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Coca-Cola Hellenic Bottling Company AG: 2 directors

Two Directors at Coca-Cola Hellenic Bottling Company AG sold/sold after exercising options 42,319 shares at between 2,605p and 2,620p. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

JUMBO | Patience you must have

Another record year; on track for c10% EBIT growth in 2024 – Jumbo delivered 20% EBIT growth in FY23 thanks to 14% higher sales, resilient gross margins (-15bps yoy, albeit >3pps higher than 2019 levels) and opex savings (opex just +6% yoy). Coupled with net financial income given the debt-free balance sheet, Jumbo grew net profits by a whopping 22%, eclipsing the +20% embedded in our estimates a year ago. Mgt proposed another generous €1 DPS following the €0.6 paid in March, adding up to c6% yi...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

JUMBO | Patience you must have

Another record year; on track for c10% EBIT growth in 2024 – Jumbo delivered 20% EBIT growth in FY23 thanks to 14% higher sales, resilient gross margins (-15bps yoy, albeit >3pps higher than 2019 levels) and opex savings (opex just +6% yoy). Coupled with net financial income given the debt-free balance sheet, Jumbo grew net profits by a whopping 22%, eclipsing the +20% embedded in our estimates a year ago. Mgt proposed another generous €1 DPS following the €0.6 paid in March, adding up to c6% yi...

Greek Organisation Of Football Prognostics S.A.: 1 director

A director at Greek Organisation Of Football Prognostics S.A. bought 7,641 shares at 16.260EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 62/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's director...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | More measured growth, but still betting on a safe ace

Firstly, how to value OPAP – Being a business operating limited-life concessions, OPAP is far more complicated to value than most investors realize. In fact, one can argue that as concession expiration approaches, the shares ought to incorporate a lower valuation reflecting the reduced time life of the respective concessions. On the other hand, we also note that some of the provisions embedded in certain concessions act as effective barriers to entry, attributing to these licences going-concern ...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | More measured growth, but still betting on a safe ace

Firstly, how to value OPAP – Being a business operating limited-life concessions, OPAP is far more complicated to value than most investors realize. In fact, one can argue that as concession expiration approaches, the shares ought to incorporate a lower valuation reflecting the reduced time life of the respective concessions. On the other hand, we also note that some of the provisions embedded in certain concessions act as effective barriers to entry, attributing to these licences going-concern ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: mixed market performances in March

EME Equity Market – March 2024 Market performance – mixed performances in March, with the Romanian BET outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.3% mom in EUR terms and 0.4% mom in USD in March. The Romanian BET reported the strongest performance, adding 7.1% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Czech PX and the Polish WIG20 (+4.1% and 1.0% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). Greece saw a relatively muted performance (-0.2% mom in EUR terms), while Hungary (-1.1% mom in EUR terms) and Tür...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ONE CTP NV
GPP ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
AROBS GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
4071 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
H2O ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIR ASTANA JSC
Natalia Svyriadi
  • Natalia Svyriadi

Sarantis | Glowing growth, margin inflection; Buy

Solid Guidance, confident message, strong Buy – Sarantis mgt laid out a solid growth trajectory, guiding for c12% organic EBIT CAGR in the 2024-28e period following +30% growth in 2024e (of which 14% organic). Driving this material profit uplift will be strong organic top line growth (5-7%) underpinned by the focus on value-accretive “hero” products, SKU rationalization, organizational improvements and further streamlining of costs. Overall, Sarantis looks headed for EBIT near €76-77m by 2026e, ...

Natalia Svyriadi
  • Natalia Svyriadi

Sarantis | Glowing growth, margin inflection; Buy

Solid Guidance, confident message, strong Buy – Sarantis mgt laid out a solid growth trajectory, guiding for c12% organic EBIT CAGR in the 2024-28e period following +30% growth in 2024e (of which 14% organic). Driving this material profit uplift will be strong organic top line growth (5-7%) underpinned by the focus on value-accretive “hero” products, SKU rationalization, organizational improvements and further streamlining of costs. Overall, Sarantis looks headed for EBIT near €76-77m by 2026e, ...

Kate Heseltine
  • Kate Heseltine

OPAP - A good end to FY23

OPAP enjoyed good growth from its land-based activities, as well through the continued expansion of its online activities in FY23, and it surpassed its own profit expectations. Ongoing enhancements to OPAP’s offer, including the revitalisation of games, will support further growth in FY24.

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A.: 1 director

A director at Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A. bought 5,000 shares at 13.764EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: HUG PW; KMGZ KZ; ENA PW; MONET CP; KOMB CP; MOL HB; SAR GA...

HEADLINES: • Huuuge Games: 4Q23 slightly above the consensus; up to USD 70m buyback announced (14% yield) POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 4Q23 results – weaker than expected NEGATIVE • Enea: announces significant impairment charges (PLN 2.9bn) affecting the FY23 figures NEGATIVE • MONETA Money Bank/Komercni Banka: negative impact from the drop in mortgage rates NEGATIVE • MOL: updated strategy for 2030E – conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Sarantis: key takeaways from the Investor Day • Allegro: key ta...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ASELS TI; GE Macro; CEZ CP; ALE PW; VER AV; CCOLA TI; OPAP...

HEADLINES: • Aselsan: quo vadis? New contracts, new products and upcoming transition to inflation accounting POSITIVE • Georgia macro: NBG cuts policy rate by 75bps • CEZ: press reports CEZ has won tender for 55% of GasNet, could weigh on the 2023 dividend payout NEGATIVE • Allegro: 4Q23 results above expectations; guidance for a strong 1Q24E POSITIVE • Verbund: 4Q23 results in line with guidance NEUTRAL • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q23 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • OPAP: 4Q23 results and FY...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts: Healthy finish to the year as expected; cash re...

Q4 revenues back to growth; FY23 recurring EBITDA flattish yoy at €744.9m, above the latest guidance, in sync with our estimates – Following a rather subdued Q3 due to adverse sporting results, the situation reversed in Q4’23 as we had suspected, with sportsbook margins normalizing (as echoed by other bookmakers), thus underpinning a return to positive top line growth (Q4 GGR +7.5% at €581m, with retail +2% and online +25%). The increase in the top line (to an all-time record) was more than offs...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts: Healthy finish to the year as expected; cash re...

Q4 revenues back to growth; FY23 recurring EBITDA flattish yoy at €744.9m, above the latest guidance, in sync with our estimates – Following a rather subdued Q3 due to adverse sporting results, the situation reversed in Q4’23 as we had suspected, with sportsbook margins normalizing (as echoed by other bookmakers), thus underpinning a return to positive top line growth (Q4 GGR +7.5% at €581m, with retail +2% and online +25%). The increase in the top line (to an all-time record) was more than offs...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy March Update; AEGN GA; SAR GA; ETE GA; ...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: good news and challenges – the state of play in March • Aegean Airlines: caps off another strong year with a good 4Q, to pay out a EUR 0.75 DPS POSITIVE • Sarantis: 2H23 results slightly above guidance NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: 4Q23 and 2024-26E outlook highlights • Budimex: annual conference takeaways – targeting maintaining 2024E revenues and margins flat yoy NEUTRAL • Nuclearelectrica: shareholders called to approve continuation of SMR project, based...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EL RO; ELM AB; HTO GA; OMV AV; INPST NA

HEADLINES: • Electrica: takeaways from the FY23 earnings call NEGATIVE • Elm: 4Q23 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • OTE: planning to spin off its mobile infrastructure POSITIVE • OMV: acquires retail sites in Austria and Slovakia NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q23E preview – adjusted EBITDA growth of 41% yoy expected (due on 28 March)

Natalia Svyriadi
  • Natalia Svyriadi

Coca-Cola Hellenic | Charting growth ahead through operational excelle...

Solid 2023 execution – CCH delivered a strong set of results, with 2023 numbers landing above the upper end of mgt guidance and consensus forecasts, thanks to solid operational execution. The company enjoyed stronger than anticipated operating leverage managing to expand adj. EBIT margins by 50bps (to 10.6%) despite the multiple challenges (affordability pressures, Nigeria cash crisis). This came as a result of the significant price/mix growth (+19pps yoy and c2pps above consensus) and healthy v...

Natalia Svyriadi
  • Natalia Svyriadi

Coca-Cola Hellenic | Charting growth ahead through operational excelle...

Solid 2023 execution – CCH delivered a strong set of results, with 2023 numbers landing above the upper end of mgt guidance and consensus forecasts, thanks to solid operational execution. The company enjoyed stronger than anticipated operating leverage managing to expand adj. EBIT margins by 50bps (to 10.6%) despite the multiple challenges (affordability pressures, Nigeria cash crisis). This came as a result of the significant price/mix growth (+19pps yoy and c2pps above consensus) and healthy v...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OTE (Hellenic Telecoms) | Telling it like it is

Firstly, the positives – After a weak period with declines in GR retail fixed, the segment seems to have finally inflected in Q4’23 (+1.2%) as easy comps kicked in. KPIs in general are healthy (rising BB/fiber/TV subs) while domestic wireless continues to display robust trends thanks to better mix (contract sub adds) which is accretive to ARPU. ICT is also set to ramp up further, as project implementation accelerates. Meanwhile, fibre deployment by competitors is progressing slowly, which, in it...

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