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Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB) - 4Q25 Outlook Is A Mixed Bag

Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.10/Target: Bt14.00) BCH’s analyst meeting carried a slightly positive tone, supported by recovering high-end Cambodian patient referrals to Kasemrad Vientiane starting Dec 25 and progress on resuming Kuwaiti referrals. Middle Eastern revenue fell in 3Q25 but should recover in 2026 as a key specialist commits exclusively to BCH. While epidemic trends will aid 4Q25 earnings, qoq growth remains uncertain, and new drug price measures pose some...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+2)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kasemsun Koonnara

Thailand Daily: Friday, November 28, 2025

Top Stories Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.10/Target: Bt14.00) BCH’s analyst meeting carried a slightly positive tone, supported by recovering high-end Cambodian patient referrals to Kasemrad Vientiane starting Dec 25 and progress on resuming Kuwaiti referrals. Middle Eastern revenue fell in 3Q25 but should recover in 2026 as a key specialist commits exclusively to BCH. While epidemic trends will aid 4Q25 earnings, qoq growth remains uncertain, and new drug price measu...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+15)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Sunny Chen
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tham Mun Hon

Duplicate of Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 27, 20...

Greater China Strategy | Market Strategy Global liquidity is expected to stay supportive through 1H26 following the Fed’s Sep 25 rate cut, lifting emerging-market assets and commodities. Chinese equities should extend gains, with MSCI China targeted at 104 on 16.3x forward PE and 6% EPS growth. Growth will rely more on domestic demand amid geopolitical risks and slowing external momentum. China’s GDP growth for 2026 is projected to rise 4.2% yoy. We favour AI/semiconductors, automation/robotics,...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB) - 3Q25: Weak Earnings In Line

Company Results | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.70/Target: Bt14.00) BCH delivered weak 3Q25 earnings as expected, with net profit down due to a high base from last year’s chronic disease revenue and seasonal shifts that pushed epidemic-related cases into 4Q25. However, a sharp rise in influenza cases signals strong 4Q25 momentum, supported by higher Thai patient volumes. We expect to see a remedy measure on the new Ministry of Commerce drug-pricing policy from the upcoming analyst meet...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+5)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Thailand Daily - Monday, November 17, 2025

Top Stories Company Results | Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt50.25/Target: Bt73.10) CPN reported a net profit of Bt5.4b in 3Q25 (+31.5% yoy, +26% qoq), supported by one-off items. Core earnings were strong as expected, improving both yoy and qoq. We anticipate the resilient core operational performance continuing into 4Q25. We are optimistic about CPN, given its resilient performance and positive business outlook with expansion plans. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt73.10. Company Update | Char...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB) - Expect A Substantial Drop In 3Q25 Ea...

Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.70/Target: Bt14.00) BCH is expected to post a 3Q25 net profit of Bt331m (-27.1% yoy, -14.8% qoq) on weaker foreign patient revenue and a high base effect in 3Q24 from the 26-chronic diseases revenue. Margins should contract substantially yoy. However, a stronger-than-expected flu outbreak should boost Thai patient volume in 4Q25. The new Ministry of Commerce medicine measure should have limited impact, while Kuwait patient referrals are ...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+2)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Thailand Daily - Thursday, November 06, 2025

Top Stories Company Update | Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.10/Target: Bt3.30) AWC is expected to post a 3Q25 core profit of Bt272m (-0.7% yoy, +49.1% qoq) and revenue of Bt3.96b (+5.2% yoy), driven by strong retail performance from the Jurassic World launch, which boosted Asiatique’s occupancy to 85% and lifted commercial revenue by 22% yoy. Hotel revenue was flat yoy but improved qoq. 4Q25 outlook is promising with strong bookings upcountry and signs of Chinese tourist recovery. Mai...

Audrey Celia ... (+15)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Lester Siew
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 06, 2025

Greater China Company Results | ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US /BUY/ US$2.22/Target: US$3.40) ECARX’s 3Q25 earnings make a turnaround, with net profit of US$0.9m in 3Q25, marking its first-ever quarterly profitability. Going forward, we believe ECARX's earnings will be driven by sales volume growth and product mix optimisation. We maintain our forecast of a net loss of US$49m for 2025 and a turnaround to a net profit of US$36m and US$100m for 2026 and 2027, based on a 27% revenue CAGR. Maintain ...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+10)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Sunny Chen
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, September 26, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV sales rebounded last week, with PEV growth surging from below 5% to over 30% due to subsidies and new models. Geely and XPeng led, while BYD and Li Auto lagged. Vehicle exports rose 26% yoy in August, driven by gains in the EU, Africa, and Middle East. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL (target price raised to Rmb520) and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Update | Healthcare Falling interest rates are expected to significant...

BDMS BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00241 ALIBABA HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BH BUMRUNGRAD HOSPITAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LTD SPONSORED ADR
02238 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
YNS GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
MSGB YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
ECW MAH SING GROUP BHD
SPSB ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
SWB SP SETIA BHD
HCM SUNWAY BHD
01801 HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
1833 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
300760 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
UEMS SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
603882 UEM SUNRISE BHD
1772 GUANGZHOU KINGMED DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
1093 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
603259 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
300750 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
MPM FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
2269 MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
3692 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
MCH HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS BHD
002920 BEIGENE LTD.
300765 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
STM WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
IOIPG CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
02015 SEATRIUM LTD
09868 IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
300244 LI AUTO INC
LAGENDA XPENG INC
600699 DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
002050 CH LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
ONC@US@ JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
TUL ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (002050 CH)
BEONE MEDICINE INC
TULLA RESOURCES PL
Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB) - The Return Of Kuwaits Patients Is Ne...

We attended BCH’s 2Q25 analyst meeting, and the tone was positive. Management updated that the return of Kuwaiti patients is drawing nearer. BCH will not set any additional provisions on the outstanding receivables of Kuwaiti patients as the Kuwaiti officials have indicated a strong commitment to pay off the debt. The outlook in 3Q25 will be challenging, as we had expected, given several headwinds, but the earnings outlook in 4Q25 remains promising. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Thailand Daily - Friday, August 29, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Bangkok Chain Hospital BCH TB/BUY/Bt13.40/Target: Bt20.00) The return of Kuwaits patients is near.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 29, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$15.84/Target: HK$21.70) 1H25: Revenue slightly misses but operating profit beats; expect mid-to-high single-digit revenue decline for 2025. China Resources Gas (1193 HK/BUY/HK$19.05/Target: HK$22.60) 1H25: In line; from earnings drag to guidance-driven re-rating; upgrade to BUY. ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US/BUY/US$1.60/Target: US$3.40) 2Q25: Net loss widens; recovery expected in 2H25. Maintain...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB) - 2Q25: Reported Strong Earnings As Ex...

BCH reported a net profit of Bt388m in 2Q25 (+38.1% yoy, +17.2% qoq) which is in line with our forecast but above the consensus. Top-line grew by 5.7% yoy which is within our expectations, driven by revenue growth from OPD and SSO patients, and mainly contributed by the annual extra revenue of Bt77.5m. The 3Q25 outlook is challenging, but we are positive on BCH for 4Q25, supported by strong growth prospects from the low base in 4Q24. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt17.50.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+3)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Thailand Daily - Monday, August 18, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt14.10/Target: Bt17.50) 2Q25: Reported strong earnings as expected. Update Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt54.50/Target: Bt79.60) Favourable 2H25 outlook anchored by core business resilience. Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB/BUY/Bt27.00/Target: Bt33.00) Expect a gradual improvement in outlook. Charoen Pokphand Foods (CPF TB/HOLD/Bt24.40/Target: Bt24.00) 2Q25 earnings in line; 3Q25 earnings momentum to soften. The Erawan ...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB) - Very Strong Earnings Expected In 2Q2...

BCH is expected to report a net profit of Bt378m in 2Q25 (+36.5% yoy, +17.7% qoq). Top-line should come in at Bt2.96b (+3.7% yoy, +2.0% qoq), mainly driven by a growth in revenue from outpatient department (OPD) patients due to the treatment of COVID-19 and the rain in May 25 as well as a strong growth in social security (SSO) patient numbers. The 3Q25 outlook is challenging, but we remain optimistic on BCH in 2H25 for its strong growth outlook from a low base in 4Q24. Maintain BUY. Target ...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+4)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Thailand Daily - Friday, August 08, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt34.00/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q25: Net loss as expected but a sharp rebound is likely in 2H25. Bangchak Sriracha (BSRC TB/BUY/Bt5.00/Target: Bt7.00) 2Q25: Huge inventory loss results in net loss in 2Q25. PTT Oil & Retail Business (OR TB/BUY/Bt12.90/Target: Bt20.00) 2Q25: Net profit in line with our forecast but 14% below consensus’. Upgrade to BUY. Tidlor Holdings (TIDLOR TB/HOLD/Bt18.30/Target: Bt20.00) 2...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Lester Siew
  • Paula Ruth
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 8, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: July’s data beats expectations, further near-term strength likely. Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth remains negative for three straight weeks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Initiate Coverage Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co (002050 CH/BUY/Rmb27.37/Target: Rmb36.50): Innovative Thermal management leader driving sustainable growth. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb36.50 for A-share, HK$40.00 fo...

Chong Lee Len ... (+15)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, July 02, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB) - No More AdjRW>2 Rate Cuts

We attended BCH’s 1Q25 analyst meeting, and the tone was positive. Management clarified that SSO’s recent high budget spending will not impact the current AdjRW>2 rate of Bt12,000 per head, resolving investors’ concerns over the past few days. Despite a slight downward revision in its 2025 guidance due to the weak economy, we still expect a robust yoy earnings growth in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt17.50.

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Thailand Daily - Wednesday, May 28, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt12.90/Target: Bt17.50) No more AdjRW>2 rate cuts.

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