 m net vertical oil column in high quality Eocene-aged sandstone reservoir. The reservoir quality encountered at ANS-2A is consistent with ANS-2 (porosity and permeability ~20% higher than at ANS-3). The oil-water contact was encountered very close to the top of the water wet reservoir encountered ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Very strong financials. Busy drilling p...

• 1H24 production of 5,851 boe/d had been reported previously. • Pharos has re-iterated its FY24 production guidance of 5.2-6.5 mboe/d. The company expects to spend US$26 mm (net) capex in 2024 (US$27 mm previously). • The highlight of this announcement is the strong financials. While the net cash of US$17.5 mm at the end of June is in line with what had been reported previously, the 1H24 operating cashflow had been negatively impacted by an inventory build of ~US$12 mm. This implies that the ne...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 19/07/2024

Condor Energies (CDR CN)C: Signing first LNG framework agreement in Kazakhstan – Condor has signed a first LNG Framework Agreement for the utilization of LNG to fuel Kazakhstan’s rail locomotives. The agreement was also signed by Kazakhstan Temir Zholy (KTZ), the national railway operator of Kazakhstan and Wabtec Corporation, a U.S. based locomotive manufacturer with existing facilities in Kazakhstan. KTZ and Wabtec previously signed a memorandum of understanding which includes modernization wor...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 31/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/AXL CN)C; target price of £0.65 per share: All eyes on the first horizontal well at Carrizales Norte – The 1Q24 production of 2,730 boe/d was close to our expectations. Arrow’s cash position of US$11.6 mm was also in line. The first water disposal well at RCE is being brought into production and the conversion of the CN-4 well is currently waiting regulatory approval. These two disposal wells are very importa...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Net cash up by ~US$21.5 mm in four mont...

• Production from January to the end of April was 5,755 boe/d including 4,347 boe/d in Vietnam and 1,408 bbl/d in Egypt. This is in line with the company FY24 guidance of 5.2-6.5 mboe/d including 3.9-5.0 mbpoe/d in Vietnam and 1.3-1.5 mbbl/d in Egypt. • The FY24 capex guidance is unchanged. The key near term news flow remains the farm-out of an interest in Blocks 125 & 126 in Vietnam. Several interested farm-in parties are awaiting confirmation of timing of a rig slot and clarity on the well co...

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 03 May 24

3rd May 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: TheWorks (WRKS.L) has transferred to AIM from the Premium Segment of the Main Market. Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) has transferred to AIM from the Standard Segment of the Main Market. Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Tak...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/03/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Logging results at Welchau further derisk the discovery – The logging program has confirmed open fracture networks and vuggy porosity (matrix porosity) essential for well productivity coincident with hydrocarbon shows between 1346 m and 1702 m measured depth. This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences. This compares with only 115 m of l...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Re-iterating guidance. Dividend up by 1...

• FY23 production and YE23 net debt had already been reported. Pharos has re-iterated its FY24 guidance of 5.2-6.5 mboe/d (3.9-5.0 mboe/d in Vietnam plus 1.3-1.5 mbbl/d in Egypt) with net capex of US$27.1 mm. • In 2H24, Pharos plans to commence a two well drilling programme at TGT (Vietnam) and to start the development of NBS SW (Egypt). • The environment in Egypt is improving. Pharos has received a payment of ~US$10 mm from EGPC, reducing receivables from ~US$37 mm at YE23 to ~US$30 mm at the e...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 19/01/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation. The well is currently producing 650 bbl/d of 14 deg API oil with 8% water cut. This is an important well that confirms the extension of the Llanos-34 Guadalupe play into CPO-5 and is probably derisking further prospects. This is the fifth disco...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm

• FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d. This includes 5,127 boe/d for Vietnam (guidance of 5.0-5.3 mboe/d) and 1,381 boe/d in Egypt (guidance of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d). • YE23 net debt is just ~US$6.5 mm, down from US$16.4 mm at the end of June. The US$10 mm net debt reduction has been achieved despite a US$6.4 mm increase in EGPC receivables from US$30.9 mm at the end of June to US$37.3 mm at YE23. This implies an underlying free cash f...

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