We hosted our 29th ODDO BHF Forum in Lyon on 8 and 9 January 2026. In total, 220 companies presented over the two days. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on Day 2, in addition to Day 1 feedback (Link to Day 1 feedback). Key positive companies were Corbion, DEME, Elia Group, Knorr Bremse, Sulzer, Séché Environnement, Fraport, Vallourec and TUI. More cautious companies were Arkema, Fastned, INWIT, Manitou, Roche Bobois, Téléperformance, and Colonial SFL. T...
Macro outlook: The CBT has reduced the policy rate by 950bps to 38% in YE25. For the subsequent cycle, we expect the policy rate to decline to 30% by 2026E, with a more gradual, rather than steep, trajectory of quarterly margin improvements throughout 2026. Inflation is projected to ease to 31% in FY25 and 23.2% in FY26, down from 44.4% in 2024. For the valuation of CPI-linked securities, we use an Oct–Oct inflation assumption of 24%. Turkish banks are transitioning from CPI-driven to spread-d...
A director at Uniqa Insurance Group AG bought 2,190 shares at 13.810EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
UNIQA continues to execute well on its 2025-2028 strategic targets, with improving non-life profitability and expanding life and health business segments. Positive trends should drive an EPS CAGR of 8.3%, on a par with Triglav Group, and above the AT&CEE average of 6.8% and we believe UNIQA is likely to upgrade its mid-term targets. The stock offers an attractive dividend yield of 6% and despite the 65% YTD return, our valuation analysis still indicates above 10% upside from current levels. We c...
Turkish banking sector is poised for strong earnings rebound in 2025-2026, driven by recovering margins and an improving macroeconomic backdrop. After an estimated 18% sector-wide EPS decline in 2024, aggregate EPS is forecast to surge by 63% in 2025, followed by another 61% growth in 2026. Key drivers include a significant NIM recovery amid rate cuts, continued (though moderating) fee income growth, and normalization of trading gains. Sector ROAE is projected to rise to 27% in 2025E and 33% in...
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