Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt9.75/Target: Bt14.00) We attended BCH’s 4Q25 analyst meeting where the tone was neutral. BCH expects 1Q26 earnings growth to be driven by Middle Eastern patients treated before Ramadan, though the outlook from Apr 26 onward would depend on war developments. For 2026, BCH targets mid-single-digit revenue growth supported by new specialised centres and hospital expansions. Potential upside could come from higher treatment fees from the SSO and ...
Greater China Company Results | Futu Holdings (FUTU US/BUY/US$152.64/Target: US$260.00) Despite weak market sentiment across Hong Kong equities and crypto in 4Q25, Futu still delivered strong results with an 81% yoy earnings growth, thanks to robust NII, solid growth from the wealth management business and better opex control. In our view, the results demonstrate Futu's ability to weather market downturns and deliver resilient earnings. With solid new paying client guidance and healthy qtd trend...
Top Stories Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt9.75/Target: Bt14.00) We attended BCH’s 4Q25 analyst meeting where the tone was neutral. BCH expects 1Q26 earnings growth to be driven by Middle Eastern patients treated before Ramadan, though the outlook from Apr 26 onward would depend on war developments. For 2026, BCH targets mid-single-digit revenue growth supported by new specialised centres and hospital expansions. Potential upside could come from higher treatment fees from...
Greater China Sector Update | Healthcare The HSHCI fell by 4.0%, underperforming the HSI which decreased mildly by 0.3% in 16-27 Feb 26. AI-related names such as InSilico, Xtalpi, Medlive, Ali Health, and JD Health experienced the largest fluctuation and significant declines during this period. As globalisation gains momentum, we navigate the complexities of global market dynamics and competition. Chinese healthcare companies are making significant breakthroughs and seizing a growing share of t...
Company Results | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt11.40/Target: Bt14.00) BCH reported 4Q25 net profit of Bt260m (+11.4% yoy), driven by strong SSO revenue and margin expansion. If we exclude the extra gains, core profit will be Bt246m (+43.3% yoy), which is in line with our forecast. The weakness in its Cambodian operations persisted but should ease starting from 1Q26 as patients will be redirected to Vientiane. Additional upside may come from higher medical fees following the SSO wage ceil...
Top Stories Company Results | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt11.40/Target: Bt14.00) BCH reported 4Q25 net profit of Bt260m (+11.4% yoy), driven by strong SSO revenue and margin expansion. If we exclude the extra gains, core profit will be Bt246m (+43.3% yoy), which is in line with our forecast. The weakness in its Cambodian operations persisted but should ease starting from 1Q26 as patients will be redirected to Vientiane. Additional upside may come from higher medical fees following the...
Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.40/Target: Bt14.00) BCH is expected to post earnings of Bt241m in 4Q25, with net profit rising slightly yoy but declining qoq due to weaker foreign patient revenue and margin pressure. Thai patient revenue benefitted from disease outbreaks, while Cambodian revenue remained weak but should begin recovering from 1Q26 through patient referrals to Kasemrad Vientiane. Longer-term upside includes higher SSO wage ceilings and potential fee increa...
Top Stories Company Results | PTT Oil and Retail (OR TB/HOLD/Bt13.90/Target: Bt14.50) OR reported a 4Q25 net profit of Bt2.1b, down both qoq and yoy, in line with our expectations but 33% above consensus forecasts. The mobility business remained seasonally strong, with higher sales volumes, while the marketing margin in 4Q25 was flat qoq. Although we expect core profit to recover qoq in 1Q26, we are still cautious about rising impairment risks, particularly those related to assets in Cambodia....
Greater China Strategy | Small/Mid Cap Monthly ‒ 2025 Results Preview We expect names under our coverage to report resilient earnings growth for 2025. For names with generous dividend payouts, we are eyeing the possibilities of special dividends for 2025 on the back of robust balance sheets and solid results: Crystal, Plover Bay, SHK& Co. We are also monitoring capex plans for Crystal and Kingboard Laminates. Our most preferred pick is Crystal, given its attractive valuation (10.2x 2026F PE, 6.4...
Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.10/Target: Bt14.00) BCH’s analyst meeting carried a slightly positive tone, supported by recovering high-end Cambodian patient referrals to Kasemrad Vientiane starting Dec 25 and progress on resuming Kuwaiti referrals. Middle Eastern revenue fell in 3Q25 but should recover in 2026 as a key specialist commits exclusively to BCH. While epidemic trends will aid 4Q25 earnings, qoq growth remains uncertain, and new drug price measures pose some...
Top Stories Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.10/Target: Bt14.00) BCH’s analyst meeting carried a slightly positive tone, supported by recovering high-end Cambodian patient referrals to Kasemrad Vientiane starting Dec 25 and progress on resuming Kuwaiti referrals. Middle Eastern revenue fell in 3Q25 but should recover in 2026 as a key specialist commits exclusively to BCH. While epidemic trends will aid 4Q25 earnings, qoq growth remains uncertain, and new drug price measu...
Greater China Strategy | Market Strategy Global liquidity is expected to stay supportive through 1H26 following the Fed’s Sep 25 rate cut, lifting emerging-market assets and commodities. Chinese equities should extend gains, with MSCI China targeted at 104 on 16.3x forward PE and 6% EPS growth. Growth will rely more on domestic demand amid geopolitical risks and slowing external momentum. China’s GDP growth for 2026 is projected to rise 4.2% yoy. We favour AI/semiconductors, automation/robotics,...
Company Results | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.70/Target: Bt14.00) BCH delivered weak 3Q25 earnings as expected, with net profit down due to a high base from last year’s chronic disease revenue and seasonal shifts that pushed epidemic-related cases into 4Q25. However, a sharp rise in influenza cases signals strong 4Q25 momentum, supported by higher Thai patient volumes. We expect to see a remedy measure on the new Ministry of Commerce drug-pricing policy from the upcoming analyst meet...
Top Stories Company Results | Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt50.25/Target: Bt73.10) CPN reported a net profit of Bt5.4b in 3Q25 (+31.5% yoy, +26% qoq), supported by one-off items. Core earnings were strong as expected, improving both yoy and qoq. We anticipate the resilient core operational performance continuing into 4Q25. We are optimistic about CPN, given its resilient performance and positive business outlook with expansion plans. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt73.10. Company Update | Char...
Company Update | Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt10.70/Target: Bt14.00) BCH is expected to post a 3Q25 net profit of Bt331m (-27.1% yoy, -14.8% qoq) on weaker foreign patient revenue and a high base effect in 3Q24 from the 26-chronic diseases revenue. Margins should contract substantially yoy. However, a stronger-than-expected flu outbreak should boost Thai patient volume in 4Q25. The new Ministry of Commerce medicine measure should have limited impact, while Kuwait patient referrals are ...
Top Stories Company Update | Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.10/Target: Bt3.30) AWC is expected to post a 3Q25 core profit of Bt272m (-0.7% yoy, +49.1% qoq) and revenue of Bt3.96b (+5.2% yoy), driven by strong retail performance from the Jurassic World launch, which boosted Asiatique’s occupancy to 85% and lifted commercial revenue by 22% yoy. Hotel revenue was flat yoy but improved qoq. 4Q25 outlook is promising with strong bookings upcountry and signs of Chinese tourist recovery. Mai...
Greater China Company Results | ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US /BUY/ US$2.22/Target: US$3.40) ECARX’s 3Q25 earnings make a turnaround, with net profit of US$0.9m in 3Q25, marking its first-ever quarterly profitability. Going forward, we believe ECARX's earnings will be driven by sales volume growth and product mix optimisation. We maintain our forecast of a net loss of US$49m for 2025 and a turnaround to a net profit of US$36m and US$100m for 2026 and 2027, based on a 27% revenue CAGR. Maintain ...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV sales rebounded last week, with PEV growth surging from below 5% to over 30% due to subsidies and new models. Geely and XPeng led, while BYD and Li Auto lagged. Vehicle exports rose 26% yoy in August, driven by gains in the EU, Africa, and Middle East. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL (target price raised to Rmb520) and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Update | Healthcare Falling interest rates are expected to significant...
We attended BCH’s 2Q25 analyst meeting, and the tone was positive. Management updated that the return of Kuwaiti patients is drawing nearer. BCH will not set any additional provisions on the outstanding receivables of Kuwaiti patients as the Kuwaiti officials have indicated a strong commitment to pay off the debt. The outlook in 3Q25 will be challenging, as we had expected, given several headwinds, but the earnings outlook in 4Q25 remains promising. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.00.
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