HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q24 results softer than demanding market expectations, but our medium-term outlook confirmed NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: mixed 1Q24 financial results NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (29 April-5 May) • Huuuge Games: April bookings estimate at USD 11m, down 21% mom NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: April bookings estimate down 20% mom NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: INDIKA release attracts very positive reviews on Steam, but low peak in number of players NEGATIVE • Cyf...
A director at Mytilineos S.A. sold 8,694 shares at 38.574EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q24 results – 19%+ headline ROE affected only slightly by FX mortgage saga costs • Bank Pekao: 1Q24 results in line with market's expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 4Q23 headlines hit heavily by write-offs, but a more limited EBITDA loss than we had expected NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q24 results – chemicals stronger than expected NEUTRAL • Borouge: 1Q24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • Garan...
On April 25, Mytilineos (MYTIL) announced, as part of its strategic review, that it is considering a potential international listing on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) within the next 12–18 months. Listing on the LSE would demonstrate a strong vote of confidence by MYTIL in the UK market and aligns with its international growth ambitions, allowing the company to leverage its geographically diverse portfolio of operations. It would provide greater liquidity for investors and enable MYTIL to conti...
HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: strong 1Q24 delivery, on better-than- expected revenues POSITIVE • Alior Bank: books small beat on 1Q24 delivery, driven by low credit risk charges; robust 2024E outlook supported POSITIVE • Shoper: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA 9% above our expectations; FY23 results in line with prelims POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 4% miss vs. our 4Q23 adjusted EBITDA forecast, weak cash flows NEGATIVE • Wizz Air: fiscal 2024 post-close trading update POSITIVE • Aselsan: CEO's comments on exports...
In 2023, GTC launched – and eventually walked away from – an attempt to take over Ultima. Under new leadership, the company entered 2024 with an LTV of 49%, having made EUR 65m in FFO in 2023 (EUR 71m, if adjusted for non-recurring cost items). The key task ahead is the refinancing of the 2026E EUR 500m green bond. GTC plans to exit the Ireland data-centre development project, which could help it to repay part of the bonds. Importantly, it has secured permission to expand the technological campu...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 1Q24 results – EBITDAaL up 5% yoy, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: strong miss on EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • GTC: 4Q23 – no material revaluation result, focus remains on refinancing ahead NEUTRAL • Poland macro: retail sales stay brisk in March • Hungary macro: MNB slows down pace of rate cuts • Kruk: 1Q24E preview (due on 8 May, after the close) • Bank Handlowy: 1Q24E preview (due on 9 May) • Eurocash: 1Q24E results preview – 16% yoy EBITDA ...
HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: 1Q24 highlights Kruk: buys more portfolios in Italy • Tupras: launches USD 256m propylene investment NEUTRAL • Turkish banks: coverage UNDER REVIEW • Sipchem: 1Q24E results preview (due on 25 April) NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 1Q24E results preview – 11% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 April, before the open) • Erste Bank: 1Q24E preview (due on 30 April) • BRD-GSG: 1Q24E preview (due on 2 May) NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 1Q24E preview (due on 9 May) • Banca Transilvania: 1Q24E...
• LPP: the glass is half full (stays BUY) • Eurocash: 4Q23 beat on costs, profit warning for 1Q24E • 11 bit studios: 4Q23 adjusted EBITDA beats expectations on a solid top line • Polish banks: 2024 contributions to the BFG • MOL: oil production starts on a new platform at ACG field • Ford Otosan: completes the Eurobond book-building process • Kalekim: 2023 IAS 29 results - strong operating results • Lamda: 4Q23 results - a significant step-up in Ellinikon revenues, revaluation gain on existing m...
HEADLINES: • Lamda: 4Q23 results - significant step-up in Ellinikon revenues, revaluation gain on existing malls • Electrica: proposed changes to the regulatory framework • Bank Pekao: AGM chooses new Supervisory Board members, approves PLN 19.2 DPS • 11 bit studios: release date of INDIKA moved to 2 May • Nuclearelectrica: shareholders abstain from voting on the items from yesterday’s GMS • EMEA airlines: 1Q24 traffic - a good start to the year • Budimex: 1Q24E flat yoy - profitability improvem...
• Pegasus Airlines: 1Q24 traffic - international ASK up 85% vs. 1Q19 • 11 bit studios: Frostpunk 2 Beta now available for seven days, first gameplay deep dive trailer released • VIGO Photonics: 1Q24 sales down 16% yoy to PLN 15.8m • Grupa Pracuj: new online job ads number down 19% yoy in March 2024 • Auto Partner: earnings call takeaways - solid FY24E outlook maintained, despite disappointing March sales • CCC: key takeaways from the recent site visit • Kazatomprom: awarded a licence for Rare Ea...
A director at Digi Communications NV sold 35,000 shares at 54.209RON and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
Stellar delivery, bulletproof growth, and more catalysts ahead… – Over the past two years Mytilineos has reported impressive results, leveraging synergies arising from the vertically integrated model. Following outstanding delivery to the ambitious FY’23 EBITDA target of €1bn (+23% yoy), we still see ample room for growth, now estimating FY’24 EBITDA of €1.14bn (+13% yoy) and a 3-year EBITDA CAGR of 10%, driven by a step-up in Renewables and solid growth Metals. Moreover, we view the value-accre...
Stellar delivery, bulletproof growth, and more catalysts ahead… – Over the past two years Mytilineos has reported impressive results, leveraging synergies arising from the vertically integrated model. Following outstanding delivery to the ambitious FY’23 EBITDA target of €1bn (+23% yoy), we still see ample room for growth, now estimating FY’24 EBITDA of €1.14bn (+13% yoy) and a 3-year EBITDA CAGR of 10%, driven by a step-up in Renewables and solid growth Metals. Moreover, we view the value-accre...
HEADLINES: • Middle Eastern Oil Services: we’re going with what’s growing (ADNOC Drilling upgraded to BUY, Arabian Drilling downgraded to HOLD) • Public Power Corporation: 4Q23 earnings review NEUTRAL • Kruk: 1Q24 trading update shows strong recoveries POSITIVE • Budimex: 4Q23 figures in line with the preliminary guidance NEUTRAL • Budimex: management recommends PLN 35.69 DPS (5% dividend yield), above our expectations POSITIVE • Polish utilities: Industry Ministry plans to link mines to coal-fi...
HEADLINES: • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 trading statement POSITIVE • OMV: 1Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24E CHF mortgage saga provisions land at PLN 507m NEUTRAL • Polish gencos: IndMin floats notion of alternative solution to the NABE NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-7 April) • Halyk Savings Bank: pays off State aid fully POSITIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the interview with the CTO NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 1Q24 NEUTRAL • Pub...
HEADLINES: • Budimex: stands out, but deserves a pause (downgraded to HOLD) • CCC: 4Q23 slightly below prelims; sales acceleration and gross margin widening in 1Q24E POSITIVE • PGE: takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: the rise of the “Peter Magyar” phenomenon • Poland macro: local elections and NBP decision show continuity • Budimex: UOHS cancels decision on choosing BDX's offer for the D11 highway NEGATIVE • Budimex: potential new contract in road construction (PLN 0...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: Türkiye – unprecedented CHP victory in local elections • PGE: 4Q23 fully in line with prelims NEUTRAL • Turkish Airlines: 4Q24 conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • European oil and gas monthly: March 2024 – winter was survived, as expected • Poland macro: MPC keeps rates on hold, as expected • Romania macro: rates on hold, with a word of caution • Arabian Drilling: may have three offshore contracts...
Profitability step-up confirmed; where do we go now? – Titan Cement reported FY’23 EBITDA of €540mn, delivering 63% yoy growth on the back of 3.5% volume growth, double-digit pricing and c7pps margin expansion. With FY’23 EPS at €3.4, Titan has effectively beaten its FY’26 target three years earlier, rendering the communicated business plan obsolete. Going forward, mgmt echoed a positive outlook but refrained from updating the guidance, something we believe reflects more management conservatism ...
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