reports
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: The Fraught Path to Electrification
Given that the EV market is not a free market, led by demand and supply, but a distorted market, moved by political intervention in the form of subsidies (or lack of), making EV sales forecasts is very challenging indeed. This is a headache for analysts, but even more so for auto companies with a ten-year planning horizon. In this report, we outline the sales situation for different regions, as well as providing an outlook based on currently available information.
RNO RENAULT SA
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
TSLA TESLA INC
F FORD MOTOR COMPANY
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
600104 SAIC MOTOR CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
000270 KIA MOTORS CORPORATION
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7211 MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION
7269 SUZUKI MOTOR CORP.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
7270 SUBARU CORP
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
A0M32L CHONGQING CHANGAN AUTOMOBILE COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
GM GENERAL MOTORS COMPANY
VOW VOLKSWAGEN (VOW GR)
005380 KS HYUNDAI MOTOR UNTITLED
VOLV-B VOLVO AB-B SHS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
XPEV XPENG INC. ADR SPONSORED CLASS A
TSVT 2SEVENTY BIO INC
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
PSNY GORES GUGGENHEIM INC
MBG MERCEDES BENZ GROUP AG
02015 LI AUTO INC
VOLCAR-B VOLVO CAR AB
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 11 0CTUBRE + RDOS. EUROPA 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACERINOX, IBERDROLA, NATURGY, SACYR, SECTOR ELÉCTRICO. EUROPA: AIRBUS, PREVIOS RESULTADOS 3T’24, SANOFI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex corta su racha Las ventas se impusieron en Europa, sobre todo en el Ibex, que acumu...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 11 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: ACERINOX, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, IBERDROLA, NATURGY, SACYR. The IBEX ends its streak Stock markets in Europe fell, especially the IBEX, which had seen gains in five straight sessions and closed yesterday as the worst performer in Europe. In the STOXX 600, most sectors (15/20) closed with losses, led by Industrials and Technology, with Energy and Insurance posting the biggest gains. In the euro zone, the ECB’s last meeting minutes warned that despite the fact that inflation has fallen...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 09 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: CAF, CAIXABANK, VISCOFAN. Lacking drivers In a session of few macro references, European stock markets managed to reel in the losses from the opening bell with the boost from the US and the falling oil prices. The IBEX, which closed with slight gains, was once again the best-performing index in the euro zone. In the STOXX 600, most of the sectors closed with losses (15/20), led by Basic Materials and Consumer Goods, whereas the defensive Telecoms and Utilities were the best perfor...
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jerôme Bodin
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/07/2024
Last week we held our fourth ODDO BHF Iberian Forum. The event was fully virtual and took place on October 1 and 2. With 62 Iberian issuers, close to 200 institutional investors and c. 800 meetings, this is one of the largest dedicated Iberian conferences held this year. This note brings together 49 feedback documents, with 5 target price revisions (o/w 3 downward revisions) and a rating downgrade on Pharma Mar. The main subjects of debate were i/ the trend in final demand in the con...
AMS AMS AG
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
VIV VIVENDI SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ALO ALSTOM SA
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jerôme Bodin
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 07/10/2024
Last week we held our fourth ODDO BHF Iberian Forum. The event was fully virtual and took place on October 1 and 2. With 62 Iberian issuers, close to 200 institutional investors and c. 800 meetings, this is one of the largest dedicated Iberian conferences held this year. This note brings together 49 feedback documents, with 5 target price revisions (o/w 3 downward revisions) and a rating downgrade on Pharma Mar. The main subjects of debate were i/ the trend in final demand in the con...
AMS AMS AG
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
VIV VIVENDI SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ALO ALSTOM SA
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Jerôme Bodin
Vivendi : Qui est Havas (avant sa cotation) ?
>Vers une nouvelle cotation d’Havas, 8 ans après son rachat par Vivendi - Nous avons publié une note sur Groupe Canal+ le 23/09. Dans la perspective de la scission de Vivendi, qui devrait intervenir d’ici fin 2024, nous proposons une seconde analyse et vue d’ensemble d’Havas sur la base des données actuellement disponibles et publiques. Havas devrait être le troisième actif coté, en termes de taille, issu de Vivendi après Canal+ et Lagardère/Louis Hachette. Le group...
- Jerôme Bodin
Vivendi : A look at Havas (before its listing)
>On course for a fresh listing of Havas, eight years after its acquisition by Vivendi - We published a note on Groupe Canal+ on 23 September. Ahead of the spin-off of Vivendi, which is expected by end-2024, we offer a second analysis and overall look at Havas on the basis of the data that is currently available and public. Havas is expected to be the third asset listed, in terms of scale, from Vivendi after Canal+ and Lagardère/Louis Hachette. The group is set to fl...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 04/10/2024
Le lock-up de Wendel sur ses titres BVI expire le 6 octobre. Une cession d’actions BVI serait bénéfique à tous, selon nous : i/ pour BVI (Surperformance, OC 33 €), il augmenterait le flottant et la liquidité pour se rapprocher du CAC 40 (2025e) ; ii/ pour Wendel (Surperformance, OC relevé à 110 € vs 100 €), il lui donnerait les moyens de ses ambitions (AM pour tiers, mais aussi investissement direct et soutien M&A au portefeuille) et iii/ pour Wendel-Participations, il permettrait d’e...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/04/2024
Wendel's lock-up period for BVI expires on October 6th. As we see it, disposing a block of BVI shares would be a win-win deal. i/ For BVI (Outperform, TP € 33), it would increase the free float and push liquidity closer to the CAC 40 (2025 est.); ii/ for Wendel (Outperform, TP raised to € 110 vs € 100), it would give it the means to meet its ambitions (third-party AM platform, direct investment, and M&A support to its portfolio) and iii/ for Wendel-Participations, it would enable it t...
- Nicolas David
SAP : SAP should prove resilient again but less flamboyant in Q3
>Set for a less flamboyant Q3 than H1 due to the macroeconomy… - SAP is set to report its Q3 2024 results on 21 October after the close of trading. As in previous quarters, the group should be resilient in the face of macroeconomic headwinds as its clients are obliged to carry out the transition towards S/4 Hana in anticipation of the deadline for the end of ECC support (without additional costs) at end-2027. Nevertheless, macroeconomic trends are likely to have an im...
- Nicolas David
SAP : SAP devrait à nouveau se montrer résilient mais moins flamboyant...
>Vers un Q3 moins flamboyant que le S1 en raison de la macro… - SAP publiera ses résultats T3 2024 le 21 octobre après bourse. A l’image des précédents trimestres, le groupe devrait se montrer résilient face aux vents contraires macroéconomiques, notamment car ses clients sont contraints de mener leur transition vers S/4 Hana en anticipation de la deadline de fin de support d’ECC (sans surcoût) fin 2027. Néanmoins, la macro a tout de même un impact sur les revenus dis...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 03 0CTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR ESPAÑA, OHLA, ROVI. EUROPA: INFORME ANUAL EURO STOXX 50, SAP, TOTAL ENERGIES. A la espera de novedades en Oriente Medio Las bolsas europeas cerraron muy planas, ya que la depreciación del euro ayudó a capear la mayor prima por riesgo geopolítico. Con todo lo anterior, en el STOXX 600 Energía repitió como el mejor sector (gracias al avance del Brent) seguido por Tecnología mientras que Utilities y Viajes&Ocio terminaron con las mayores correccion...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 02 0CTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NATURGY. Aumenta el riesgo geopolítico en Oriente Medio Nuevas caídas en las bolsas europeas, esta vez por la mayor aversión al riesgo generada por el ataque con misiles de Irán contra Israel y el castigo a financieros por una senda más baja de tipos de interés esperada por el mercado. Con todo lo anterior, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron Energía (gracias al rebote del Brent por la inestabilidad geopolítica) e Inmobiliario frente a Banco...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 02 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: NATURGY. Higher geopolitical risk in the Middle East European stock markets saw new corrections due to the higher risk aversion generated by Iran’s missile attack on Israel and the punishment to financial stocks due to the lower interest rate pattern expected by the market. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Energy (thanks to the rally of Brent crude due to the political instability) and Real Estate were the best-performing sectors whereas Banks and Consumer Goods dropped >-2.0%. On the macr...
Vivendi : Information relative au nombre total de droits de vote et d’...
PARIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Regulatory News: Vivendi (Paris:VIV) : Place de cotation : NYSE Euronext-Paris Compartiment : Eurolist A Code ISIN : FR0000127771 Date Nombre total d’actions composant le capital social Nombre total de droits de vote 30 septembre 2024 1 029 918 125 Total brut (1) de droits de vote : 1 061 278 659 Total net (2) de droits de vote : 1 023 172 028 (1) Total brut = après prise en compte du nombre d’actions bénéficiant du droit de vote double et du nombre d’actions auto-détenues au 30 septembre 2024. (2) Total net = nombre total de droits de v...
Vivendi conclut des accords de financement structurés pour couvrir l’é...
PARIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Regulatory News: Vivendi (Paris:VIV) annonce avoir conclu des accords de financement lui permettant de couvrir les éventuels besoins de remboursement de sa dette obligataire. Vivendi devrait procéder à ce remboursement dans l’hypothèse où le projet de scission du Groupe, dont l’étude de faisabilité a été annoncée le 13 décembre dernier, serait poursuivi puis approuvé à l’occasion d’une assemblée générale extraordinaire des actionnaires. Des accords bilatéraux de financements structurés prévoyant la conclusion de produits dérivés à dénouement purement monétaire portan...
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 25 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: OHLA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO. EUROPA: DHL, PROSUS, SAP. China anima a parte del mercado Los sectores cíclicos de Europa reaccionaron con fuertes subidas al anuncio de estímulos por parte de la Autoridad Monetaria china (PBoC). Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron R. Básicos y B. Consumo (lujo) frente a Inmobiliario y S. Financieros que sufrieron las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el IFO de septiembre descendió algo más d...
- Jerôme Bodin
Vivendi : A closer look at Groupe Canal+ (before the IPO)?
>Global ambition but with a selective geographical coverage - In prospect of the spinning-off of Vivendi, which is expected before the end of 2024, we have taken a look at Groupe Canal+ as a whole on the basis of the data that is currently available. Groupe Canal+ should be the leading listed asset to come from Vivendi (around 3x bigger than Havas). The group’s long-term ambition is, in our view, to become the leading alternative to Netflix worldwide, but excluding a ...
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