reports
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 21 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: SANTANDER. Caution continues due to the geopolitical situation European stock markets ended with slight corrections despite the initial gains, with all eyes on the tension in Ukraine and Nvidia’s results (that released good earnings after the closing bell). Thus, in the STOXX 600, Basic Resources and Pharma (for the second consecutive session) led gains vs. Automobiles (once more the worst performer) and Real Estate that ended with the biggest drops. From the ECB, L. de Guindos c...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 21 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SANTANDER. Continúa la cautela por la geopolítica Pese al buen arranque de las bolsas europeas, las ganancias se fueron diluyendo hasta terminar con tímidas caídas, pendientes de la tensión en Ucrania y los resultados de Nvidia (que publicó buenos resultados con el mercado ya cerrado aunque recortó por dudas con respecto al 4T). Así, dentro del STOXX 600, R.Básicos y Farma (por segundo día consecutivo) lideraron las ganancias, frente a Autos (que ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EXAE GA; EME Macro/Strategy – Central Asia and the Caucasu...
HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: set sail to dividend wonderland (BUY - transfer of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: Central Asia and the Caucasus – USD 1,000bn GDP by 2030! • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one – the Year-Ahead issue • Graphisoft Park: 3Q24 – on course for another good year POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: rather neutral set of 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: 3Q24 – 22% higher CASKX alleviated by 4% higher RASK and 12% lower fuel CASK (in line with the consensus) • Bank of...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PEO PW; PKO PW; WIZZ LN; BVB RO; TBCG LN; CTPNV NA; AIRA L...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: posts strong 3Q24; one of the cheapest among the Polish banks, but remains hostage to merger risk • PKO BP: 3Q24 results – no major surprises • Wizz Air: 2Q FY25 – small miss, with better fuel, but higher ex-fuel cask than we expected NEUTRAL • Bucharest Stock Exchange: weak 3Q24 results NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 3Q24 results and conference call POSITIVE • CTP: 3Q24 in line; development-led growth continues NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q24 EBITDA up by 10% yoy, exceeding the ...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 06 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTA...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, SANTANDER. EUROPA: AHOLD DELHAIZE, BMW, SIEMENS, UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Trump gana las elecciones A la espera de conocer el desenlace oficial, todo parece indicar que Trump habría ganado las...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 06 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, SANTANDER. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Trump wins the elections Awaiting the official results, all indications suggest that Donald Trump would have won the US presidential election (248 of 270 necessary electoral votes), where four of the so-called swing states would h...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only the Czech Republic in the bla...
EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EBS AV; MBK PW; ING PW; JMT PL; KOMB CP; MCOVB SS; TKNSA T...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 3Q24 results – strong NII delivery • mBank: underlying 3Q34 business delivery in line; beat on headline net profit due to tax charges NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 3Q24 results – minor miss on high credit risk charges, as corporate NPL ratio surges NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 3Q24, Biedronka at -2% lfl and stable margin erosion; price war continues POSITIVE • Komercni Banka: 3Q24 results – net profit largely in line with expectations • Medicover: 3Q24 operating numbers in l...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/10/2024
Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
ADS ADIDAS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
BAS BASF SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
AENA AENA SME SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
GSK GSK PLC
FER FERROVIAL SA
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/30/2024
The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
ADS ADIDAS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
BAS BASF SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
AENA AENA SME SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
GSK GSK PLC
FER FERROVIAL SA
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
Santander : Further solid trends in Q3 2024, evidencing the group’s sm...
>Outperform rating and € 5.6 target price maintained - Santander’s Q3/9M 2024 figures lend weight to our Outperform rating on the stock. We have shaded down our net income estimates (-1% on average) for 2024-2026e, based on a slightly more cautious stance on the top line, but our target price of € 5.6 is unchanged. The bank’s continuing solid operating performances further underpin the smooth progress in terms of its strategic initiatives and the main financial guidan...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
Santander : Un T3 2024 de nouveau solide et qui conforte la (bonne) st...
>Opinion Surperformance maintenue – OC inchangé à 5.6 € - Les chiffres T3/9M 2024 confortent notre call positif (Surperformance) sur Santander. Nous révisons légèrement en baisse nos estimations de RN (-1% en moyenne) sur 2024-26e, en raison d’un biais un peu plus prudent sur la topline. Notre OC reste néanmoins inchangé à 5.6 €. L’évolution de nouveau solide des performances opérationnelles valide un peu plus la bonne avancée des initiatives stratégiques et les princ...
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Javier Esteban
SANTANDER: 3Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23: NII: € 11.296 Bn (+0.1% vs. +0.7% BS(e) and +3% consensus); Total Revenues: € 15.135 Bn (+1.8% vs. +3.5% BS(e) and +3.2% consensus); Operating Income: € 8.786 Bn (+4.9% vs. +3.9% BS(e) and +5.1% consensus); Net Profit: € 3.250 Bn (+12% vs. +4.2% BS(e) and 7.5% consensus). 3Q'24 vs. 2Q'24: NII: € 11.296 Bn (-2.2% vs. -1.5% BS(e) and -0.7% consensus); Total Revenues: € 15.135 Bn (-3.4% vs. -1.9% BS(e) and -2.1% consensus); Operating Income: € 8.786 Bn (-5.6% vs. -6.4% BS(e) and -5...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MIL PW; SPL PW; OMV AV; SNP RO; BDX PW; EUR PW
HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: ambitious, but achievable, 2025-28E strategy implies a return to growth and more of a focus on the corporate segment POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: 3Q24 results in line; key focus on 2025-28E strategic update • Santander Bank Polska: posts solid 3Q24 profits, as NII peaks and FX mortgage saga costs are very low for the quarter • OMV: 3Q24 results – CCS EBIT in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q24 results in line with consensus NEUTRAL • Budimex: key takea...
- Javier Esteban
SANTANDER: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: M. Intereses: 11.296 M euros (+0,1% vs +0,7% BS(e) y +3% consenso); M. Bruto: 15.135 M euros (+1,8% vs +3,5% BS(e) y +3,2% consenso); M. Neto: 8.786 M euros (+4,9% vs +3,9% BS(e) y +5,1% consenso); BDI: 3.250 M euros (+12% vs +4,2% BS(e) y 7,5% consenso). Rdos. 3T'24 vs 2T'24: M. Intereses: 11.296 M euros (-2,2% vs -1,5% BS(e) y -0,7% consenso); M. Bruto: 15.135 M euros (-3,4% vs -1,9% BS(e) y -2,1% consenso); M. Neto: 8.786 M euros (-5,6% vs -6,4% BS(e) y -5,3% consenso); ...
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
WOOD Flash – Bank Millennium: ambitious, but achievable, 2025-28E stra...
Millennium has published its 2025-28E strategic targets, with a 2028E reported ROE of a minimum of 18%. Our current explicit forecasts for Bank Millennium end in 2026E and imply a headline ROE of 15.5% and an adjusted ROE of 20.7%, with headline 2026E net profit of PLN 1.44bn and adjusted net profit of PLN 1.94bn. It is hard to compare our current forecasts with the bank’s targets, which reach out two years ahead, but we believe that our 2024-26E forecasts lay out a sensible path to achieving a ...
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