reports
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Willinoy Sitorus
Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ) - Restructuring Is Underway
Company Update | Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/BUY/Rp3,360/Target: Rp3,800) We maintain our BUY call with a target price of Rp3,800. Telkom continues its restructuring process and plans to streamline the number of its subsidiaries from 62 to 22 by 2028 to enhance capital efficiency. The company is unlocking up to Rp150t in value through its new infrastructure structure, including the spin-off of fibre assets to Telkom InfraCo (TIF), with a partial stake sale planned in 2026 to a strategic partner. ...
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Maskun Ramli
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Friday, October 24, 2025
Economics | BI Policy Rate Defying expectations, BI held its benchmark rate at 4.75%, pausing its easing cycle to shield the rupiah from capital outflow and a rising US dollar. Despite a subdued domestic economy with nascent growth signs, BI opted for targeted measures instead. These include bond market interventions, a revamped lending incentive for banks, and potential forex rule reforms for exporters. Future rate cuts remain possible to boost growth, but are contingent on global volatility an...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Jonathan Koh
- Joyce Chu
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Malaysia Research Team
- Sunny Chen
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, October 24, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
GFPT GFPT
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
1833 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
300244 DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Willinoy Sitorus
Telecommunications - Upcoming Spectrum Auctions
Highlights • FWA expansion. The 1.4 GHz auction this 13 October targets low-cost fixed wireless access with Telkom, DSSA, and WIFI competing. • Tower upside. The 1.4 GHz rollout provides clear incremental tenancy opportunities for tower operators, potentially improving tenancy ratios.
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Maskun Ramli
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Friday, October 10, 2025
Economics | Indonesian Consumer Activity: Assessing 3Q Slowdown And Path To 4Q Recovery Indonesian consumer activity weakened in Aug 25, with retail sales growth slowing to 3.5% yoy. This was driven by eroding purchasing power and low consumer confidence due to layoffs. The impact is evident in the pressured retail, automobile and banking sectors. Consequently, 3Q25 economic growth is projected to stagnate at 4.9-5.1%. A recovery to 5.2-5.5% is forecast for 4Q25, fuelled by accelerated governmen...
- Willinoy Sitorus
Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ) - A Turnaround In The Making
Highlights • A new focus on cash flow and likely higher dividend payout will improve Telkom’s ROE and shareholders’ dividend yield (we now expect 7%). We expect net profit to grow 5% next year, with upside if management is more successful in cost management – this is a turnaround from a 2% profit decline this year. • Telkom is reviewing all its businesses – it may seek outside investors, which could either propel the growth of its mobile business, or improve dividend yield (if sold and paid out ...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Jo Yee Ng
- Ken Lee
- Kong Ho Meng
- Sunny Chen
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, September 26, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV sales rebounded last week, with PEV growth surging from below 5% to over 30% due to subsidies and new models. Geely and XPeng led, while BYD and Li Auto lagged. Vehicle exports rose 26% yoy in August, driven by gains in the EU, Africa, and Middle East. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL (target price raised to Rmb520) and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Update | Healthcare Falling interest rates are expected to significant...
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00241 ALIBABA HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BH BUMRUNGRAD HOSPITAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LTD SPONSORED ADR
02238 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
YNS GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
MSGB YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
ECW MAH SING GROUP BHD
SPSB ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
SWB SP SETIA BHD
HCM SUNWAY BHD
01801 HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
1833 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
300760 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
UEMS SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
603882 UEM SUNRISE BHD
1772 GUANGZHOU KINGMED DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
1093 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
603259 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
300750 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
MPM FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
2269 MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
3692 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
MCH HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS BHD
002920 BEIGENE LTD.
300765 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
STM WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
IOIPG CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
02015 SEATRIUM LTD
09868 IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
300244 LI AUTO INC
LAGENDA XPENG INC
600699 DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
002050 CH LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
ONC@US@ JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
TUL ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (002050 CH)
BEONE MEDICINE INC
TULLA RESOURCES PL
- Maskun Ramli
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Friday, September 26, 2025
Economics | Analysis of Rupiah Depreciation The Indonesian rupiah recently depreciated to a five-month low, contrasting with a favourable external environment. This pressure stems from domestic capital outflows, driven by investor concerns over fiscal management and new nationalist policies. Despite this, economic impact is expected to be limited due to resilient financial market foundations, low inflationary pass-through and potential export benefits. Future pressure is expected from divergent ...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Jonathan Koh
- Ken Lee
- Lester Siew
- Paula Ruth
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 8, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: July’s data beats expectations, further near-term strength likely. Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth remains negative for three straight weeks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Initiate Coverage Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co (002050 CH/BUY/Rmb27.37/Target: Rmb36.50): Innovative Thermal management leader driving sustainable growth. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb36.50 for A-share, HK$40.00 fo...
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
002050 CH ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (002050 CH)
- Paula Ruth
Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ) - 2Q25 EBITDA Slightly Declines By 3% yoy
6M25 EBITDA reached Rp36t, somewhat in line with our expectations (47.0%) and consensus’ (47.3%), but 6M25 NPAT (Rp11t) was slightly below our estimate (45.6%) and consensus’ (45.8%). There are early signs of optimism on Indonesia’s macroenvironment given the government spending in June 25, but it may take several quarters to drive a full multiplier effect. TLKM trims its 2025 revenue growth (yoy) target to flat (vs low-single digit previously). Maintain HOLD. Target price: Rp2,900.
- Maskun Ramli
- Paula Ruth
- Paula Ruth
Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ) - Gradual Simplification Of Product Portfol...
Telkomsel launched a new starter pack with higher headline pricing (40% above previous starter pack) in Mar 25. This is also part of its gradual effort to simplify its product portfolio (target: 200SKUs). Telkomsel views the current market consolidation as a positive sign going forward. We expect a dividend payout of 65% from 2026 NPAT, implying a DPS of Rp158 (5.6% yield). This partly reflects analysts’ session with TLKM’s new management. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Rp2,900.
- Maskun Ramli
- Paula Ruth
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 03, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
AEONTS AEON THANA SINSAP (THAILAND) PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
COM7 COM7
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
CPALL TB CP ALL
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
- Johnny Yum
Strategy - Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June
Our Jun 25 portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +5.1%/+7.1% respectively, mainly driven by DKFT (+16% performance) and outperformances by other stocks such as ANTM, CMRY and AMRT. Several major events to watch out this month include upcoming IPOs (especially the sizeable Chandra Daya Investasi (CDIA) IPO worth about US$143m) and the outcome of the US-Indo reciprocal tariffs discussion on 9 July. Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM.
- Johnny Yum
- Paula Ruth
Telecommunications – 1Q25: EBITDA Stable At -0.8% qoq
In 1Q25, the combined EBITDA of Indonesia’s big telcos dropped 6% yoy, but was stable qoq. Combined 1Q25 NPAT was also slightly lower (2% yoy). Among the big three telcos, ISAT and Telkomsel (majority owned by TLKM) gained market share in 1Q25 (based on EBITDA) vs 4Q24. We are monitoring TLKM’s upcoming AGM (27 May) as we expect a potential dividend yield of around 7% (assuming an 80% payout). Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the telecommunications sector with ISAT as our top pick.
- Maskun Ramli
- Paula Ruth
- Paula Ruth
Telecommunications – 4Q24: NPAT Down Slightly By 2% yoy
Big Telcos’ 4Q24 EBITDA was roughly stable (-0.2%) qoq, but declined slightly by 4% yoy Meanwhile, combined 4Q24 net profit fell slightly by 2% yoy, but rose 11% qoq. During 4Q24, EXCL slightly increased its market share (based on EBITDA) among the top three telcos. We downgrade the telecommunications sector to MARKET WEIGHT from OVERWEIGHT as we expect TLKM, the parent company of Telkomsel (market leader), to book only a slightly moderate top-line growth of 2% yoy in 2025. Our top pick is ISAT.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Sunny Chen
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, April 25, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ISAT INDOSAT
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
TOWR PT SARANA MENARA NUSANTARA TBK
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BH BUMRUNGRAD HOSPITAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
KTB KONTOOR BRANDS
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
MTEL IJ PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
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