HEADLINES: • Romanian Oil & Gas: still beyond the horizon (OMV Petrom downgraded to HOLD, Romgaz stays HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: Türkiye – twin deficits ameliorate, challenges persist • Huuuge Games: 2Q25 in line with expectations, USD 120m share buyback announced POSITIVE • Noval Property: 1H25 – FFO seems en route to exceed FY guidance POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways – to test new small warehouse in Germany NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: to pay extra dividend in October POSIT...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: 2Q25 EBITDA misses our and the market's expectations by 4-5% NEGATIVE • Eurozone macro: so far, so good • Colt CZ Group SE: multiple military contracts POSITIVE • CEZ: Babis will not buy CEZ "at any price" NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: PGE, Enea and Tauron contract 5.9 GW of new capacity obligations for 2026 NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation soars in August • Türkiye macro: interest rates drop, but monetary stance remains tight • LPP: 2Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITD...
HEADLINES: • PGE: decent 2Q25 recurring EBITDA, 8% above our expectations; strong cash generation POSITIVE • CEZ: ANO deputy chair puts cost of CEZ nationalisation at CZK 250bn POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-7 September) • Greece macro: 2Q GDP – first impressions • VIGO Photonics: signs letters of intent with PCO and CRW Telesystem-Mesko POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 2Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth forecast (due on 11 September) • Short News (CDR)
HEADLINES: • AmRest: 2Q25 below expectations, due to weak France NEGATIVE • Diagnostyka: 2Q25 results slightly above expectations, but down qoq NEUTRAL • Eurowag: 2Q25 results – beat on the top line, EBITDA a small miss NEUTRAL • CEZ: ANO’s campaign platform calling for 100% nationalisation NEUTRAL • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • Jumbo: sales growth momentum intact in August, +8% in 8M25; tightens grip on opex POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL ...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • Allegro: August is harvest time (downgraded to HOLD) • Hungary macro: challenging conditions keeping fiscal pressure high • Patria Bank: solid delivery in 2Q25 POSITIVE • Premier Energy: 2Q25 normalised EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • 4iG: 2Q25 results review – 11% yoy increase in reported EBITDA, 3% above our estimate NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 2Q25 – continued progress with disposals; cancels treasury shares, launches new buyback • MedLife: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings ...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: all about capital returns (stays BUY) • Colt CZ Group SE: acquires SNC – a strategic move POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: 2Q25 EBITDA 14-24% above our and the market's expectations; guidance on new projects POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 2Q25 EBITDA 19-24% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) results – EBITDA down 21% yoy, 5% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 2Q25 soft, but better than we expected; FY25E budget cut NEGATIVE • MedLi...
HEADLINES: • Tupras: enjoying life in the margins (stays BUY) • Kruk: 2Q25 beat, on a positive tax balance, lower financial costs and a drop in the cost to collect ratio POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 24% yoy, 6% above the consensus; weak 2H25E outlook NEGATIVE • Enea: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA 15% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply and better Generation; PLN 2.8bn capex, including wind farm acquisitions POSITIVE • Gentoo Media: 2Q25 financial...
HEADLINES: • Ten Square Games: 2Q25 adjusted EBITDA down 11% qoq, 4-9% above expectations POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, in line with our forecast, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways – supportive of the 2026E outlook NEUTRAL • Akcansa: competition investigation launched NEGATIVE • MedLife: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 August)
HEADLINES: • NEPI Rockcastle: 1H25 good (first look), FFO guidance revised upwards POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 2Q25 highlights – 2025E guidance revised down, but still targeting >30% ROE NEGATIVE • Turkish Airlines: buys a stake in Air Europa for EUR 300m • 11 bit studios: early access release date for Moonlighter 2: The Endless Vault set as 23 October NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: 2Q25E preview – just flat earnings yoy (due on 18 September)
HEADLINES: • NLB Group: still cheap, despite the rally (stays BUY) • DIGI Communications: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA down 1% yoy, 2% below our estimate NEGATIVE • DO & CO: 1Q FY26 results above our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: GDP growth steady in 2Q • Polish banks: tax on obligatory reserve remuneration may be announced in the coming weeks NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: consortium with MBR signs PLN 30m “eco bomb” contract POSITIVE • CEZ: E.ON negotiating, reportedly, with CEZ on the sale of ...
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: opening the next chapter (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: CEO Klesyk dismissed NEGATIVE • MOL: 2Q25 results hit by one-off charge NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • NLB Group: material bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mainly to provisions and impairments released POSITIVE • CCC: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 1-5%, on the top line POSITIVE • Akcansa: 2Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Brisa: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Cimsa:...
We have upgraded CD Projekt (CDR) to BUY (from Sell), and increased our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 289 (from PLN 157), which offers 17% potential upside. So far, CDR has proven successful in filling the “gap” years with surprising content and attractive newsflow. With a sound performance from the back catalogue and some new, undisclosed projects, we believe that CDR could continue this way through to 2027E, when we assume The Witcher 4 release, opening a new chapter. The supportive newsflow ar...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 2Q25 delivery reaffirms our FY25E net profit forecast of c. PLN 7bn, still ahead of the market consensus NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 2Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Akcansa: weak 2Q25 financial results, with signs of recovery NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 2Q25 results – recovery in the operating performance overshadowed by losses on the bottom line NEUTRAL • Brisa: 2Q25 results in line, very much like 1Q25 NE...
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