S&P 500 Testing Prior Breakout Level DeepSeek appears to have turned the chatbot market upside-down, putting pressure on AI-linked stocks. While the dust has yet to settle, the good news is that the selloff has been largely contained to these AI-linked stocks. The rest of the market did not seem to care; the equal-weighted S&P 500 was roughly flat yesterday. Additionally, market dynamics remain healthy, with Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar (DXY), and WTI crude oil continuing to move lower, and...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
HEADLINES: • Saudi Arabian tech: from oil to data and beyond (initiating on Solutions by STC with a BUY, and Jahez with a HOLD) • Motor Oil Hellas: motoring beyond oil (stays BUY) • Kofola: 3Q22 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Photon Energy: increases stake in Lerta, plans to take full control by the year-end • PKO BP: Puls Biznesu on potential changes in management board NEGATIVE • Shoper: key takeaways from the PAP interview with the CEO on the 2023E outlook NEUTRAL • Alrosa: Mir mine p...
EME Equity Market – October 2022 Market performance – in a positive month across the board, Turkey outperforms yet again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 12.7% mom in EUR terms and 14.4% mom in USD. The ISE30 was, once again, the best-performing index in our coverage, adding 23.4% mom in EUR terms and 25.2% in local currency terms. All the other indices recorded positive performances as well, with the WIG (+14.8% EUR / 11.5% lcl), the BUX (+11.4% EUR / 8.5% lcl) and the ASE (+10.3% EUR) del...
HEADLINES: • LPP: 2Q22 above expectations; FY22E guidance maintained; Russian operations sold for PLN 1.7bn POSITIVE • CD Projekt: follow-up on strategy update - press comments and our 1-on-1 NEUTRAL • STS Group: 3Q NGR growth of 21% yoy POSITIVE • Alior Bank: tops up credit holiday provisions, implies take-up ratio of 69% NEUTRAL • Alrosa: excluded from the latest EU sanctions list NEUTRAL • Zagreb Stock Exchange: share buyback announcement NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: 3Q22 bookings up by 11% q...
EME Equity Market – September 2022 Market performance – in a rough month for the markets, Turkey emerges as the top-performing region, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 8.3% mom in EUR terms and 10.7% mom in USD in September; while the ISE index outperformed all the other indices once again, but with a muted performance this time, adding just 1.0% mom in EUR terms and 0.1% in local currency terms. All the other indices recorded negative performances, with the Czech PX Index losing 4....
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: Greece - a positive growth story • Public Power Corporation: 2Q EBITDA +5% yoy, FY22E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: management call takeaways NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk paid expansion next year not for old-generation consoles NEGATIVE • LiveChat Software: patents method of chat communication rating in the US POSITIVE • Wizz Air: Blue Air forced to suspend operations, positive for Wizz Air and Ryanair • Alrosa: key points from the Easter...
AT: Utilities - Austrian government announces electricity price caps for households (negative) Oil&Gas - Oil price: G7 is getting serious about a price ceiling on Russian oil RO:Banca Transilvania - Banca Transilvania takes a loan of EUR 25 mn from the EBRD to support lending to businesses (neutral)
AT: Andritz - Andritz acquried Bonetti group (neutral) AT: Andritz - Andritz to supply fiberline and lime kiln equipment to Sun Paper, China (neutral) AT: UBM - UBM sells project and construction management subsidiary Alba (neutral) AT: Wienerberger - Strong Q2 results trigger FY EBITDA guidance upgrade (positive) AT: Zumtobel - Better than expected Q4 results despite higher warranty costs, FY 21/22 guidance beat, implied FY 22/23 EBIT range in line with RBIe (positive) CZ: CEZ - CEZ...
HEADLINES: • LiveChat Software: 4Q21-22 (calendar 1Q22) results - EBITDA up 10% yoy, 8% below our estimates NEGATIVE • PCF Group: Outriders Worldslayer released, initial Steam reviews disappoint NEGATIVE • Nuclearelectrica: calls GMS to approve EUR 185m financing for EnergoNuclear NEGATIVE • OMV Petrom: the government adopts the Ordinance reducing fuel prices by RON 0.5/litre • Romgaz: transaction with Exxon to be completed at end-July 2022 NEUTRAL • Gazprom: AGM fails to approve its 2021 divid...
AT: Lenzing - Minimum dividend as of FY 23 raised to EUR 4.50 (positive) RO: Digi Communications - A joint venture between Digi and Citymesh won spectrum to operate in Belgium for EUR 114 mn (positive) RO: Medlife - Medlife consolidates its position in the West part of the country (positive) RO: OMV Petrom - The Supervisory Board approved the proposed special dividend and share capital increase (neutral) RU: Gazprom - Additional MET payments of RUB 416 bn could reduce 2022e DPS by RUB ...
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
AT: IMMOFINANZ - CPI offer deadline to end on May 30, instead of May 28 (neutral) AT: Telekom Austria - Acquisition of Bulgarian ICT market leader (positive) AT: Verbund - Verbund announced special dividend of EUR 1.15 on top of 22e payout (neutral) HU - Introduction of windfall profit taxes esp. hitting the financial and energy sector (negative) PL: CCC - Q1 22/23 conference call stressed an increasing interest in lower priced products (neutral) RU: Gazprom - BoD recommends record high dividend...
HEADLINES: • Cognor Holding: record results could serve as re-rating trigger (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Hungary macro: taxes and budget consolidation • Alpha Bank: strong 1Q22 numbers, with upside risk for FY22E estimates POSITIVE • Kernel: 3Q22 EBITDA materially below our estimates, amid weak farming segment result NEGATIVE • Aegean Airlines: 1Q22 - small beat, fare levels exceed expectations, summer outlook encouraging POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: 1Q22 earnings in line, still ...
AT: Flughafen Wien - Q1 in line, very strong April traffic figures, potential guidance hike hinted with H1 results (positive) AT: UNIQA - EBT ahead of RBIe on better than expected investment income, strong combined ratio (positive) PL: PKO BP - Q1 22 bottom-line marginally ahead of expectations (neutral) PL: PZU - Q1 earnings slightly ahead of expectations on better than expected claims performance (positive) RU: Gazprom Neft - Gazprom Neft BoD recommends final dividends (positive) R...
AT: AT&S - Prelim. Q4 21/22 above expectations, FY outlook better on top line, EBITDA guidance mixed on start-up costs (neutral) AT: S IMMO - Considers sale of Germany residential assets (neutral) AT: Vienna Insurance Group - Strong premium growth, EBT below expectations on provisions for impact of war (neutral) PL: CCC - CEO expects a good Q2 with substantial sales growth and slight gross margin improvement, FY sales seen at PLN 9-10 bn (positive) PL: PGNiG - Considering entering into a long-te...
MSCI May Index Review - Standard indices (STD) changes: DEL: Raiffeisen Bank Intl.; SmallCap indices (SC) changes: ADD: STRABAG SE, DEL: Zumtobel AT: AGRANA - Final FY 21/22 results match preliminary figures, FY 22/23e guidance confirmed (neutral) AT: AT&S - AT&S proposed dividend of EUR 0.90/share for 2021/22e (neutral) AT: Oesterreichische Post - Final Q1 22 numbers in line with prliminary figures, outlook reiterated (neutral) AT: Palfinger - Takeover of remaining 35% stake in French...
AT: Addiko Bank - Q1 22 profit slightly ahead of market expectations, CET 1 deterioration (neutral) AT: Wienerberger - Share buyback programme extended (positive) PL: mBank - Q1 22 net profit >30% ahead of consensus and RBI on robust set of results (positive) PL: PGNiG - The Board proposed not to distribute any dividends for 2021 (neutral) RO: Banca Transilvania, BRD-GSG - National Bank of Romania raises key interest rate by 75 bps to 375 bps (positive) RU: Gazprom - Ukraine halts t...
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