Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.10/Target: Bt14.00) BCH’s analyst meeting carried a slightly positive tone, supported by recovering high-end Cambodian patient referrals to Kasemrad Vientiane starting Dec 25 and progress on resuming Kuwaiti referrals. Middle Eastern revenue fell in 3Q25 but should recover in 2026 as a key specialist commits exclusively to BCH. While epidemic trends will aid 4Q25 earnings, qoq growth remains uncertain, and new drug price measures pose some...
Top Stories Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.10/Target: Bt14.00) BCH’s analyst meeting carried a slightly positive tone, supported by recovering high-end Cambodian patient referrals to Kasemrad Vientiane starting Dec 25 and progress on resuming Kuwaiti referrals. Middle Eastern revenue fell in 3Q25 but should recover in 2026 as a key specialist commits exclusively to BCH. While epidemic trends will aid 4Q25 earnings, qoq growth remains uncertain, and new drug price measu...
Greater China Strategy | Market Strategy Global liquidity is expected to stay supportive through 1H26 following the Fed’s Sep 25 rate cut, lifting emerging-market assets and commodities. Chinese equities should extend gains, with MSCI China targeted at 104 on 16.3x forward PE and 6% EPS growth. Growth will rely more on domestic demand amid geopolitical risks and slowing external momentum. China’s GDP growth for 2026 is projected to rise 4.2% yoy. We favour AI/semiconductors, automation/robotics,...
Company Results | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.70/Target: Bt14.00) BCH delivered weak 3Q25 earnings as expected, with net profit down due to a high base from last year’s chronic disease revenue and seasonal shifts that pushed epidemic-related cases into 4Q25. However, a sharp rise in influenza cases signals strong 4Q25 momentum, supported by higher Thai patient volumes. We expect to see a remedy measure on the new Ministry of Commerce drug-pricing policy from the upcoming analyst meet...
Top Stories Company Results | Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt50.25/Target: Bt73.10) CPN reported a net profit of Bt5.4b in 3Q25 (+31.5% yoy, +26% qoq), supported by one-off items. Core earnings were strong as expected, improving both yoy and qoq. We anticipate the resilient core operational performance continuing into 4Q25. We are optimistic about CPN, given its resilient performance and positive business outlook with expansion plans. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt73.10. Company Update | Char...
Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.70/Target: Bt14.00) BCH is expected to post a 3Q25 net profit of Bt331m (-27.1% yoy, -14.8% qoq) on weaker foreign patient revenue and a high base effect in 3Q24 from the 26-chronic diseases revenue. Margins should contract substantially yoy. However, a stronger-than-expected flu outbreak should boost Thai patient volume in 4Q25. The new Ministry of Commerce medicine measure should have limited impact, while Kuwait patient referrals are ...
Top Stories Company Update | Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.10/Target: Bt3.30) AWC is expected to post a 3Q25 core profit of Bt272m (-0.7% yoy, +49.1% qoq) and revenue of Bt3.96b (+5.2% yoy), driven by strong retail performance from the Jurassic World launch, which boosted Asiatique’s occupancy to 85% and lifted commercial revenue by 22% yoy. Hotel revenue was flat yoy but improved qoq. 4Q25 outlook is promising with strong bookings upcountry and signs of Chinese tourist recovery. Mai...
Greater China Company Results | ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US /BUY/ US$2.22/Target: US$3.40) ECARX’s 3Q25 earnings make a turnaround, with net profit of US$0.9m in 3Q25, marking its first-ever quarterly profitability. Going forward, we believe ECARX's earnings will be driven by sales volume growth and product mix optimisation. We maintain our forecast of a net loss of US$49m for 2025 and a turnaround to a net profit of US$36m and US$100m for 2026 and 2027, based on a 27% revenue CAGR. Maintain ...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV sales rebounded last week, with PEV growth surging from below 5% to over 30% due to subsidies and new models. Geely and XPeng led, while BYD and Li Auto lagged. Vehicle exports rose 26% yoy in August, driven by gains in the EU, Africa, and Middle East. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL (target price raised to Rmb520) and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Update | Healthcare Falling interest rates are expected to significant...
We attended BCH’s 2Q25 analyst meeting, and the tone was positive. Management updated that the return of Kuwaiti patients is drawing nearer. BCH will not set any additional provisions on the outstanding receivables of Kuwaiti patients as the Kuwaiti officials have indicated a strong commitment to pay off the debt. The outlook in 3Q25 will be challenging, as we had expected, given several headwinds, but the earnings outlook in 4Q25 remains promising. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.00.
GREATER CHINA Results China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$15.84/Target: HK$21.70) 1H25: Revenue slightly misses but operating profit beats; expect mid-to-high single-digit revenue decline for 2025. China Resources Gas (1193 HK/BUY/HK$19.05/Target: HK$22.60) 1H25: In line; from earnings drag to guidance-driven re-rating; upgrade to BUY. ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US/BUY/US$1.60/Target: US$3.40) 2Q25: Net loss widens; recovery expected in 2H25. Maintain...
BCH reported a net profit of Bt388m in 2Q25 (+38.1% yoy, +17.2% qoq) which is in line with our forecast but above the consensus. Top-line grew by 5.7% yoy which is within our expectations, driven by revenue growth from OPD and SSO patients, and mainly contributed by the annual extra revenue of Bt77.5m. The 3Q25 outlook is challenging, but we are positive on BCH for 4Q25, supported by strong growth prospects from the low base in 4Q24. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt17.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt14.10/Target: Bt17.50) 2Q25: Reported strong earnings as expected. Update Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt54.50/Target: Bt79.60) Favourable 2H25 outlook anchored by core business resilience. Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB/BUY/Bt27.00/Target: Bt33.00) Expect a gradual improvement in outlook. Charoen Pokphand Foods (CPF TB/HOLD/Bt24.40/Target: Bt24.00) 2Q25 earnings in line; 3Q25 earnings momentum to soften. The Erawan ...
BCH is expected to report a net profit of Bt378m in 2Q25 (+36.5% yoy, +17.7% qoq). Top-line should come in at Bt2.96b (+3.7% yoy, +2.0% qoq), mainly driven by a growth in revenue from outpatient department (OPD) patients due to the treatment of COVID-19 and the rain in May 25 as well as a strong growth in social security (SSO) patient numbers. The 3Q25 outlook is challenging, but we remain optimistic on BCH in 2H25 for its strong growth outlook from a low base in 4Q24. Maintain BUY. Target ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt34.00/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q25: Net loss as expected but a sharp rebound is likely in 2H25. Bangchak Sriracha (BSRC TB/BUY/Bt5.00/Target: Bt7.00) 2Q25: Huge inventory loss results in net loss in 2Q25. PTT Oil & Retail Business (OR TB/BUY/Bt12.90/Target: Bt20.00) 2Q25: Net profit in line with our forecast but 14% below consensus’. Upgrade to BUY. Tidlor Holdings (TIDLOR TB/HOLD/Bt18.30/Target: Bt20.00) 2...
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: July’s data beats expectations, further near-term strength likely. Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth remains negative for three straight weeks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Initiate Coverage Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co (002050 CH/BUY/Rmb27.37/Target: Rmb36.50): Innovative Thermal management leader driving sustainable growth. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb36.50 for A-share, HK$40.00 fo...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...
We attended BCH’s 1Q25 analyst meeting, and the tone was positive. Management clarified that SSO’s recent high budget spending will not impact the current AdjRW>2 rate of Bt12,000 per head, resolving investors’ concerns over the past few days. Despite a slight downward revision in its 2025 guidance due to the weak economy, we still expect a robust yoy earnings growth in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt17.50.
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