Company Update | AP (Thailand) (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.75/Target: Bt10.10) We expect AP to report a net profit of Bt1.28b in 4Q25, flat yoy but up 11% qoq. The qoq improvement should be driven by transfers of backlog. Meanwhile, gross margin is likely to be flat qoq, pressured by intensified competition. AP continues to pursue a more aggressive business strategy than its peers, which should help the company maintain market share and support earnings growth amid market consolidation. Maintain BUY with a t...
Top Stories Company Update | AP (Thailand) (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.75/Target: Bt10.10) We expect AP to report a net profit of Bt1.28b in 4Q25, flat yoy but up 11% qoq. The qoq improvement should be driven by transfers of backlog. Meanwhile, gross margin is likely to be flat qoq, pressured by intensified competition. AP continues to pursue a more aggressive business strategy than its peers, which should help the company maintain market share and support earnings growth amid market consolidation. Maintai...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Company Update | AP (Thailand) (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.90/Target: Bt10.10) 4Q25 presales are expected to improve yoy, driven by aggressive launches. However, on a qoq basis, presales are anticipated to decline slightly due to the long holidays and exceptionally high base in 3Q25. 4Q25 earnings are projected to reach its peak for the year, underpinned by backlogs and the newly-completed condominium. AP is expected to maintain a proactive launch strategy in 2026, focusing on portfolio expansion with risk...
Top Stories Sector Update | Retail Dec 25 SSSG remained negative, pressured by negative events and weak consumer spending. However, home improvement retail appeared to improve in Dec 25, benefitting from post-flood demand in the south. A short-term SSSG recovery is likely in 2Q26, supported by a low base in 2Q25, particularly within the home improvement segment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick is GLOBAL as it has resilient SSSG momentum in 1Q26, thanks to a very low base in 1Q25. Company Upd...
Greater China Economics | Money Supply M1 growth fell to 6.2% yoy in October, short of expectations, while M2 growth eased to 8.2% yoy. New bank loans dropped sharply to Rmb0.22t, and new TSF fell to Rmb0.81t, both below forecasts. Outstanding TSF and bank loan growth moderated to 8.5% (-0.2ppt mom) and 6.5% yoy (-0.1ppt mom) respectively, with the decline led by household loans. The numbers are not encouraging. Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV retail sales basically remained flat yoy in O...
Company Results | AP (Thailand) (AP TB/BUY/Bt7.90/Target: Bt9.30) AP posted a net profit of Bt1.15b in 3Q25 (-20% yoy, +15% qoq), in line with our estimate. The qoq improvement was underpinned by a solid performance in the low-rise segment, improved gross margin and higher equity income. AP revised down its 2025 launch plan from Bt65.0b to Bt59.6b. However, we are optimistic about the presales and earnings outlook for 4Q25. We still like AP as the market leader with a more aggressive business st...
Top Stories Company Results | AP (Thailand) (AP TB/BUY/Bt7.90/Target: Bt9.30) AP posted a net profit of Bt1.15b in 3Q25 (-20% yoy, +15% qoq), in line with our estimate. The qoq improvement was underpinned by a solid performance in the low-rise segment, improved gross margin and higher equity income. AP revised down its 2025 launch plan from Bt65.0b to Bt59.6b. However, we are optimistic about the presales and earnings outlook for 4Q25. We still like AP as the market leader with a more aggressi...
Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...
A director at AP (Thailand) PLC sold 400,000 shares at 8.750THB and the significance rating of the trade was 71/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
AP reported a net profit of Bt1.0b in 2Q25, down 21% yoy but up 17% qoq, in line with our expectation. Presales for 3Q25 are expected to improve qoq, driven by solid momentum in the low-rise segment, supported by new project launches and resilient demand. We also expect 3Q25 earnings to improve qoq, underpinned by continued transfers from both low-rise and condominium projects. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt9.60.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt16.50/Target: Bt25.00) 2Q25: Earnings below expectations. AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt7.65/Target: Bt9.60) 2Q25: Earnings in line, optimistic 3Q25 outlook. Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB/BUY/Bt8.40/Target: Bt10.00) 2Q25: Results in line with consensus; highest bottom line in the past 22 quarters. Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY...
2Q25 presales are expected to decline yoy and qoq, pressured by weakness in the high-rise segment. However, 2Q25 earnings should improve qoq, supported by revenue recognition from newly-completed condominium projects and a solid low-rise backlog.We expect AP’s performance to strengthen in 2H25 compared with 1H25, underpinned by its existing backlog and planned new launches. Maintain BUY. arget price: Bt9.60.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Property Weakening sales in China has raised hopes of policy support in July; rebound in HIBOR will test the strength of recovery in Hong Kong property sales. INDONESIA Update Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp5,025/Target: Rp6,000) 5M25: Steady earnings amid NIM pressure. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas ...
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...
AP reported a net profit of Bt864m in 1Q25, down 14% yoy and 33% qoq, in line with our expectations. Earnings were pressured by softened transfers during the quarter. 2Q25 presales are expected to decline yoy and qoq, driven by high-rise softness, but earnings should improve qoq on new condo transfers. AP is trading at an undemanding valuation. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt9.60.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt6.70/Target: Bt9.60) 1Q25: Earnings in line, improvement expected in 2Q25. Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt24.10/Target: Bt33.00) 1Q25: Reported earnings in line with decent yoy growth. Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt23.70/Target: Bt28.00) 1Q25: Better-than-expected earnings growth. Electricity Generating PCL (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt109.00/Target: Bt115.00) 1Q25: Solid 1Q25 results with still-impressive yield. Ratch Group...
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Credit demand weakens in April. Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$521.00/Target: HK$650.00): 1Q25: Strong results propelled by robust games and AI-powered ad-tech. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications: 1Q25: EBITDA stable at -0.8% qoq. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. MALAYSIA Results Sunway REIT (SREIT MK/BUY/RM1.93/Target: RM2.05): 1Q25: Results in line. Looking ahead, the full reopening of Sunway Carnival Mall Phase 2 and AEON Seri Manjung acquisition are e...
AP saw yoy and qoq improvements in 1Q25 presales, mainly driven by low-rise presales, reflecting resilient demand especially in the mid- to high-end segment and its position as a market leader. 1Q25 earnings are expected to be flat yoy but decline qoq, due to margin compression and fewer condos being transferred during the period. We remain optimistic about 2025 as the company is expected to benefit from real estate stimulus measures. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt11.30.
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