HEADLINES: • PZU: discounted valuation for growing EPS and dividend yields (stays BUY) • Alior Bank: trading cheaply, but in stand-by mode (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: complicated, but not value destructive (stays BUY) • Romania macro: a frail situation • Georgia macro: NBG keeps policy rate unchanged, at 8.0%; sanctions from the US and the UK • Czech Republic macro: CNB keeps policy rate on hold • CEZ: government takes new nuclear financing plan under advisement NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: pre-clos...
We have lowered our 12M price target (PT) slightly, to PLN 212.4/share (from PLN 227.5), as a consequence of our model adjustments. We have reduced our dividend payout ratio to 50%, from 62.5% previously, and rolled our model forward to 2027E. We are bought in to the potential equity story of Bank Pekao on its own, and see it as well positioned for a potential new lending cycle. It may also be boosted by the new management getting back on track with a decision-making process oriented towards mar...
We keep Alior Bank as a BUY and increase our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 114.3/share (vs. PLN 111.1 previously), which, in essence, is a valuation call. Alior is still the one of cheapest Polish banks under our coverage (2024-25E P/E and P/BV of 4.9-5.9x and 1.1-1.0x respectively) and offers a 10%+ dividend yield in the next 12 months. We see the bank as having a higher risk profile, and therefore, while the upside is appealing, especially the dividend yield, we see better risk-reward profiles ...
A director at Andritz AG bought 2,000 shares at 49.790EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 60/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...
A director at Bank Handlowy W Warszawie sold 7,517 shares at 90.930PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 62/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...
HEADLINES: • European oil and gas monthly: November 2024 – gas inventories down, prices up • Bank Handlowy: published its 2025-27E strategy on 6 December NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: pushes EC to promote CRMs, as it preps EUR 300m investment to boost bauxite and alumina production, plus brand-new gallium production facility POSITIVE • Auto Partner: November sales growth slows down to 5% yoy, well below our expectations NEGATIVE • Turkish banks: BRSA announces financial services companies wi...
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
HEADLINES: • Gentoo Media: let’s roll! (BUY - initiation of coverage) • CCC: 3Q24 results in line with prelims; positive trends maintained in 4Q24 NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: 3Q24 review –net profit up 18% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • Echo Investment: 3Q24 results in line with the consensus; to sell React office in Lodz POSITIVE • Text: 2Q24-25 (calendar 3Q24) results – EBITDA up 12% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 3Q24 in line, focus remains on disposals NEUTRAL • PCF ...
EM sovereigns have coped well with the volatility and higher rates environment seen from the US but spread levels could be shaken up from near all-time tights by January issuance and more clarity on the impact from Trump's economic policies. For now, generally improving fundamentals are supportive, but political risks as always remain key.
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today affirmed the Baa2/P-2 long- and short-term deposit ratings and the Baa3/P-3 long- and short-term issuer ratings of Banca Transilvania S.A. (BT). The outlook on the long-term deposit and issuer ratings was changed to positive from stable. We also affirmed BT's ba...
HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: set sail to dividend wonderland (BUY - transfer of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: Central Asia and the Caucasus – USD 1,000bn GDP by 2030! • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one – the Year-Ahead issue • Graphisoft Park: 3Q24 – on course for another good year POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: rather neutral set of 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: 3Q24 – 22% higher CASKX alleviated by 4% higher RASK and 12% lower fuel CASK (in line with the consensus) • Bank of...
HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: stellar 3Q24 print sponsored by OTP RO integration POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 3Q24 results – small beat; FY24E guidance reiterated; buyback programme expires POSITIVE • Sok Marketler: highly weak set of results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • ONE United Properties: 3Q24 broadly in line with recent trends NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 3Q24 financial results NEGATIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 3Q24 results highlights – improved outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: Oc...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: posts strong 3Q24; one of the cheapest among the Polish banks, but remains hostage to merger risk • PKO BP: 3Q24 results – no major surprises • Wizz Air: 2Q FY25 – small miss, with better fuel, but higher ex-fuel cask than we expected NEUTRAL • Bucharest Stock Exchange: weak 3Q24 results NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 3Q24 results and conference call POSITIVE • CTP: 3Q24 in line; development-led growth continues NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q24 EBITDA up by 10% yoy, exceeding the ...
EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 3Q24 results – strong NII delivery • mBank: underlying 3Q34 business delivery in line; beat on headline net profit due to tax charges NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 3Q24 results – minor miss on high credit risk charges, as corporate NPL ratio surges NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 3Q24, Biedronka at -2% lfl and stable margin erosion; price war continues POSITIVE • Komercni Banka: 3Q24 results – net profit largely in line with expectations • Medicover: 3Q24 operating numbers in l...
EQS-News: Andritz AG / Schlagwort(e): 9-Monatszahlen/Quartalsergebnis ANDRITZ verzeichnet solide Entwicklung im dritten Quartal 2024 31.10.2024 / 07:30 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. GRAZ, 31. OKTOBER 2024. Der internationale Technologiekonzern ANDRITZ verzeichnete im dritten Quartal 2024 trotz des weiterhin herausfordernden wirtschaftlichen Umfelds eine solide Geschäftsentwicklung. Während sich der Auftragseingang im Vergleich zum dritten Quartal 2023 erhöhte, blieb die Rentabilität (EBITA-Marge) stabil und der Umsat...
EQS-News: Andritz AG / Key word(s): 9 Month figures/Quarter Results ANDRITZ reports solid development in Q3 2024 31.10.2024 / 07:30 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. GRAZ, OCTOBER 31, 2024 International technology group ANDRITZ reported solid business development in the third quarter of 2024 despite the continuously challenging economic environment. While order intake increased from the third quarter of 2023, profitability (EBITA margin) remained stable, and revenue declined slightly. The increase in order intake was driven by...
HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: ambitious, but achievable, 2025-28E strategy implies a return to growth and more of a focus on the corporate segment POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: 3Q24 results in line; key focus on 2025-28E strategic update • Santander Bank Polska: posts solid 3Q24 profits, as NII peaks and FX mortgage saga costs are very low for the quarter • OMV: 3Q24 results – CCS EBIT in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q24 results in line with consensus NEUTRAL • Budimex: key takea...
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