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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: RBW PW; EBS AV; JMT PL; EUROB GA; ETE GA; OPTIMA GA; TITC ...

HEADLINES: • Rainbow Tours: on the road to riches (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Erste Bank: 2Q25 results beat on positive one-off; solid performance in core result leads to 2025E guidance uplift POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: minor beat in 2Q25; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 2Q25 highlights – a clean 14% beat vs. our estimate POSITIVE • National Bank of Greece: 2Q25 highlights – in line, with guidance upgrade POSITIVE • Optima Bank SA: bottom-line beat in 2Q25...

Louis Boujard ... (+4)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; KOMB CP; ING PW; KTY PW; FROTO TI; GARAN TI; BRD R...

HEADLINES: • mBank: 2Q25 results – strong quality beat • Komercni Banka: beat on bottom line in 2Q25, driven solely by LLPs releases NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 2Q25 results – strong other income and lower provisions charges NEUTRAL • Kety: full 2Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Garanti Bank: 2Q25 highlights – still ahead of peers and soft 2026E guidance POSITIVE • BRD-GSG: solid 2Q25 results beat expectations POSITIVE • OMV Petr...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MCOVB SS; Türkiye macro; KRKG SV; WIZZ LN; EXAE GA; SAB1L ...

HEADLINES: • Medicover: 2Q25 results - a decent beat on operating leverage POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT surprises with a bold cut • Krka: 2Q25 in line with prelims, guidance update in November NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 1QF26 results - another miss, but focus on a planned shift to slower growth • Athens Exchange Group: 2Q25E preview (due on 28 July) • Artea Bankas: 2Q25E preview (due on 31 July) • BRD-GSG: 2Q25E preview (due on 31 July) • Coca-Cola Içecek – 2Q25E earnings preview (due on 11 August) • ...

Jovan Sikimic
  • Jovan Sikimic

ODDO : Sailing through hard times

We are resuming coverage of Romanian banks with an Outperform rating and a TP of RON 32.3 on Banca Transilvania (TLV) and a Neutral stance with a TP of RON 20.3 on BRD. We believe that current market prices largely factor in the downside risks of the upcoming fiscal consolidation package even beyond 2026. Despite BRD's increasing appetite for growth, we favour TLV due to its effective growth through its M&A strategy, higher long-term ROE potential and more attractive valuation metrics.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ASELS TI; RO Macro; WIZZ LN; PEO PW; GPP PW; LAMDA GA; MON...

HEADLINES: • Aselsan: to tap DIRCM market POSITIVE • Romania macro: Government survives vote of no confidence, as expected • Wizz Air: to exit Abu Dhabi by the end of the summer • Bank Pekao: to book PLN 417m of extra provisions related to various legal risks in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl at 395,000 in 1H25, flat yoy NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: completes early repayment of EUR 230m retail bond NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 24 July) • Bank Millenn...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: RO Banks; KOMB CP; MONET CP; PCO PW; BELA GA; PL Utilities...

HEADLINES: • Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania stays BUY, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays HOLD) • Pepco Group: 3Q25 revenues of New Pepco up 8% yoy, in line with expectations; FY25E guidance maintained; EUR 50m buyback NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H25 sales up by a solid 8% yoy, as largely expected NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: Ministry of State Asset...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania ...

While the macro outlook in Romania may not be the most inviting over the next few years, due to the budget consolidation efforts that Romania must undertake to comply with the EC targets and avoid being downgraded to non-investment grade, we remain fairly constructive on Banca Transilvania (TLV), while less so on BRD-GSG. Despite some pressure on margins, due to rate cuts by the ECB, we expect both banks’ NIMs to expand mildly in 2025E and, even though the tax burden is increasing and we see hig...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD)

We have downgraded Komercni Banka to HOLD (from Buy), and we set our updated 12M price target (PT) at CZK 1,108 (up from CZK 959/share), 7% upside. We see the c.9% annual dividend yield as the key return for shareholders in the next 12 months. We believe that the high yield should be sustainable over the next two years, as we have prolonged our assumption of a 100% dividend payout ratio by one year, beyond management’s explicit current guidance. Komercni Banka is trading at our 2025-26E P/Es of ...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: June 2025 – bullish cues from Hormuz

Brent crude oil prices rose USD 5.8/bbl vs. the previous month, on the fear of a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. Despite rising crude prices, a strong diesel crack means that the WOOD benchmark also improved, to USD 13.0/bbl, the highest level since March 2024. Petrochemicals margins were lower, but not affected by the high oil prices, as may have been expected.

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