HEADLINES: • Aselsan: to tap DIRCM market POSITIVE • Romania macro: Government survives vote of no confidence, as expected • Wizz Air: to exit Abu Dhabi by the end of the summer • Bank Pekao: to book PLN 417m of extra provisions related to various legal risks in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl at 395,000 in 1H25, flat yoy NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: completes early repayment of EUR 230m retail bond NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 24 July) • Bank Millenn...
HEADLINES: • TBC Bank: good run, approaching fair value (downgraded to HOLD) • Krka: preliminary 2Q25 numbers – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 50/50 JV with Motor Oil Hellas over their electricity supply and gas-fired power generation activities POSITIVE • DO & CO: EUR 2.00/share dividend approved, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • OTE: 2Q25E results preview – 2% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 August)
HEADLINES: • Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania stays BUY, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays HOLD) • Pepco Group: 3Q25 revenues of New Pepco up 8% yoy, in line with expectations; FY25E guidance maintained; EUR 50m buyback NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H25 sales up by a solid 8% yoy, as largely expected NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: Ministry of State Asset...
We have increased our 12M price target (PT) for MONETA Money Bank to CZK 149.4/share (from CZK 116.2/share), while we keep our HOLD rating on the stock, due to its dividend angle. However, with a 2025E P/E and P/BV of 11.4x and 2.2x, respectively, we see its valuation as full, with no room for a multiples rerating, and we consider MONETA as one of our least preferred names in the CE3 banking space. On the one side, if there is any issue with the bank’s equity story, e.g., political risks after t...
We have downgraded Komercni Banka to HOLD (from Buy), and we set our updated 12M price target (PT) at CZK 1,108 (up from CZK 959/share), 7% upside. We see the c.9% annual dividend yield as the key return for shareholders in the next 12 months. We believe that the high yield should be sustainable over the next two years, as we have prolonged our assumption of a 100% dividend payout ratio by one year, beyond management’s explicit current guidance. Komercni Banka is trading at our 2025-26E P/Es of ...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: MPC turns cautiously dovish on the fiscal package • Hungary macro: June inflation picks up further • Kruk: 2Q25 trading update shows a pick up in recoveries vs. 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 2Q25 revenue at USD 59m, down 7% yoy and 6% qoq NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: June sales growth at 10% yoy, implying 2Q25E revenue growth of also 10% yoy NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: 280k copies of The Alters sold NEUTRAL • Murapol: sells 708 apartments and hands over 289 units in...
A director at Bank Handlowy W Warszawie sold 2,612 shares at 121.880PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: growth prism – new angles, brighter future (stays BUY) • European oil and gas monthly: June 2025 – bullish cues from Hormuz • Baltic Classifieds Group: solid FY 2H25 results, affected by one-offs NEUTRAL • Text: key takeaways from the preliminary 1Q25-26 earnings call NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: makes new natural gas discovery POSITIVE • Arabian Drilling: secures contract extensions for four rigs POSITIVE
Brent crude oil prices rose USD 5.8/bbl vs. the previous month, on the fear of a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. Despite rising crude prices, a strong diesel crack means that the WOOD benchmark also improved, to USD 13.0/bbl, the highest level since March 2024. Petrochemicals margins were lower, but not affected by the high oil prices, as may have been expected.
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: discussing a new fiscal package with the EU • Romanian banks: government to increase tax on gross revenues to 4% NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy – Poland: bigger, happier but also more divided • Poland macro: MPC reduces the policy rate by 25bps • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) preliminary results – MRR of USD 7.17m (up 0.7% qoq, up 1.4% yoy); 928 net LiveChat customers outflow NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: guiding for PLN 33m outflow related to the 2018-19 increased fees; PLN 50-...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
Two Directors at Orlen S.A bought 4,010 shares at between 76.890PLN and 77.000PLN. The significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last ...
HEADLINES: • Murapol Group: running to stand still (HOLD – initiation of coverage) • Dom Development: fairly valued, after a rally (downgraded to HOLD) • Text 4Q24-25 (calendar 1Q25) results: EBITDA up 3% yoy, 4% below consensus NEGATIVE • Arçelik: disposal of buyback shares NEUTRAL
MSCI ACWI and EM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea to Overweight We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115). ACWI-US is now breaking out above 6-month resistance to all-time highs and EEM-US is breaking above $47, further confirming our bullish outl...
HEADLINES: • Greek banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD, NBG stays BUY and Piraeus upgraded to BUY) • PGE: new strategy assumes PLN 30bn of EBITDA in 2035E and PLN 235bn in capex in 2025-35E NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao/PZU: call for analysts and investors to discuss potential merger • CCC: final 1Q25 results spot on the prelims NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation jumps in May • GEK Terna: clinches EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: AGM appr...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: May sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: Steam demo of Moonlighter 2 attracted limited interest and disappointing reviews NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: increases prices for its Nju mobile post-paid tariffs POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: acquires Romanian hosting company Hosterion for EUR 6.7m NEUTRAL • DO & CO: 4Q FY25E preview - 7% EBITDA growth yoy (due on 12 June) • Text: 4Q24-25E preview – 10% yoy EBITDA increase expected (due on 27 June)
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