reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TPE PW; 11B PW; KTY PW; KTY PW; Hungary macro; MOL HB; CTP...
HEADLINES: • Tauron: 2025-35 strategy - very ambitious targets, but unrealistic, in our view NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: decides to discontinue Project 8 NEGATIVE • Kety: preliminary 4Q24 results flat yoy NEUTRAL • Kety: management guidance for 2025E NEGATIVE • Hungary macro: MNB reinforces the hawkish stance • MOL: to acquire additional upstream and infrastructure assets in Hungary NEUTRAL • CTP: buys EUR 155m land plot in Dusseldorf, Germany • Baltic Classifieds Group: CEO sells 4m shares (0.8% ...
- Research Team
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LPP PW; RO Macro; EAT PW; 11B PW; ENA PW; RICHT HB; OTP HB...
HEADLINES: • LPP: soft 3Q24 – EBIT down 9% yoy; FY24E guidance maintained; FY25E guidance in line with our expectations on P&L, but rollout acceleration to 35-40% yoy NEGATIVE • Romania macro: update on inflation and the political negotiations • AmRest: interim dividend of EUR 0.07 POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: launches project analysis, may result in impairment losses NEGATIVE • Enea: highlights from management board meeting on strategy update NEUTRAL • Richter: FDA accepts submission for denosuma...
- Felix Fischer
PFD PREMIER FOODS PLC
AMS AMS AG
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
EO FAURECIA SA
105I SAPPI LIMITED
TEVA.N TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
LBTYA LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC CLASS A
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
CCK CROWN HOLDINGS INC.
RXL REXEL SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
725180 STADA ARZNEIMITTEL AG
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
TUI1 TUI AG
NEX NEXANS SA
VED VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
VCP VICTORIA PLC
AF AIR FRANCE-KLM SA
BBD.B BOMBARDIER INC. CLASS B
SYNT SYNTHOMER PLC
INTRUM INTRUM AB
888 888 HOLDINGS PLC
IPF INTERNATIONAL PERSONAL FINANCE PLC
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
TC1 TELE COLUMBUS AG
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
103M SASOL LIMITED
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
TALK TALKTALK TELECOM GROUP PLC
TATAMOTORS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
PL8 PLAYTECH PLC
ARW ARROW GLOBAL GROUP PLC
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
SPIE SPIE SA
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
ARD ARDAGH GROUP S.A. CLASS A
PFL PFLEIDERER GROUP SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
CDR CODERE S.A.
GAME GAMENET GROUP SPA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS PLC
TIFS TI FLUID SYSTEMS
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
AXA AXACTOR SE
BORR SECURITAS DIRECT AB CL B
BORR DRILLING LTD
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EU Oil and Gas Monthly; BHW PW; MYTIL GA; APR PW; TL Banks...
HEADLINES: • European oil and gas monthly: November 2024 – gas inventories down, prices up • Bank Handlowy: published its 2025-27E strategy on 6 December NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: pushes EC to promote CRMs, as it preps EUR 300m investment to boost bauxite and alumina production, plus brand-new gallium production facility POSITIVE • Auto Partner: November sales growth slows down to 5% yoy, well below our expectations NEGATIVE • Turkish banks: BRSA announces financial services companies wi...
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
FTSHP FOOTSHOP A.S.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Russell Waller
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BCG LN; KTY PW; CDR PW; 11B PW; BFT PW; BDX PW; OPL PW; PG...
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: strong FY 1H25 financial results; conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Kety: Roman Przybylski (current deputy CEO) to become new CEO NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: update on the US class action lawsuit regarding the technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: starts marketing campaign for Moonlighter 2 publishing project NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2024 • 11 bit studios: postcard from Prague • Benefit Systems: postcard from Prague...
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
RICHT RICHTER
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RO Macro; PL Macro; PGE PW; HU Macro; TL Macro; ACP PW; TX...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: important comments ahead of the second round of elections • Poland macro: NBP extends the pause • PGE: CEO comments on strategy, coal assets and nuclear power plant NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: Magyar aims to unlock EU funds and enter the Eurozone • Türkiye macro: November inflation shows key challenge remains in food prices • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2024 • Asseco Poland: postcard from Prague • Text: postcard from Prague • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: postca...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Utilities; GPP PW; PZU PW; HU Macro; 4IG HB; CPS PW; WP...
HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: with coal, through thick and thin (Enea (HOLD), PGE (SELL) and Tauron (HOLD) - transfer of coverage) • Grupa Pracuj: volume rebound expected in 2025E (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: strong profits and attractive shareholder returns implied by 2025-27E strategy update POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB nominations and opinion polls swings • 4iG: 3Q24 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.26%, while WP TV at 0.69% in Novemb...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkiye rebounds, Romania declines
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ONE CTP NV
GPP ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
7203 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AQ ELM CO
TRESTATES AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
BANK OF CYPRUS
- Bram Buring
- CFA
- Jakub Bronicki
Polish Utilities: with coal, through thick and thin (Enea (HOLD), PGE ...
Following a change in analyst responsibilities, we transfer coverage, and update our forecasts and outlook, of the Polish utilities, due to the recent (non) development of the coal carve out. In view of: 1) Enea’s recent strategy update, assuming coal generation within the group until 2035E; 2) Tauron’s comments on “being prepared” for no carve out; and 3) with no dedicated funds in the 2025 budget to finance the plan, we do not see a carve out happening soon. While we do not rule it out, the ch...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PZU PW; CBF PW; SHO PW; DUNAHOUS HB; KAP LI; TPE PW; GE Ma...
HEADLINES: • PZU: newswires drop a bomb just before company's strategic update – Bank Pekao may buy a 32% stake in Alior from PZU • cyber_Folks: concludes preliminary agreement to purchase a 49.9% stake in Shoper for a total of PLN 547.5m NEUTRAL • Shoper: preliminary agreement for the sale of 49.9% of SHO's shares to cyber_Folks at PLN 39/share NEUTRAL • Duna House: 3Q24 results – a good set of numbers POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: 3Q24 results beat expectations POSITIVE • Tauron: full 3Q24 results i...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KLKIM TI; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly – Year Ahead, Part 2; ...
HEADLINES: • Kalekim: compelling growth story yet to be priced in (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one – the Year Ahead issue, part 2 • Athens Exchange Group: solid delivery in 3Q24, small beat vs. our expectations POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 3Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • GTC: 3Q24 – recurring broadly in line, risk-on after German acquisition NEUTRAL • Romania macro: implications of the presidential elect...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: AEGN GA; GTC PW; AQ RO; GEV CP; HSBK LI; BFT PW; MOH GA; K...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: high net cash position and strong FCFF yield (upgraded to BUY) • GTC: buys German residential portfolio worth EUR 448m • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: gross margin and wage costs weigh on the 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 3Q24 broadly in line with our expectations; new signed contracts for defence and high-tech industries NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q24 highlights – solid, on the back of better-than-expected NIM • Benefit Systems: 3Q24 call takeaways – strong long-term ...
- Peter Palovic
WOOD Flash – GEVORKYAN: 3Q24 broadly in line with our expectations; ne...
GEVORKYAN has delivered 3Q24 results that were broadly in line with our expectations. We highlight that the company managed to deliver an EBITDA margin of 32% (one of the best in its history) and should deliver on its 2024E adjusted EBITDA (adjusted for one-off expenses) guidance of EUR 28.1m. However, we believe that its 2024E reported EBITDA will be lower, at EUR 26.1-26.5m, but this is in line with our 2024E EBITDA, at EUR 26.4m. Based on its signed long-term contracts (99% signed, out of EUR...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BFT PW; PBK RO; CAR PW; FTSHP CP; AEGN GA; SFG RO; CBF PW;...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: 3Q24 in line with our forecasts; solid trading update; 2025E outlook and 2025-27E strategy POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong 3Q24 results POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q24 EBITDA 1-4% below our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Footshop (NOT RATED): solid 3Q24; 2024E guidance boosted POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 – flat RASK, CASKX up 14%; 27% lower EBIT, on 4% lower ASK (in line) NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: 3Q24 post-results webcast takeaways POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: ke...
- Krisztian Karikas
Consistent growth in Q3, net profit boosted by Spanish network sale
DIGI has reported its Q3 2024 earnings today morning. Revenues increased by 14.2% YoY, mainly driven by the Spanish segment where the revenue increased by 22.1% YoY. While the OPEX and DD&A both increased YoY, the EBIT came in ten times higher at EUR 447mn driven by an EUR 390mn other income coming from the partial sale of its Spanish FTTH network. EBITDA arrived at 565.4 in Q3, up by 276% YoY and Net profit rose to EUR 342.8mn from last year’s EUR 13mn.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: 11B PW; SFG RO; AEGN GA; ELPE GA; HTO GA; SNG RO; MTELEKOM...
HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: 3Q24 surprises slightly positively, but ytd Frostpunk 2 sales disappoint NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: small beat in 3Q24 – new Cioccolatitaliani franchise signed for Italy POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 – flat RASK, CASKX up 14%; 27% lower EBIT, on 4% lower ASK (in line) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q24 results and interim dividend NEUTRAL • OTE: 3Q24 results review – soft quarter, with flat yoy adjusted EBITDA, in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 3Q24 results N...
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CCC CCC SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
VRC VERCOM SA
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Ian Wong
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Air Baltic, Aggreko, PHM Group, Rekeep, Hapag-Lloyd, Bite, Applus, Iliad, Digi Communications, Kem One, Axactor, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Premier Foods, CBR Fashion, Telecom Italia, Boparan, Altice France (SFR), Ineos, Ineos Quattro, Casino Guichard-Perrachon
- Russell Waller
Digi (Equal Weight) Q3 24: Capex up; Belgium/Portugal updates (not go...
Digi has reported a good set of Q2 numbers vs expectations, with EBITDAaL +11% ahead of consensus. 2024 capex guidance has though been lifted for the third quarter in a row, and new guidance for 2025 is well ahead of our model.
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