reports
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 22.04.2022
AT: AMAG - Multi-year order from Ruag Aerostructures (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Radka Doehring appointed as a memeber of the executive board (neutral) AT: Polytec - FY 21 results broadly in line with expectations, no guidance on FY 22 (neutral) CZ: CEZ - CEZ to extend Detmarovice hard coal-fired power plant life byond H1 2023 for security of supply reasons (neutral) PL: PGNiG - Disappointing crude output and lower gas distribution volumes to weigh on Q1 earning (negative) RU: Fertil...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 13.04.2022
AT: Flughafen Wien - March traffic statistics show sequential improvements (positive) AT: S IMMO - Acquisition of 41.5 k sqm Business Park in Bucharest (neutral) HU: Magyar Telekom - AGM approves HUF 15 bn dividend (neutral) PL: Bank Millennium - Q1 22 pre-earnings call (neutral) PL: Bank Pekao - Q1 22 pre-earnings call (neutral) PL: LPP - Higher inventories maintained allowing for 4 months of sales (neutral) PL: mBank - Informing about Q1 level of FX mortgage related risk provisio...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Igor Rapokhin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 21, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - EQUITIES FROZEN, CAPITAL CONTROLS REMAIN AMID FALLOUT OF "SPECIAL MILITARY OPERATION"EPAM Systems surged 8% and VEON 22%, while Polymetal fell 14% on Friday. The ruble fell 1.6-1.7% both in Moscow and offshore to trade around USD/RUB 104-105. While equities remain frozen, trading of ruble-denominated OFZ sovereign debt will resume today. STORIES> How the balance of payments is likely to evolve amid the crisis> Monetary policy set to be stimulatory for a couple of years> CBR Revi...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Igor Rapokhin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 21 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ТОРГОВЛЯ АКЦИЯМИ ПО-ПРЕЖНЕМУ ЗАМОРОЖЕНА, ОГРАНИЧЕНИЯ НА ДВИЖЕНИЕ КАПИТАЛА СОХРАНЯЮТСЯБумаги EPAM Systems выросли в пятницу в цене на 8%, VEON - на 22%, Polymetal подешевел на 14%. Рубль в Москве и на зарубежных площадках ослаб на 1,6-1,7% до 104-105 за доллар. Торговля акциями на МосБирже по-прежнему заморожена, но сегодня должны возобновиться торги ОФЗ. НОВОСТИ> Денежно-кредитная политика станет стимулирующей> Перспективы платежного баланса в условиях кризиса> Итоги засе...
- Andrew Keeley
- Arthur Cherkesov
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 18.02.2022
AT: Rosenbauer - Preliminary FY 21 results in line with reduced guidance and RBIe but weaker than expected margin outlook for FY 22 (negative) AT: Vienna Insurance Group - Headline FY 21 figures to exceed guidance and expectations (positive) HU: MOL - Clean Q4 earnings slightly above consensus, but lower 2022 earnings and sFCF guidance (neutral) RU: Novatek - Capex program is set at RUB 200 bn for 2022e (neutral) RU: Russian Steel - FAS fines should be based on 2020 revenue (positive)
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - February 18, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - NEW RUSSIA-US DIPLOMATIC MEETING EASES SOME MARKET CONCERNSThe RTS sank 4.9% to 1,450 yesterday, sharply underperforming peers after a series of concerning political headlines in the afternoon. However, the announcement of a meeting next week between the top Russian and US diplomats has helped ease the tensions, and RTS futures are up 1.8% early this morning. The global backdrop has also improved to mixed after a weak day for global stock markets.STORIES> EPFR: Russia sees bette...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 18 февраля 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НОВАЯ ЗАПЛАНИРОВАННАЯ ВСТРЕЧА ПРЕДСТАВИТЕЛЕЙ РОССИИ И США НЕСКОЛЬКО УСПОКОИЛА РЫНОКИндекс РТС вчера снизился на 4,9% до 1 450 пунктов, сильно отстав от других развивающихся рынков после ряда тревожных политических новостей. Однако сообщение о запланированной на следующую неделю встрече российских и американских дипломатов немного сгладило ситуацию, и сегодня утром фьючерсы на индекс РТС прибавили 1,8%. Ситуация на глобальных фондовых рынках также немного улучшилась. НОВОС...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - February 17, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - REFRESHED UKRAINE WORRIES ON DONBASS VIOLENCE, US ACCUSATIONSThe RTS gained 1.8% yesterday to reach 1,525, but early this morning futures are down more than 3%. Claims of ceasefire violations in eastern Ukraine, US allegations of rising Russian troop deployments and a generally poor global backdrop are weighing on the market. Last night's MSCI Russia 10-40 pricing, several company events, EU and NATO summits, and scheduled remarks from top Russian officials are among the events ...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 17 февраля 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - СИТУАЦИЯ ВОКРУГ УКРАИНЫ ВНОВЬ ВЫЗЫВАЕТ ОБЕСПОКОЕННОСТЬ ИЗ-ЗА ОБОСТРЕНИЯ СИТУАЦИИ В ДОНБАССЕ И ОБВИНЕНИЙ СШАВчера индекс РТС вырос на 1,8% до 1 525 пунктов, но сегодня утром вновь теряет более 3%. Сообщения о нарушении режима прекращения огня на востоке Украины, заявления США об усилении российского военного присутствия на границе с Украиной и в целом негативный глобальный фон оказывают сейчас давление на рынок. Сегодня в центре внимания - вчерашнее изменение состава индек...
Novatek Q4 21 - Total DPS for 2021 might set a new record of RUB 70.2
EBITDA was close to projections despite higher than anticipated revenue Strong net income pushes Novateks DPS to RUB 70.2 for 2021 First dividends from Yamal LNG supported free cash flow in Q4 21 We consider the results to be neutral for the stock
- Andrey Gromadin
- Cole Akeson
- Konstantin Samarin
- Maria Martynova
- Research Team
- Sergey Donskoy
CIS Market Daily - February 15, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - RTS'S 5% INTRADAY DECLINE PARED BY FOLLOWING POLICY REMARKSThe RTS ultimately fell 3% yesterday, having partly offset a 5% intraday decline following policy remarks from President Vladimir Putin and other Russian and European top officials. Futures and early trading suggest a continued rebound, though we note that global markets are highly volatile under rates and inflation concerns. Today's agenda is full of high-level political events, as well as Yandex's results.STORIES> Nova...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Cole Akeson
- Konstantin Samarin
- Maria Martynova
- Research Team
- Sergey Donskoy
CIS Market Daily - 15 февраля 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ИНДЕКС РТС ПОСЛЕ ПРОСАДКИ В ТЕЧЕНИЕ ДНЯ НА 5% СУМЕЛ ОТЧАСТИ КОМПЕНСИРОВАТЬ ПОТЕРИ БЛАГОДАРЯ ЗАЯВЛЕНИЯМ ПОЛИТИКОВ По итогам вчерашней сессии индекс РТС опустился на 3%, отчасти компенсировав пятипроцентное снижение в течение дня благодаря высказываниям президента России Владимира Путина, а также других российских и европейских политиков. Котировки фьючерсов и оптимистичное начало торгов указывают на сохранение восходящего тренда, однако отметим, что глобальные рынки сейча...
Novatek Q4 21 Earnings Preview - High prices and dividends from Yamal ...
Favourable hydrocarbon prices to drive Novateks Q4 21e financial results First dividends from Yamal LNG to maintain the companys cash flow in Q4 21e We estimate Q4 21e FCF at USD 715 mn Novatek will release Q4 21e IFRS results on February 16
- Andrey Gromadin
- Konstantin Samarin
Oil and Gas - Strong 4Q21 Results Expected, 1Q22 Outlook Even Brighter
The 4Q21 earnings season is about to kick off starting with Rosneft on Friday, followed by Novatek (February 16) and Gazprom Neft (February 17) next week. Lukoil, Tatneft and Gazprom will report 4Q21 financials in March-April. We expect sector EBITDA to rise again, particularly in the gas segment amid record high European gas prices. Dividend distributions should rise across the sector as well. Based on our estimates for 4Q21, most of the companies should see their full-year financials bounce ba...
LKOH OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC
SIBN NOVATEK JSC
GAZP GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
ROSN GAZPROM PJSC
NVTK ROSNEFT OIL CO.
LKODN ROSNEFT OIL CO. SPONSORED GDR REGS
OGZD NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
TATNP OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC SPONSORED ADR
GZPFY GAZPROM (GDR)
TATNEFT (PREF A)
GAZPROM NEFT (GDR)
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 02.02.2022
AT: Atrium - Announcement of the amount and payment dates of dividends based on adj. FFO (neutral) AT: Palfinger - Contract of CFO Strohbichler extended until the end of 2027 (neutral) AT: Raiffeisen Bank International - Q4 2021 consolidated net profit of EUR 317 mn 24% ahead of consensus / FY 22 guidance announced and proposed EUR 1.15 DPS from 2021 HU: MOL - January model refinery and petchem margins lower mom mainly due to higher gas prices (negative) PL: AmRest - Development agree...
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
ARHOF AMREST HOLDING
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
PAL PALFINGER AG
CCC CCC SA
LNTA LENTA INTERNATIONAL PJSC
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
NVTK NOVATEK JSC
SIBN GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
GAZP GAZPROM PJSC
ROSN ROSNEFT OIL CO.
SNGS SURGUTNEFTEGAS PJSC
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
- Anastasia Khakhaeva
- Andrey Gromadin
- Cole Akeson
- Ekaterina Usanova
- Fedor Kornachev
- Konstantin Samarin
- Mikhail Krasnoperov
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - February 1, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - MARKETS MELTING UP; NEW US SANCTIONS BILL IMMINENTThe MSCI ACWI climbed 1.7% as global markets continued to climb on the last day of the month, with consumer discretionary and tech names in the lead. Easing US futures and a lack of fundamental drivers signal the global rally needs a new catalyst to push further. Russia melted up yesterday, the RTS climbing 2.0% to 1,435, while a new US sanctions bill and diplomatic headlines appear imminent today, as detailed below.STORIES> Luko...
- Anastasia Khakhaeva
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Cole Akeson
- Ekaterina Usanova
- Fedor Kornachev
- Konstantin Samarin
- Mikhail Krasnoperov
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 1 февраля 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НАСТРОЙ НА РЫНКАХ УЛУЧШИЛСЯ, В США ОЖИДАЕТСЯ НОВЫЙ ЗАКОНОПРОЕКТ О САНКЦИЯХИндекс MSCI ACWI вчера прибавил 1,7%, глобальные рынки в последний день января продолжали расти, при этом больше всего поднялись котировки потребительских и высокотехнологичных компаний. Снижение фьючерсов на фондовые индексы США и нехватка фундаментальных драйверов свидетельствуют о том, что для продолжения ралли на глобальных рынках необходим новый катализатор. На российском рынке вчера настрой ул...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 14.01.2022
AT: Andritz - Andritz received order for cut-to-length line (neutral) AT: AT&S - AT&S bookbuilding of hybrid: EUR 350 mn at 5% yield (neutral) RO: BRD-GSG - BRD's Board proposed a cash dividend of RON 1,684 mn (DY 13%) as an exceptional payment (positive) RU: ALROSA - December 21 diamond sales to be partially recognised in January 22 (neutral) RU: Novatek - Preliminary operating data reveals close-to-estimates production figures for 2021 (neutral)
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - January 14, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - A 6% CORRECTION ON DIPLOMAT QUOTES, BUT THE OVERALL BACKDROP IS MORE COMPLEXThe RTS saw its sharpest fall since April 2020, coinciding with negative remarks from diplomats regarding recent days' negotiations. However, the broader picture even on that issue is more complex. Meanwhile, Russia indicators have bounced back overnight. Global stock markets are under pressure separately, largely due to hawkish remarks from Fed officials that are of particular concern for growth stocks....
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