AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver flow rates above expectations – Current production ranges between 4,600 and 4,800 bbl/d driven by strong performance from two new horizontal wells at Alberta Llanos (AB). AB-HZ5, onstream for ~2 weeks, is producing 1,790 bbl/d (895 bbl/d net to Arrow), while AB-HZ4, online for over a month, continues to produce 880 bbl/d (440 bbl/d net). Both wells are ou...
HEADLINES: • Ukraine macro: notes on the economy and the reconstruction process • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25 sales down 11% yoy, to PLN 20.3m NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: refund of interest on the overpayment related to the 2017 waste disposal decision NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk to be released for Apple Macs tomorrow NEUTRAL • Sipchem: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 July) NEUTRAL • Budimex: 2Q25E preview – EBIT up slightly, by 5% yoy (prelims due on 28 July) • Tupras: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 Ju...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: to tap DIRCM market POSITIVE • Romania macro: Government survives vote of no confidence, as expected • Wizz Air: to exit Abu Dhabi by the end of the summer • Bank Pekao: to book PLN 417m of extra provisions related to various legal risks in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl at 395,000 in 1H25, flat yoy NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: completes early repayment of EUR 230m retail bond NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 24 July) • Bank Millenn...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ New Zealand Energy (NZ CN)C: Equity raise – New Zealand will raise up to C$3 mm of new equity at a price of C$0.18 per share. This includes the settlement of outstanding loans of C$0.3 mm through the issue of ~1.7 mm shares. Valeura Energy (VLE CN)C; Target price of C$12.70 per share: Another strong quarter. FY25 guidance re-iterated – 2Q25 production was 21.4 mbbl/d, which is very close to our forecast (~22 mbbl/d). The company repor...
HEADLINES: • OMV: 2Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 2Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 2Q25E FX mortgage saga provisions information NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: monthly sales disappoint again – limited 8% yoy growth in June NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: June budget data shows stable, but wide, deficit • Titan: invests in fly-ash processing facility in the UK NEUTRAL
Turkish banking sector is poised for strong earnings rebound in 2025-2026, driven by recovering margins and an improving macroeconomic backdrop. After an estimated 18% sector-wide EPS decline in 2024, aggregate EPS is forecast to surge by 63% in 2025, followed by another 61% growth in 2026. Key drivers include a significant NIM recovery amid rate cuts, continued (though moderating) fee income growth, and normalization of trading gains. Sector ROAE is projected to rise to 27% in 2025E and 33% in...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: growth prism – new angles, brighter future (stays BUY) • European oil and gas monthly: June 2025 – bullish cues from Hormuz • Baltic Classifieds Group: solid FY 2H25 results, affected by one-offs NEUTRAL • Text: key takeaways from the preliminary 1Q25-26 earnings call NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: makes new natural gas discovery POSITIVE • Arabian Drilling: secures contract extensions for four rigs POSITIVE
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: discussing a new fiscal package with the EU • Romanian banks: government to increase tax on gross revenues to 4% NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy – Poland: bigger, happier but also more divided • Poland macro: MPC reduces the policy rate by 25bps • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) preliminary results – MRR of USD 7.17m (up 0.7% qoq, up 1.4% yoy); 928 net LiveChat customers outflow NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: guiding for PLN 33m outflow related to the 2018-19 increased fees; PLN 50-...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: Finance Ministry mulls levy on obligatory reserve interest revenues NEGATIVE • Georgia Capital: sells 20% stake in water utility for USD 70.4m POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • InPost/Shoper: InPost Pay records 8.5m users, and operates in over 2.5k online stores NEUTRAL • Metlen: launches tender share exchange offer from Metlen SA to Metlen PLC, as part of the planned LSE listing NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: flying with flavour (stays BUY) • Türkiye macro: CBT keeps rates unchanged • Romania macro: negotiations for the next government remain tough • OMV Petrom: signs supply agreement for its biofuels plant NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – 2025 Global Market Accessibility Review
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