After a strong run-up, China’s healthcare sector is in a technical correction. Despite geopolitical tensions, we believe the fundamentals remain sound, supporting bright long-term prospects. CRDMO, Biopharma and Internet Healthcare are embracing stronger revenue and earnings growth in the coming years driven by: a) lower cost of capital; b) a new wave of innovative product launches; c) strengthening R&D pipeline continuing to attract global collaborations; and d) positive domestic policy support...
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Falling interest rates are expected to significantly benefit the biopharma and CRDMO segments. With lower capital costs, biopharma companies can secure R&D funding more easily. CROs and CDMOs are projected to increase their pharmaceutical R&D market share from 51.9% in 2024 to over 65% by 2034. In response to rising demand for new and complex modalities, WuXi Bio and WuXi AppTec are enhancing their service capabilities to seize growth opportunities from this new wave of innovation.
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV sales rebounded last week, with PEV growth surging from below 5% to over 30% due to subsidies and new models. Geely and XPeng led, while BYD and Li Auto lagged. Vehicle exports rose 26% yoy in August, driven by gains in the EU, Africa, and Middle East. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL (target price raised to Rmb520) and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Update | Healthcare Falling interest rates are expected to significant...
The China healthcare stocks under our coverage exhibited a mixed performance during 1-15 Sep 25. Internet healthcare majors like Ali Health and JD Health outperformed, with share prices rising 18.8% and 8.6% respectively, thanks to strong revenue growth prospects and potential policy support. Investors took profits on major biopharmas amid concerns over possible in-licensing restrictions from the US. The trend of innovation and globalisation among Chinese biopharmas remains strong, driven by rob...
Greater China Economics | Trade China’s export momentum softened in August as front-loaded US demand has faded, exposing the vulnerability of shipments to the US market. While the trade diversion supported flows to ASEAN and the EU, overall growth moderated. Imports also weakened amid subdued agricultural demand, despite firmer commodity-related inflows. Pro...
All the healthcare stocks under our coverage exhibited a positive performance from 16-30 July. Due to expectations of strong results for 1H25, CRDMO companies were the top performers, with share prices surging by 22-34%. Supported by major BD/M&A deals, MicroPort, Sino Biopharm and Hengui Medicines also saw their stock prices rise significantly by 65.3%, 16.8% and 13.0%, respectively.
Beating market estimates, WuXi AppTec’s total revenue and adjusted earnings expanded by 20.6% yoy and 44.4% yoy respectively in 1H25. Driven by the strong expansion of the TIDES business, WuXi AppTec raised its revenue growth target to 13- 17% yoy in 2025. We believe surging investment in the biopharmaceutical segment will boost CRDMO service demand for WuXi AppTec in the next few years. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of HK$146.00 to reflect a stronger earnings growth outlook.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Internet WAIC 2025 was held in Shanghai on 26-28 July under the theme "Intelligent Horizons, Shared Future". The focus of WAIC this year shifted from LLM to the next frontier – AI applications and AI agents. As AI capabilities extend from the cloud to edge devices, a transformative evolution in human-AI interaction is underway, characterised by more tangible, embodied forms and empathetic voice interfaces. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Results WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$111....
The performance of China's biotechnology sector has remained strong as the market expects biopharmas and CRDMO companies to report robust earnings growth in 1H25, supported by the continued strengthening of the biopharmaceutical pipeline and increasing BD and M&A activities. Moreover, the commercial insurance policy will further support the sector’s rally. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
China's biotechnology sector has entered an accelerated growth phase, with firms expanding their innovative commercial product portfolios, achieving significant outlicensing deals and enjoying unexpected profitability. With an unprecedented showing of 74 oral presentations at ASCO 2025, the sector highlighted its robust pipeline and expanding role in global innovation. Sustained policy support and globalisation efforts will further support this expansion. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT with Innovent, Han...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...
Drug innovators beat consensus with strong 2024/1Q25 results. Biopharma is set to outperform in 2025 with robust innovative pipelines and effective globalisation strategies. Internet healthcare players will maintain solid revenue growth and improve profitability in 2025/FY26. Medical devices and leading hospital players should recover steadily in 2025, while ICL and TCM companies may face continued policy uncertainties. Geopolitical risks remain a threat to CRDMO majors. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.
Beating market estimates, WuXi AppTec’s total revenue and adjusted earnings expanded by 21.0% yoy and 40.0% yoy respectively in 1Q25. Amid significant external uncertainties, WuXi AppTec is maintaining its revenue growth target of 10-15% yoy for continuing operations and strives to achieve highly efficient production and operations in 2025. Maintain HOLD, with a higher target price of HK$70.00 to reflect the improving net margins.
Most domestic biopharmaceutical companies expect the US-China trade tensions to have limited impact in the short term, while the long-term impact remains uncertain. We prefer drug innovators focusing on domestic operations and internet healthcare players. The out-licensing business model is unlikely impacted by the trade tensions, while CRDMO players could face considerable geopolitical risks. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Our top picks are Innovent, Hansoh Pharma, Ali Health and PAGD.
Despite a considerably challenging business environment, WuXi AppTec’s total revenue and adjusted net profit edged down 2.7% yoy and 2.5% yoy respectively. The results are satisfactory. The company saw strong backlog growth of 47% yoy in 2024, and expects continued operations to achieve accelerated revenue growth of 10-15% yoy in 2025. Additionally, we expect margin improvements to drive a robust earnings CAGR of 12.6% in 2024-27. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$90.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$28.50/Target: HK$39.90) 2024 results missed forecasts. However, CR Beer’s ytd performance and management’s tone for 2025 seem positive. With the ongoing consumption recovery, especially in the restaurant channel, a potentially better peak season, a much heathier inventory level and innovative products and partnerships, management expects a single-digit beer volume growth in 2025, with profit expanding much faster than revenue. Dividend...
Biopharmaceutical companies are embracing the new year with new product approvals and out-licensing deals, while leading CRDMO companies are divesting their overseas businesses. We expect the biopharmaceutical segment to continue recovering, supported by a lower capital cost and constant innovative product launches in China and overseas. The considerable geopolitical risks, however, may continue to cloud the CRDMO segment’s growth outlook. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.
Geopolitical tensions and weak economic conditions may cloud 2025’s growth outlook of the CRDMO, medical devices and services segments. However, the biopharma segment will see continued recovery, supported by a lower cost of capital and constant innovative product launches in China and even overseas. Leading internet healthcare players, with stabilising business models, also expect robust revenue growth and improving profitability. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
WuXi AppTec’s reported 9M24 revenue and adjusted net profit declined 6.2% yoy and 10.1% yoy respectively. The results are in line with our estimates. The company sees strong backlog growth of 35.2% yoy in 9M24, and maintains its revenue guidance of Rmb38.3b-40.5b for 2024. We remain cautious on the company’s long-term growth outlook given its significant exposure to geopolitical risks. Maintain SELL and target price of HK$40.00.
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