reports
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 14.06.2022
AT: Flughafen Wien - Significant hike of FY 22 guidance (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Starting share buyback programme for up to 1% of share capital (positive) AT: STRABAG - Resignation of Peter Krammer became effective as of June 12 (neutral) RO: Medlife - Medlife opens a new clinic in Targu Mures, and expands its regional presence through two acquisitions (positive) RU: Transneft, RusHydro - Government decree provides for RUB 23.3 bn in 2021 dividends from RusHydro and RUB 76 bn from T...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 01.06.2022
AT: IMMOFINANZ - CPI Property Group raises stake in IMMOFINANZ to 76.9% during additional acceptance period (neutral) AT: Wienerberger - Moody's affirmed Ba1 rating, outlook changed to positive from stable (neutral) PL: Bank Pekao - Increasing interest rate offer for deposits with maturity (neutral) PL: mBank - Demerger of mBank's mortgage bank arm with no share issue requirement (neutral) RU: InterRAO - Shareholders approve 2021 dividends (positive) RU: OGK-2 - Board recommends 2021...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 31.05.2022
MSCI May Index Review - Standard indices (STD) changes: DEL: Raiffeisen Bank Intl.; SmallCap indices (SC) changes: ADD: STRABAG SE, DEL: Zumtobel Oil&Gas: Oil price - EU agreed to ban most of Russia oil imports AT: STRABAG - Double digit output growth and backlog at new high in Q1, FY 22 guidance reiterated (positive) CZ: Moneta Money Bank - PPF and Moneta terminate the acquisition of AirBank group / cancelation of the capital increase and mandatory tender offer by PPF HU: Makro - Ra...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 30.03.2022
AT: FACC - FY 21 results in line with preliminaries, outlook wording confirmed AT: Utilities - Drought likely to affect Q1 22 hydro output (negative) AT: Wienerberger - 0.69% of the capital repurchased so far (neutral) DE: Encavis - Encavis delivers on results and guidance beat (positive) RU: Inter RAO - Not discussing delisting from the Moscow Exchange (positive) RU: RusHydro - Paying agent blocks coupon payment on RUB eurobond over British sanctions (negative) RU: Russia - Minist...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 16.03.2022
AT: Andritz - Andritz received small press section rebuild order (neutral) AT: OMV - Strategy 2030 aims at moving to a more sustainable way of doing business (neutral) AT: Strabag, UNIQA - Strabag syndicate cancelled by Haselsteiner Group (neutral) PL: Bank Handlowy - DPS of PLN 5.47 to be proposed from 2021 profit (neutral) PL: mBank - No significant change in risk provisioning in 2022 expected by the CRO (neutral) RU: Inter RAO - Interfax: Inter RAO considers delisting from Moscow ...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Usanova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Mikhail Krasnoperov
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 16, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - POLYMETAL TUMBLES 33% AS FTSE EXCLUSION FURTHERS RUSSIA'S ISOLATION FROM GLOBAL MARKETSMoscow equity trading remains closed by the CBR. Among the only instruments still trading, Polymetal's London listing fell 33%, while FTSE announced the exclusion of the shares from its indexes, eliminating one of the last examples of Russia being included in global markets. STORIES> Oil and gas: Not benefiting much from strong Brent, but gaining from weak ruble> Tatneft: Moderate miss in 4Q2...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Usanova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Mikhail Krasnoperov
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 16 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - АКЦИИ ПОЛИМЕТАЛЛА УПАЛИ В ЦЕНЕ НА 33% ПОСЛЕ ИСКЛЮЧЕНИЯ ИЗ ИНДЕКСОВ FTSEТорги акциями на Московской бирже по-прежнему не проводятся по решению ЦБ РФ. Бумаги Полиметалла с листингом в Лондоне - один из немногих российских инструментов, остававшийся на глобальных рынках, - упали в цене на 33% после того, как FTSE объявила об их исключении из своих индексов. Рубль торгуется около 105-110 за доллар. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть под давлением перед публикацией ежемесячного отчета МЭА...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 02.03.2022
STOXX Europe 600 Index review - No changes of index constituents in our Coverage Universe AT: Andritz - Andritz received equipment order from Essity in the U.S. (neutral) AT: EVN, OMV - Infrastructure Minister announces new law for gas reserves (neutral) AT: Flughafen Wien - Airport operator confirms FY 22 guidance with Q4 reporting (neutral) AT: OMV - OMV decided not to invest in Achimov IV/V gas field in Russia, involvement in the Nord Stream 2 under review (neutral) AT: RBI - RBI ...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
CEZ CEZ AS
EVN EVN AG
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
HYDR FEDERAL HYDRO-GENERATING COMPANY - RUSHYDRO PJSC
GAZP GAZPROM PJSC
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 2, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - RDX DOWN MORE THAN IN 1998, MSCI RUSSIA THE MOST SINCE 2008 AS MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS CLOSEDWhile Moscow stock trading remains closed, offshore and composite indexes dropped another 6-57%. The RDX offshore DR index has now fallen 91% since its October decade-long peak, a fall sharper than that of 1998 or 2008. The government announced plans to support the market with share purchases, while capital restrictions and supply shocks have also been in the news.STORIES> Government mull...
- Alisa Zakirova
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Sidorova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Igor Rapokhin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Olga Sterina
- Research Team
- Rodion Lomivorotov
- Sergey Kolesnikov
- FRM
Debt Markets Today - March 2, 2022. Supply Shock Affecting Prices, Oil...
CIS EUROBOND MARKETRussian sovereign Eurobond quotes continued to fall yesterday, sliding another 12-30 pp to 27-35% of par. The market is still illiquid due to the significant uncertainty related to sanctions. Meanwhile, Ukrainian sovereign Eurobond quotes are in the 32-35% price range.GOVERNMENT DEBTAs was the case on Monday, there was no trading in local government bonds yesterday. Meanwhile, Euroclear and Clearstream announced that their accounts with the National Settlement Depository of Ru...
- Alisa Zakirova
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Sidorova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Igor Rapokhin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Olga Sterina
- Research Team
- Rodion Lomivorotov
- Sergey Kolesnikov
- FRM
Долговые рынки сегодня - 2 марта 2022. Финансовые результаты Полюса и ...
РЫНОК ВНЕШНЕГО ДОЛГА СТРАН СНГВчера котировки российских суверенных еврооблигаций продолжали снижаться, отступив еще на 12-30 п. п. до 27-35% от номинальной стои-мости. На рынке по-прежнему очень низкая ликвидность из-за высокого уровня неопределенности вокруг санкций. В то же время цены суверенных еврооблигаций Украины держались в пределах 32-35% от номинальной стоимости. ГОСУДАРСТВЕННЫЕ ЦЕННЫЕ БУМАГИВчера торги рублевыми гособлигациями не проводились, как и в понедельник. В то же время Eurocle...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 2 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСегодня утром котировки Брент выросли до $111/барр., и, вероятно, поднимутся еще выше, хотя МЭА объявило, что страны ОЭСР скоординированно выведут на рынок 60 млн барр. нефти из своих стратегических резервов. После объявлений ВР и Equinor, сделанных ранее на этой неделе, еще несколько крупных международных нефтяных компаний сообщили о решении продать свой бизнес в России или выразили серьезную обеспокоенность сложившейся ситуацией.НОВОСТИ> Нехватка предложения начала сказыва...
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
RusHydro - 2021 IFRS Results and Dividend Plans Above Expectations
RusHydro reported a strong set of 2021 IFRS results, which beat our estimates and the consensus. The company plans to pay a record-high DPS of R0.089 for 2021, which was also above our expectations and the consensus. RusHydro's key challenges this year will likely be refinancing more than R80 bln in debt and heavy capex spending.> 2021 numbers above our estimates and consensus. RusHydro's revenues including subsidies grew 7.1% y-o-y to R460.1 bln, 2% and 1% above our forecast and the consensus. ...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - February 28, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - NONRESIDENT SECURITY SALES FROZEN; POSSIBLE RUSSIA-UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS IN FOCUSThe RTS finished the week with a 33% decline to 937 and valuations at levels not seen since 2008 or earlier. This morning, the CBR froze security sales for nonresidents and delayed the opening of stock trading until at least 13:00 Moscow time. Negotiations scheduled between Russia, Ukraine and Belarus are the obvious focal point for markets, as well as any other news flow on market restrictions or sa...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 28 февраля 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ЗАПРЕТ ДЛЯ НЕРЕЗИДЕНТОВ НА ПРОДАЖУ РОССИЙСКИХ ЦЕННЫХ БУМАГ; В ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ ПЕРЕГОВОРЫ МЕЖДУ УКРАИНОЙ И РОССИЕЙИндекс РТС по итогам прошлой недели упал на 33% до 937 пунктов, рыночные оценки достигли уровней, которые не наблюдались как минимум с 2008 года. Сегодня утром Банк России ввел запрет для нерезидентов на продажу российских ценных бумаг и отложил начало торгов на рынке акций до 15:00 мск. В центре внимания сейчас, конечно, переговоры между Россией и Украиной, а ...
Inter RAO Q4 21 Earnings Preview - Positive results expected, yet turb...
-EBITDA to be boosted by the same factors as in Q1-3 21: higher yoy electricity prices, exports and electricity generation -The current geopolitical environment raises questions regarding turbine localisation plans, with the topic to be possibly touched upon during the conference call -Positive market reaction still possible
Despite a better risk assessment and improving to Neutral, INTER RAO Y...
INTER RAO YEES PAO (RU), a company active in the Conventional Electricity industry, improves its market behaviour and slightly increases its general evaluation. The independent financial analyst theScreener just upgraded the stock market behaviour as defensive. At a fundamental level, theScreener confirms 1 out of 4 possible stars; the general evaluation is slightly increased to Neutral but the title remains under pressure. As of the analysis date February 22, 2022, the closing price was RUB 3.2...
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
Russian Utilities - Following Interest Rate Trend
The shares of Russian power-generating companies (gencos) dropped 12% in ruble terms in 2021, underperforming the broader market by 27 pp amid an acceleration in inflation and rise in interest rates in Russia, which dimmed the dividend outlooks and the increased capex risks. Given the depressed current share prices, most of the stocks offer attractive returns. We expect to see investors become a bit more interested in the sector during the dividend season in June-July, but we do not anticipate a...
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Maria Martynova
- Research Team
- Sergey Donskoy
CIS Market Daily - February 11, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - HIGHEST US CPI IN FOUR DECADES, NORMANDY IMPASSE SIGNAL DECLINESAlthough markets were flat to positive early in the day, the US CPI report came in higher than expected and broke a four-decade record, sending US indexes down 1.6-2.1% by the close. Russia had outperformed, the RTS climbing 0.8% to 1,547. However, the combination of global markets repricing US inflation and rates risks, and a downbeat impasse from yesterday's Normandy talks, has left major Russia indicators down 1-...
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