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Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

After some relief for markets on the data front this week, a period of quiet in terms of macro news should offer a further window for new supply to come from EM issuers ahead of an expected summer lull. Spread levels remain well anchored and EM credit should continue to see robust demand from yield-seeking investors.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CGEO LN; ELPE GA; GPW PW; BOCH CY; ALPHA GA; EUROB GA; BFT...

HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: announces two new buyback programmes POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q24 results – mildly above expectations POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line miss and further margin compression in the 1Q24 results NEGATIVE • Bank of Cyprus: 1Q24 highlights POSITIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q24 highlights – trading-related beat, but NIM and fees evolve better than expected • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q24 highlights – helped by trading income, but good quarter ove...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BFT PW; MTELEKOM HB; PBK RO; GEV CP; MBR PW; DAT PW; IGN1L...

HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: strong 1Q24, but May card base estimate disappoints POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: 1Q24E results review – EBITDA up 46% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2024E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong bottom-line print in 1Q24, but loan book development remains absent POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: 1Q24 EBITDA up 24% yoy, 17% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 1Q24 EBITDA 5% above our forecast, 6% miss vs. the consensus NEUTRAL • DataWalk: 1Q24 numbers fully in line with ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GSPARK HB; SFG RO; H2O RO; DIGI RO; AROBS RO; PG...

HEADLINES: • InPost: strong 1Q24, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained; slight volume deceleration in 2Q24 so far POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so far; guidance maintained POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q24 above our expectations POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 1Q24 – lower power prices offset by no tax on producers NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 1Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 22% yoy, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: weak 1Q24 results, ...

Research Team
  • Research Team
BRE MBANK SA
MOL MOL NYRT ... (+15)

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; OTP HB; MIL PW; CCC PW; DNP PW; EAT PW; MOL HB; M ...

HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...

Egor Fedorov ... (+4)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson
  • Oleksiy Soroka
  • CFA

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

Some signs of cooling economic data out of the US, and the start of DM rate-cutting cycles has offered some optimism for EM assets, with the grind tighter in credit spreads continuing as seen for much of this year. We expect the benign environment to offer further opportunities for new issuance, while spread levels look fairly tight.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; KRU PW; BHW PW; NLBR SV; PGSUS TI; ADNOCDIS UH; CT...

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: strong 1Q24, with 9% beat, but big part due to lower quarterly tax charge POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q24 results in line with earlier communication; strong trend continues, but digested by the market already NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: books neutral 1Q24, questions on future capital management NEUTRAL • NLB Group: guidance upgrade spices up vanilla 1Q24 bottom-line beat POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 1Q24 in line, guidance for mild margin compression and 10-12% ASK growth maintained NEUTR...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...

HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating

Refining margins retreated again in April, by USD 1.2/bbl, to USD 12.6/bbl, remaining about 40% higher than usual for the season. Petrol cracks continued their seasonal rising trend, but diesel weakened more. Polymer margins had a positive month, but olefins and aromatics saw their margins go the other way.

Szabolcs Pal
  • Szabolcs Pal

Solid performance and no surprises from BRD in Q1 2024

BRD’s reported net income came to RON 324 mln in the first quarter, down by4% y-o-y due to higher cost of risk and new levy tax. NII was up by 6.8% yearly thanks to positive volume effect, while the impact ofinterest rates reversed, given lower interest rates as compared to Q1 2023,therefore the NIM slightly decreased to 3.4%. Operating expenses were also up by ca. 5% q-o-q due to levy tax and 4.2% yo-y. Beside the levy tax the PEREX also increased substantially (+9.3% y-o-y). Provisioning wa...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; GEV CP; DAT PW; WPL PW; GPP PW; ACP PW

HEADLINES: • mBank: revises up 1Q24 FX mortgage saga costs NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 4Q23 results broadly in line; new contracts from Poland and Sweden NEUTRAL • DataWalk: preliminary 1Q24 results – sales up 100% yoy, to PLN 6.43m POSITIVE • DataWalk: key takeaways from the 1Q24 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: real users in April 2024 NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q24E preview – 9% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 21 May) • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q24E results preview – flat y...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; BRD RO; YKBNK TI; CZ Macro; WPL PW; TL Automotive...

HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: 1Q24 below market's expectations, on late-cycle provisions and revenue headwinds NEGATIVE • BRD-GSG: high level of provisions booked leads to bottom-line miss in 1Q24 NEUTRAL • Yapi Kredi: 1Q24 highlights • Czech Republic macro: MPC preparing the ground for slower rate cuts • Czech Republic macro: a sound recovery, despite stagnant exports • Wirtualna Polska: Itaka ends cooperation with Wakacje.pl NEGATIVE • Turkish automotive: ADA releases April light vehicle sales ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all geographies in the green in Ap...

EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE SHOPER SA
AIRA BOROUGE
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
GEVORKYAN A.S.
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SPL PW; PEO PW; PCF PW; EBS AV; OMV AV; BOROUGE UH; SNP RO...

HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q24 results – 19%+ headline ROE affected only slightly by FX mortgage saga costs • Bank Pekao: 1Q24 results in line with market's expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 4Q23 headlines hit heavily by write-offs, but a more limited EBITDA loss than we had expected NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q24 results – chemicals stronger than expected NEUTRAL • Borouge: 1Q24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • Garan...

Bank Polska Kasa Opieki S.A.: Update following ratings affirmation

Our credit view of Bank Polska Kasa Opieki S.A. reflects its good capitalisation, against its relatively high NPL ratio that is likely to deteriorate moderately.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; SIPCHEM AB; KRU PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; T...

HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak bottom-line performance in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Sipchem: 1Q24 results – weak net income NEGATIVE • Kruk: issues flash 1Q24 net profit of PLN 338m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (22-28 April) • Türkiye macro: MPC takes a pause, but hiking cycle not over yet • OTP Bank: CEO Csanyi speaks at AGM on future acquisitions and Russian exposure POSITIVE • Budimex: BXF Energia acquires 60 MW photovoltaic project NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: dividend policy for 2023-25E and p...

Moody's Ratings affirms Bank Millennium's Baa3 long-term deposit ratin...

Moody's Ratings ("Moody's") has today affirmed Bank Millennium S.A.'s (BM) Baa3/P-3 long- and short-term deposit ratings and changed the outlook on the long-term deposit ratings to positive from negative. Further, Moody's affirmed the bank's ba3 Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA) and ba2 Adjusted BCA,...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MONET CP; ALR PW; SHO PW; MBR PW; WIZZ LN; ASELS TI; OPL P...

HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: strong 1Q24 delivery, on better-than- expected revenues POSITIVE • Alior Bank: books small beat on 1Q24 delivery, driven by low credit risk charges; robust 2024E outlook supported POSITIVE • Shoper: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA 9% above our expectations; FY23 results in line with prelims POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 4% miss vs. our 4Q23 adjusted EBITDA forecast, weak cash flows NEGATIVE • Wizz Air: fiscal 2024 post-close trading update POSITIVE • Aselsan: CEO's comments on exports...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: ANDRITZ meldet stabile Ergebnisse für das 1. Quartal 2024

EQS-News: Andritz AG / Schlagwort(e): Quartalsergebnis ANDRITZ meldet stabile Ergebnisse für das 1. Quartal 2024 25.04.2024 / 07:30 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. GRAZ, 25. April 2024.  Der internationale Technologiekonzern ANDRITZ verzeichnete im 1. Quartal 2024 eine zufriedenstellende Geschäftsentwicklung. Der Umsatz ging leicht zurück, doch die Rentabilität blieb stabil und das Konzernergebnis stieg im Vergleich zum 1. Quartal 2023 leicht an. Während der Auftragseingang insgesamt unter dem hohen Niveau des Vorjahre...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: ANDRITZ reports stable results for the first quarter of 2024

EQS-News: Andritz AG / Key word(s): Quarter Results ANDRITZ reports stable results for the first quarter of 2024 25.04.2024 / 07:30 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. GRAZ, APRIL 25, 2024.  International technology group ANDRITZ saw a satisfactory business development in the first quarter of 2024. The revenue decreased slightly, but profitability remained stable and net income increased slightly compared to the first quarter of 2023. While total order intake declined from the high level of the previous year, orders for green te...

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