For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers
Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ARCELORMITTAL, IAG, INDRA, SANTANDER, SECTOR AUTOPISTAS. EUROPA: ASML, BNP. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Estabilización de los mercados El Ibex no tiene techo Jornada positiva en las bolsas europeas de la mano de los resultad...
NEWS SUMMARY: ARCELORMITTAL, HIGHWAY SECTOR, IAG, INDRA, SANTANDER. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Ibex continues to climb It was a positive session for European stock markets thanks to business results and despite mounting tension in Iran and the drops in the technology sector. In the STOXX 600, Chemi...
Nous avons sélectionné 10 graphiques afin d’identifier les principaux drivers du secteur. Les Capex sont attendus en repli de 1.5% en 2026 après un rebond de 70% depuis le point bas de 2020. Cette baisse proviendra essentiellement du marché US (plus forte discipline compte tenu de points morts plus élevés). Nous privilégions SBM Offshore (Surperformance, OC 45 €), Vallourec (Surperformance, OC 22 € vs 20.8 €) et Technip Energies (Surperformance, OC 49 €) et adoptons une opinion plus prudente sur...
For the start of 2026, we have selected ten charts to identify the sector's main drivers. Capex is expected to fall by 1.5% in 2026 after a 70% rebound from the low point of 2020. This reduction will mainly come from the US market (greater discipline due to higher breakeven points). At this point in the year, we prefer SBM Offshore (Outperform, target price € 45), Vallourec (Outperform, target price € 22 vs € 20.8) and Technip Energies (Outperform, target price € 49) and have adopted a more caut...
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