BCH is expected to report a net profit of Bt378m in 2Q25 (+36.5% yoy, +17.7% qoq). Top-line should come in at Bt2.96b (+3.7% yoy, +2.0% qoq), mainly driven by a growth in revenue from outpatient department (OPD) patients due to the treatment of COVID-19 and the rain in May 25 as well as a strong growth in social security (SSO) patient numbers. The 3Q25 outlook is challenging, but we remain optimistic on BCH in 2H25 for its strong growth outlook from a low base in 4Q24. Maintain BUY. Target ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt34.00/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q25: Net loss as expected but a sharp rebound is likely in 2H25. Bangchak Sriracha (BSRC TB/BUY/Bt5.00/Target: Bt7.00) 2Q25: Huge inventory loss results in net loss in 2Q25. PTT Oil & Retail Business (OR TB/BUY/Bt12.90/Target: Bt20.00) 2Q25: Net profit in line with our forecast but 14% below consensus’. Upgrade to BUY. Tidlor Holdings (TIDLOR TB/HOLD/Bt18.30/Target: Bt20.00) 2...
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: July’s data beats expectations, further near-term strength likely. Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth remains negative for three straight weeks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Initiate Coverage Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co (002050 CH/BUY/Rmb27.37/Target: Rmb36.50): Innovative Thermal management leader driving sustainable growth. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb36.50 for A-share, HK$40.00 fo...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...
We attended BCH’s 1Q25 analyst meeting, and the tone was positive. Management clarified that SSO’s recent high budget spending will not impact the current AdjRW>2 rate of Bt12,000 per head, resolving investors’ concerns over the past few days. Despite a slight downward revision in its 2025 guidance due to the weak economy, we still expect a robust yoy earnings growth in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt17.50.
GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1Q25: ...
In 1Q25, earnings under our coverage are at Bt201.14b (-0.1% yoy, +46.2% qoq). The qoq increase was due to seasonality. The banking, telecommunications and consumer staples sectors reported remarkable results. For 2025 we reduce earnings growth by 3.8%, but opportunities remain in domestic and external plays. Overall, we lower 2025F EPS to Bt80 from Bt94and our SET target to 1,280 (from 1,500 in 1Q25) based on 16.0x forward PE. Top picks are ADVANC, RATCH, BCH, IVL, PTTGC.
BCH reported a net profit of Bt321m in 1Q25 (+0.8% yoy, +37.9% qoq), which is in line with our and consensus forecasts. The top-line is at Bt2.9b (+2.1% yoy, +5.1% qoq). The main contributors are revenue from outpatient department (OPD) patients which grew 4% yoy and from social security (SSO) patients that grew 3.7% yoy. We are bullish on BCH, as we expect it to be able to grow stronger yoy from the low base last year. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.00.
GREATER CHINA Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb19.22/Target: Rmb25.30) 2Q25 guidance in line; GB200/GB300 smooth production ramp as the key driver for 2025-26. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy JCI rallies from global tailwinds Market rebound gains momentum amid global tailwinds and rate cut hopes. MALAYSIA Results Maxis (MAXIS MK/BUY/RM3.76/Target: RM4.20) 1Q25: Strong set of results; earnings d...
We expect a net profit of Bt319m in 1Q25 (+0.0% yoy, +36.8% qoq). Top-line should come in at Bt2.9b (+2.0% yoy, +5.0% qoq), mainly driven by revenue growth from OPD patients, which should offset the loss of revenue from Kuwaiti patients compared to last year. We are optimistic on BCH, as the growth outlook for 2Q25 seems promising and several hospitals have shown a solid recovery in performance. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.00.
GREATER CHINA Economics A New Round of Policy Support Positive for the economy, but mostly priced in. Results BeiGene (6160 HK/BUY/HK$141.00/Target: HK$220.00) 1Q25: Results beat; reaches profitability with adjusted net earnings of US$136m. INDONESIA Results XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera (EXCL IJ/HOLD/Rp2,180/Target: Rp2,400) 1Q25: EBITDA down 3% yoy. Downgrade to HOLD. MALAYSIA Results SD Guthrie (SDG MK/HOLD/RM...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
The tone at BCH’s 4Q24 analyst meeting was positive. We expect BCH to show strong growth in 2025, fuelled by the reopening of Kasemrad Pathumthani, operational improvement from three new hospitals and growth of patient volume driven by SC+. We should see a mild earnings growth in 1Q25 from the positive impact of the influenza outbreak, which should be able to offset the impact of the absence of Kuwaiti patients. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow; smart EVs to benefit from policy support. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay SV. Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$179.00/Target: HK$220.00): 4Q24: Strong earnings beat; resilient top-line bolstered by trade-in programme. JD Logistics, Inc (2618 HK/BUY/HK$15.46/Target: HK$22.00): 2024: Results broadly in line; revenue growth to accelerate in 2025. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Harum...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt15.70/Target: Bt20.00) 4Q24: Weaker-than-expected earnings. Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt49.25/Target: Bt79.30) 4Q24: Earnings exceeded estimates; record dividend announced. Electricity Generating PCL (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt96.25/Target: Bt120.00) 4Q24: Results in line with good outlook. Update LPN Development (LPN TB/SELL/Bt2.18/Target: Bt1.60) Unexciting business plan for...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Uptick in February. Sector Macau Gaming: Feb 25 GGR beat thanks to tail-end effect post CNY; switch top pick to Galaxy. Results New World Development (17 HK/HOLD/HK$4.82/Target: HK$4.45): 1HFY25: Net loss in line with profit warning and primarily caused by inventory impairment; refinancing progress to be the key. Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK/HOLD/HK$3.29/Target: HK$3.60): 2024: Below expectations; industry coordination and production discipline crucial to restore mar...
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