AP reported a net profit of Bt1.45b in 3Q24 (-15% yoy, +14% qoq). The results were in line with expectations. 10M24 presales accounted for 71% of its full-year target. While reaching the full-year target may be challenging, we anticipate that total presales in 2024 will come close to the previous year. 4Q24 earnings are expected to remain stable qoq, underpinned by existing projects and backlogs. We still like AP for fundamentals and undemanding valuation. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt11.30.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.60/Target: Bt11.30) 3Q24: Results meet expectations; strong backlog supports 4Q24 earnings. Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt26.50/Target: Bt33.00) 3Q24: Record-high earnings delivered. BTG TB (BTG TB/BUY/Bt20.10/Target: Bt24.20) 3Q24: Earnings in line. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt10.80/Target: Bt13.00) 3Q24: Earnings in line; strong 4Q24 ea...
The SETPROP index outperformed the SET index, gaining 15% vs the latter’s 10% increase. However, we maintain a cautious view on the residential market, with conditions expected to remain unchanged in 2H24. High interest rates and tightening banking policies continue to pose challenges to the sector. We recommend a selective BUY − AP. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Exports rebounded in August but outlook remains challenging. Sector IT Hardware Maintain preference for the more defensive AI-device plays as uncertainty remains high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Update Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/HOLD/Rp7,250/Target: Rp7,760) 7M24: Strong ...
A director at AP (Thailand) PLC bought 3,600,000 shares at 8.350THB and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
GREATER CHINA Results BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$27.65/Target: HK$42.50) 1H24: Results missed on margins. Expect peak season to bolster profitability in 2H24. China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$4.04/Target: HK$5.22) 1H24: Steady profit growth; accelerated revenue expansion in 2H24. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.16/Target: HK$6.10) 1H24: Below expectations; power generation dragged by low wind speed. ...
AP reported a net profit of Bt1.27b in 2Q24 (-18% yoy, +26% qoq). The results were in line with expectations. We expect 3Q24 earnings to continue improving qoq, driven by the continued transfers of low-rise backlogs and a newly completed condo project. We revised down earnings by 4-14% for 2024-26 to reflect downside risks in presales and transfers. However, we still like AP for its fundamentals. AP is trading at an undemanding valuation. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt11.30.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.50/Target: Bt30.00) 2Q24: Earnings below expectations; positive earnings outlook in 2H24. AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt7.85/Target: Bt11.30) 2Q24: Results within expectations; expect 3Q24 earnings to improve qoq. Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB/BUY/Bt7.75/Target: Bt11.60) 2Q24: Earnings in line. Banpu PCL (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.60/Target: Bt5.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Weak demand for transactional funds and medium- to long-term loans. Results Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb20.78/Target: Rmb30.00) 2Q24: Solid progress in AI business; margin misses due to product mix changes. Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK/BUY/HK$2.95/Target: HK$4.00) 1H24: Results beat; expects double-digit revenue and earnings growth in 2024. INDONESIA Update In...
AP reported strong presales of Bt14b (+14% yoy, +49% qoq) in 2Q24, marking its thirdhighest quarterly record. 1H24 presales came in at Bt24.1b (+2% yoy), driven by the lowrise and high-rise segments. Earnings in 2Q24 are expected to recover from the previous quarter, supported by strong gross margins and the completion of key projects. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt13.50.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Channel checks and observations of Shanghai and Shenzhen home markets. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$71.35/Target: HK$109.60): 2Q24 sales performance in-line despite Fila’s lower growth; full-year targets maintained with confidence in achieving OPM guidance. Weichai Power (2338 HK/HOLD/HK$11.98/Target: HK$12.50): Sales dragged by market decline. Downgrade from BUY to HOLD. Cut target price from HK$20.00 to HK$12.50. INDONESIA Update Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ/...
AP is on track with planned project launches for 2Q24, launching 22 projects worth Bt27.7b (+64% yoy). Key projects include Aspire Huai Khwang and Aspire Arun Prive which are expected to drive presales up yoy and qoq. In 2Q24, we expect an earnings recovery from the prior quarter, driven by transfer progress from existing projects and newly-completed condo projects, with healthy margins expected. We like AP for its earnings outlook and solid fundamentals. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt13.50.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Market Strategy 2H24: Building blocks in place. Results Meituan (3690 HK/BUY/HK$112.70/Target: HK$130.00) 1Q24: Earnings beat. ISHT margin to stabilise in 2Q24; upgrade To BUY. INDONESIA Results Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ/HOLD/Rp2,460/Target: Rp2,500) 1Q24: EBITDA below expectations with potential improvement ahead. MALAYSIA Sector Gaming ...
The results are in line with our expectations. AP reported a net profit of Bt1,008m for 1Q24 (-32% yoy, -24% qoq), pressured by a decrease in transfers and decline in gross margins. AP is expected to see an improvement in presales in 2Q24. Meanwhile, 2Q24 earnings are expected to rebound from the previous quarter, supported by newlycompleted condo projects and low-rise backlog. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt13.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt10.70/Target: Bt13.50) 1Q24: Earnings down by 32% yoy and 24% qoq, in line with expectations. Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB/BUY/Bt21.70/Target: Bt30.00) 1Q24: Results beat forecasts; an improvement in credit costs. Muangthai Capital (MTC TB/BUY/Bt45.25/Target: Bt54.00) 1Q24: Earnings in line with market expectations; peaking of credit cost and Update Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/BUY/Bt65.75/Target: Bt75.00) On a path to recovery after the high s...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare: From surviving to thriving. Hong Kong Property: Expect normalised primary transactions and continued weakness of retail sales in May; watch for possible policy support. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$83.35/Target: HK$99.60): Optimistic on order growth in 2024; margin expansion a key driver. INDONESIA Results Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ/HOLD/Rp1,445/Target: Rp1,500): 1Q24: Excellent SG&A management results in double-digit NPAT growth. Mitra...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
We anticipate a net profit of Bt1.0b for AP in 1Q24 (-31% yoy, -23% qoq), pressured by decreased presales and the absence of new condos for transfers. However, in 2Q24, presales are expected to improve with many projects planned for launch. 2Q24 earnings would be driven by newly-completed condo projects. We remain optimistic about AP as the market leader because it is more resilient to multiple headwinds in the residential market than its peers. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt13.50
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