reports
- Jovan Sikimic
- Jovan Sikimic
- Jovan Sikimic
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; TL Macro; DNP PW; CZG CP; 4IG HB
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: sells 60% stake in SCB for 2024 P/BV of 1.2x, books modest gain of PLN 0.4bn NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: weak BoP, but improving budget • Dino: AGM approves 1:10 share split NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: closes VSS acquisition • 4iG: signs non-binding term sheet to acquire nine defence subsidiaries from N7 Holding NEUTRAL
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
MSCI ACWI and EM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea to Overweight We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115). ACWI-US is now breaking out above 6-month resistance to all-time highs and EEM-US is breaking above $47, further confirming our bullish outl...
- Emira Sagaama
- Jeremy Garnier
- Steven Boumans
ALFOC FOCUS HOME INTERACTIVE SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
ALTR ALTRI SGPS SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
EKI EKINOPS SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
ALCAR CARMAT SA
SDF K+S AG
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
QDT QUADIENT SA
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
IDIP INSTITUT DE DEVELOPPEMENT INDUSTRIEL SCA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
PAL
TEG PALFINGER AG
RIEN TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
CCC RIETER HOLDING AG
AMG CCC SA
EDR AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
ZAG EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
POST ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
INSD OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
FACC VERIMATRIX SA
AXS FACC AG
HBH ACCSYS TECHNOLOGIES
TRE HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
SMCP TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
BFSA SMCP SA
LAND BEFESA SA
VOS LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
CAF VOSSLOH AG
MEDCL CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
EAT MEDINCELL SA
GRE AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ALCUR GRENERGY RENOVABLES
FQT ARCURE SA
CLA FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
S30 CLARANOVA SE
ALHGR SOLUTIONS 30 SE
NACON HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
CPR NACON SASU
KTA DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
UPG KNAUS TABBERT
ALAFY UNIFIEDPOST GROUP
FORSE AFYREN
WAGA FORSEE POWER SA
EAPI WAGA ENERGY SA
ACAG EUROAPI
ARVEN AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
ORP ARVERNE GROUP SA
LOCAL ORPEA
SOLOCAL GROUP
- Emira Sagaama
- Jeremy Garnier
- Steven Boumans
ALFOC FOCUS HOME INTERACTIVE SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
ALTR ALTRI SGPS SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
EKI EKINOPS SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
ALCAR CARMAT SA
SDF K+S AG
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
QDT QUADIENT SA
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
IDIP INSTITUT DE DEVELOPPEMENT INDUSTRIEL SCA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
PAL
TEG PALFINGER AG
RIEN TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
CCC RIETER HOLDING AG
AMG CCC SA
EDR AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
ZAG EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
POST ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
INSD OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
FACC VERIMATRIX SA
AXS FACC AG
HBH ACCSYS TECHNOLOGIES
TRE HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
SMCP TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
BFSA SMCP SA
LAND BEFESA SA
VOS LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
CAF VOSSLOH AG
MEDCL CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
EAT MEDINCELL SA
GRE AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ALCUR GRENERGY RENOVABLES
FQT ARCURE SA
CLA FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
S30 CLARANOVA SE
ALHGR SOLUTIONS 30 SE
NACON HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
CPR NACON SASU
KTA DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
UPG KNAUS TABBERT
ALAFY UNIFIEDPOST GROUP
FORSE AFYREN
WAGA FORSEE POWER SA
EAPI WAGA ENERGY SA
ACAG EUROAPI
ARVEN AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
ORP ARVERNE GROUP SA
LOCAL ORPEA
SOLOCAL GROUP
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALPHA GA; EUROB GA; ETE GA; TPEIR GA; PGE PW; PEO PW; PZU ...
HEADLINES: • Greek banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD, NBG stays BUY and Piraeus upgraded to BUY) • PGE: new strategy assumes PLN 30bn of EBITDA in 2035E and PLN 235bn in capex in 2025-35E NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao/PZU: call for analysts and investors to discuss potential merger • CCC: final 1Q25 results spot on the prelims NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation jumps in May • GEK Terna: clinches EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: AGM appr...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
CCC CCC SA
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Jakub Krawczyk
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: May 2025 – bottomed out
Brent crude prices continued to decline in May, but trends within the month suggest that we may have hit the bottom. The WOOD benchmark refining margin strengthened again, to USD 11.5/bbl, with all product groups and differentials playing their part. Petrochemicals remained in the doldrums, despite lower input costs. The gas market appears to be stable, but prices are sticky. Storage rose to 48% full at the end of the month, similar to the seasonal average. LNG imports declined a little, but cum...
- Emira Sagaama
- Emna Ben Bdira
- Marc Lavaud
- Maxime Kogge
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
BNR BRENNTAG SE
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Emira Sagaama
- Emna Ben Bdira
- Marc Lavaud
- Maxime Kogge
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
BNR BRENNTAG SE
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EBS AV; SPL PW; EME Macro/Strategy – CIS; PCF PW; ECH PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank Group: smart leverage, strong thesis (stays BUY) • Santander Bank Polska: no such thing as plug and play in M&A (downgraded to HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: CIS plus – a good growth juncture, amid global policy shifts • PCF Group: 1Q25 results miss expectations, on lower portion of costs being capitalised NEGATIVE • Echo Investment (HOLD, PT PLN 3.1): 1Q25 – only a handful of deliveries means a weak P&L • Duna House: 1Q25 results– first look positive POSITIVE • DataWalk: ke...
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Santander Bank Polska: no such thing as plug and play in M&A (downgrad...
We have downgraded Santander BP to HOLD (from Buy) and set our updated 12M price target (PT) at PLN 577.6/share. Our updated 12M PT includes an extra 10% discount on top of our base 12M PT, to reflect the share overhang (Banco Santander left with a 13% stake) and uncertainties over how smooth and fast the transition period might prove to be, at least from the current standpoint. In our view, the stock may trade at a discount until this is cleared up, which is unlikely to be announced until the n...
- Emmanuel Matot
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
AUB AUBAY SA
ELIS ELIS SA
POS PORR AG
SOI SOITEC SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
PAL PALFINGER AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
CCC CCC SA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
- Emmanuel Matot
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
AUB AUBAY SA
ELIS ELIS SA
POS PORR AG
SOI SOITEC SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
PAL PALFINGER AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
CCC CCC SA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BHW PW; ACP PW; PGE PW; HUG PW; DIA PW; BFT PW; GPP PW; WP...
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
HUGE HUUUGE
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
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