A director at Cognor Holding S.A. bought 484,931 shares at 4.930PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
We are putting our coverage of the following stocks UNDER REVIEW, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks: Addiko Bank Alro Arion banki Bogdanka Cognor Holding DataWalk Gradus Grenevia Islandsbanki Kety TeraPlast
EME Equity Market – January 2023 Market performance – strong start to 2023 in Czechia and Greece; multi-month rally interrupted in Turkey. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD in January. The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the best performers, posting double-digit gains of 12.3% and 10.0% mom in EUR terms, respectively. There were also very decent performances from Poland, Hungary and Romania, with gains of 5.5% mom, 5.5% mom and 4.7% mom in EUR terms, respe...
EME Equity Market – December 2022 Market performance – Turkey closed the year by outperforming the other markets, yet again. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 2.0% mom in EUR terms and 5.9% mom in USD in December. Turkey was, again, the best performer, with the ISE30 index adding 6.3% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in local currency terms. Positive performances were recorded by the WIG20 (+3.1% EUR / 3.2% lcl mom) and the ASE indices (+1.9% EUR mom) as well. On the other side, the Hungarian BUX de...
HEADLINES: • Jumbo: Christmas has come early this year (stays BUY) • Uzbekistan macro: CBU keeps rates unchanged, reiterating conservative stance for 2023E • Russia macro: CBR extends the pause • Richter: FDA approves Vraylar for MDD indication POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: to issue series D bonds worth PLN 2.67bn, with margin of 385bps over WIBOR6M NEGATIVE • Cognor Holding: acquires graphite electrodes producer Jap Industries for CZK 280m • MOL: to acquire a stake in power and heat business,...
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: solid 3Q22, main positive is upbeat initial 2023E guidance, with 13-15% ROTE guidance POSITIVE • Alior Bank: 3Q22 results - net loss, but peak profitability on an underlying basis NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: solid 3Q22, on track for delivery of 2022E expectations NEUTRAL • Turkcell: 3Q22 results - strong NI beat, driven by FX and derivatives POSITIVE • Migros: 3Q22 results - strong beat POSITIVE • BRD-GSG: 3Q22 - another solid quarter • MOL: 3Q22 results - better than exp...
EME Equity Market – October 2022 Market performance – in a positive month across the board, Turkey outperforms yet again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 12.7% mom in EUR terms and 14.4% mom in USD. The ISE30 was, once again, the best-performing index in our coverage, adding 23.4% mom in EUR terms and 25.2% in local currency terms. All the other indices recorded positive performances as well, with the WIG (+14.8% EUR / 11.5% lcl), the BUX (+11.4% EUR / 8.5% lcl) and the ASE (+10.3% EUR) del...
HEADLINES: • Cognor Holding: 3Q22 review - weak results, paired with increased business risks NEGATIVE • Asseco Poland: 3Q22 preliminary net profit at PLN 127m, in line with consensus NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: highlights from the 3Q22 earnings call • Shoper: 3Q22E - solid top line and slight qoq margin recovery (due on 3 November) NEUTRAL • InPost: 3Q22E preview (due on 9 November) NEUTRAL • LiveChat Software: 2Q22-23E preview - 23% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 22 November) • Short News (CEZ...
HEADLINES: • Turkish banks: shifting sands (Akbank, Garanti Bank, Isbank and Yapi Kredi downgraded to SELL) • Krka: integrated model underpins steady returns (BUY) • Bank Millennium: books a PLN 1bn net loss in 3Q22, but underlying profitability at peak levels NEUTRAL • Arcelik: 3Q22 results - bottom line misses expectations NEUTRAL • Turkish banks: banking watchdog tightens requirements on Lira borrowers • CCC: new share issue extended by institutional investors POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: to...
EME Equity Market – September 2022 Market performance – in a rough month for the markets, Turkey emerges as the top-performing region, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 8.3% mom in EUR terms and 10.7% mom in USD in September; while the ISE index outperformed all the other indices once again, but with a muted performance this time, adding just 1.0% mom in EUR terms and 0.1% in local currency terms. All the other indices recorded negative performances, with the Czech PX Index losing 4....
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: potential impact of the possible 50% windfall tax on all larger Polish companies • Polish utilities: estimates of the effect of the potential windfall tax POSITIVE • Polish retail: possible windfall tax seems to have marginal impact NEUTRAL • Polish TMT: potential implications of the windfall tax NEGATIVE • Polish real estate: potential implications of the windfall tax • Cognor Holding: potential implications of the windfall tax NEGATIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q22 results ...
EME Equity Market – August 2022 Market performance – Turkey the biggest winner, in a predominantly bad month. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 1.2% mom in EUR and 2.8% mom in USD terms. Turkey’s ISE index outperformed all other indices, adding 24.9% mom in EUR terms and 25.1% in local currency terms. Hungary’s benchmark, the BUX Index, added 1.1% mom and 0.2% mom in EUR and HUF terms, respectively. Greece’s ASE Index had a muted performance and added only 0.6% mom. All the other indices across ...
HEADLINES: • Ignitis Group: 2Q22 results review - solid results, EBITDA guidance hiked again • NEPI Rockcastle: 1H22 - FFO in line, tenants' sales up 8% vs. 1H19 NEUTRAL • GTC: 2Q22 results - recurring lines broadly in line, books small, positive revaluation gain NEUTRAL • Turkey macro: inflation scenarios and transition to hyperinflation accounting • Romanian energy: discussions on energy price regulations NEUTRAL • Cognor Holding: key takeaways from the 2Q22 earnings call NEUTRAL • Wirtualna...
HEADLINES: • Cognor Holding: 2Q22 results review - 6% EBITDA beat; financials to be under pressure going forward NEUTRAL • Bank of Cyprus: Board rejects takeover bid from Lone Star • ONE United Properties: 2Q22 – stellar margin on residential, revaluation gains offset share-based payment one-off NEUTRAL • Fintel Energija: 1H22 results in line with estimates • Kazatomprom: strong 1H22 results, production growth plans POSITIVE • Dino: 2Q22 results call with management - key takeaways • Electric...
HEADLINES: • Alkaloid AD Skopje: near-term prospects are looking up (upgraded to HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: when is the turning point? • PKN Orlen: 2Q22 results miss forecasts • MOL: 2Q22 results • OTE: 2Q22 results - strong quarter, with 6% yoy growth in adjusted EBITDA, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • OTE: key takeaways from the 2Q22 earnings call NEUTRAL • Czech Republic macro: doves take charge of MPC • 4iG: receives preliminary permission to acquire 20% stake in Space-Communications ...
ERRATUM: We have corrected a presentation error in this report. We confirm that the rest of the report remains unchanged. Please disregard the report sent to you previously. We initiate coverage of Cognor Holding (Cognor) with a BUY recommendation and a price target (PT) PLN 6.2/share. We anticipate the company to demonstrate an impressive performance for 2022E and above historical average results for 2023E, before the business’ key metrics stabilise, going forward. This, in turn, creates potent...
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
HEADLINES: • Cognor Holding: record results could serve as re-rating trigger (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Hungary macro: taxes and budget consolidation • Alpha Bank: strong 1Q22 numbers, with upside risk for FY22E estimates POSITIVE • Kernel: 3Q22 EBITDA materially below our estimates, amid weak farming segment result NEGATIVE • Aegean Airlines: 1Q22 - small beat, fare levels exceed expectations, summer outlook encouraging POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: 1Q22 earnings in line, still ...
Made-in-Poland reinforcing bars so far have been spared from the price downturn observed in recent weeks in the domestic steel market, and with rebar trading at PLN 4,200 a tonne while the cost to purchase a tonne of scrap feedstock hovers around PLN 1,800 this brings margins to a record PLN 2,200/t. After pushing maintenance downtime for its steel billet unit back to January 2022, Cognor is able to capitalize on the high prices of reinforcement steel to deliver another big quarter in Q3 2021 w...
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