reports
- Kong Ho Meng
Velesto Energy (VEB MK) - 2024: EBITDA At All-time High; 2025 Risks Fu...
2024: EBITDA At All-time High; 2025 Risks Fully Priced In VEB’s 2024 financials are a testimony of its execution track record (and achieving alltime high EBITDA), ability to pare down debt (with zero long-term borrowings now), and the adaptability to capture new markets amid uncertainties in the home ground. We upgrade earnings by 2-4x. Taking these into account, our previous forecasts may help paint a floor (current price implies 65% utilisation), and we advise investors to trade within a range...
- Kong Ho Meng
Oil & Gas - Clear Water Muddled By “Grey Areas” — Simply Theatrics Or ...
Clear Water Muddled By “Grey Areas” — Simply Theatrics Or Chess Game? Petronas reported lower profit yoy amid a weakened LNG position and higher costs in 2024, due to various events including the Petronas-Petros development. Lately, some “misunderstandings” on the scope (i. LNG) and the correct DGO date are potentially precarious. If they are proven to be mere theatrics, then these matters should be resolved quickly. However, if the chess game prolongs, it will contribute towards sector risks. W...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Chong Lee Len
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kong Ho Meng
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
REGIONAL Sector Plantation Guest speakers at our Palm Oil Seminar 2025 flag diverging palm production prospects between Malaysia and Indonesia, alongside downside risks to CPO prices. GREATER CHINA Results Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$462.00/Target: HK$630.00) 4Q24: Earnings beat; continuous efforts in international expansion. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ...
AALI ASTRA AGRO LESTARI
5681 PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD.
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
5218 SAPURA ENERGY BHD
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
3816 MISC BHD
5243 VELESTO ENERGY
UZMA UZMA BHD
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
SOP SARAWAK OIL PALMS BERHAD
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
BAB BUMI ARMADA BERHAD
LSIP PP LONDON SUMATRA INDONES PT
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
KIML KIM LOONG RESOURCES BHD
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
KLK KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
DLUM DELEUM BERHAD
GENP GENTING PLANTATIONS BHD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
NESZ NESTLE (MALAYSIA) BERHAD
PROP PROPNEX LTD
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
TAPG TRIPUTRA AGRO PERSADA PT
8AZ AZTECH GLOBAL LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
ITMAX ITMAX SYSTEMS BHD
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
BRMS IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
IOICORP Â IOI CORP BHD
- Kong Ho Meng
Oil & Gas - O&G Landscape Entering “Right-Sizing” Mode
O&G Landscape Entering “Right-Sizing” Mode Petronas has confirmed a downsizing exercise, involving a review of 30% of its staff force, as it aims to be nimble for its survival. While this exercise is not driven by the Petros saga, we are concerned about the potential impact on the sector’s earnings, given its timing will coincide with heavy plant turnarounds. The Shell MDS injunction against Petronas/Petros implies more uncertainties. Should near-term earnings risk materialise, we advise accumul...
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Jonathan Koh
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Kong Ho Meng
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Sunny Chen
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Notes - Monday, February 10
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Seasonal demand lifted downstream inflation. Update Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$36.25/Target: HK$52.00) Expects significant expansion in 2025; targeting revenue of Rmb20b in 2027. INDONESIA Results Bank Syariah Indonesia (BRIS IJ/BUY/Rp3,020/Target: Rp3,450) 2024: Net profit up 22%, above expectations; upgrade earnings forecasts. MALAYSIA...
5681 PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD.
5218 SAPURA ENERGY BHD
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
3816 MISC BHD
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
5243 VELESTO ENERGY
UZMA UZMA BHD
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
BAB BUMI ARMADA BERHAD
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
DLUM DELEUM BERHAD
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
- Kong Ho Meng
Oil & Gas - PAO 2025-27: Rationalisation Across Three Regions
PAO 2025-27: Rationalisation Across Three Regions Despite being published remarkably later than usual, the PAO offers new insights, in particular activity outlook across three regions and clearer plant turnaround distinction between Upstream/Downstream/Gas segments. Aligning with our view, there are cuts in exploration-stage and JU rig outlook, but maintenance demand is largely intact. Plant turnaround is the biggest winner in our opinion, but we identified 2Q25, 2Q26 and 1Q27 as critical period...
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Jonathan Koh
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kong Ho Meng
- Stevanus Juanda
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, January 31, 2025
INDONESIA Update Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ/HOLD/Rp2,500/Target: Rp2,300) Margins will still be negatively affected in 4Q24 and 1H25. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas PAO aligns with our view on cuts in exploration/JU rig demand, but maintenance demand remains intact. Plant turnaround may be the biggest winner, but with high execution risks in 2Q25, 2Q26 and 1Q27. SINGAPORE Sector REITs ...
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
5681 PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD.
5218 SAPURA ENERGY BHD
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
3816 MISC BHD
5243 VELESTO ENERGY
UZMA UZMA BHD
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
BAB BUMI ARMADA BERHAD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
MMHE MALAYSIA MARINE AND HEAVY EN
DLUM DELEUM BERHAD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
- Kong Ho Meng
Oil & Gas - Sarawak And Petronas To Continue Strategic Collaboration I...
Sarawak And Petronas To Continue Strategic Collaboration In Gas Industry With Petros As Sole Gas Aggregator Both Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and Sarawak Premier Abang Johari (Abang Jo) released statements that there are no more issues and ambiguity in policy matters related to Petronas Nasional Bhd (Petronas), the country’s national oil company, and Petroleum Sarawak Bhd (Petros), Sarawak’s sole gas aggregator, regarding Sarawak’s gas distribution rights. Petros assumed the sole gas aggregator ...
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Malaysia Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Strategy - Alpha Picks: Window Dressing Opportunity
Alpha Picks: Window Dressing Opportunity Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in Nov 24 (+3.4% vs -1.9%). While the equity market continues to be sidelined, this time by fears of Donald Trump’s trade policies, there are still ample trading opportunities. Dec 24’s focus includes beneficiaries of Iskandar 2.0 newsflow (Eco World Development), M&A beneficiaries (Yinson Holdings), strong earnings momentum in 4Q24 (RGB), and window dressing opportunities (MISC). Dec 24 picks: Eco World Developmen...
- Kong Ho Meng
Velesto Energy (VEB MK) - 3Q24: Positive Surprise in Utilisation; Down...
3Q24: Positive Surprise in Utilisation; Downgrade 2025 Outlook VEB surprised positively in 3Q24 results, due to better-than-expected utilisation as a result of very efficient SPS being executed. However, 2025 rig outlook turned gloomy, with more operators deferring the future drilling programme to 2H25 at the earliest, consequently N3 and N5 will have long idle times in 1H25. Early terminations (like N8) are also happening due to mismatch in JU rig count vs demand. We retain our 5x EV/ EBITDA as...
- Kong Ho Meng
Oil & Gas - IWCS Launched As Petronas’ Third Edition Of A True Industr...
IWCS Launched As Petronas’ Third Edition Of A True Industry Collaboration Petronas last week launched the IWCS contracts based on enhanced terms from the previous IWS model, and the four packages were awarded to 34 panel contractors. Expectedly so, the IWCS beneficiaries in our coverage are chosen, including Deleum, Uzma, Velesto Energy and SAPE. Other non-rated stocks like Reservoir Link and T7 Global (NR) also gained. Although the contract values were not revealed, the contract winners are exp...
- Kong Ho Meng
Oil & Gas - FPSO Outlook Weighed Against Energy Transition
FPSO Outlook Weighed Against Energy Transition While the FPSO industry benefits from an all-time high backlog, we think players should sharpen their focus on decarbonisation/clean energy pathways, as we foresee diverging patterns in this “new field growth” depending on various factors. For example, it seems solar and wind will not be part of Bumi Armada and Yinson Production (the FPSO arm), even though wind is officially under SBM Offshore. MISC remains as a green transportation arm though it ma...
Velesto Energy Berhad: 1 director
A director at Velesto Energy Berhad bought 1,000,000 shares at 0.195MYR and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kong Ho Meng
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, September 10, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures rising. Sector Construction Building on the positive development of macroeconomic policies in 2H24-2025. Internet 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outlook remains promising. INDONESIA Small...
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
5243 VELESTO ENERGY
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BRC BRC ASIA LTD
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
2013 WEIMOB INC
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
AVIA AVIA AVIAN TBK PT
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Kong Ho Meng
Velesto Energy (VEB MK) - Embracing Uncertainties In Local Wells Requi...
Embracing Uncertainties In Local Wells Requirement VEB will have a weaker 2H24 in terms of utilisation, due to the three SPS for its rigs. VEB’s ability to replenish contracts, especially for N3, is commendable. However, we were correct that the risk of a potential Sarawak project rationalisation would have a material impact for N5. We upgrade our forecasts by 11-49% and retain our 5x EV/EBITDA assumption, but upgrade VEB to HOLD. Target price: RM0.25.
- Kong Ho Meng
Velesto Energy (VEB MK) - 1H24: Utilisation And Profits Peaked In 2Q24...
1H24: Utilisation And Profits Peaked In 2Q24; Retain HOLD 1H24 core performance inline with expectations : 2Q24 may be VEB’s strongest revenue days since 2014. Both core profits and core EBITDA generated in 1H24 at RM110m and RM289m respectively, and formed 67-68% of ours and consensus 2024F forecasts respectively. We still deem the performance in line, expecting 2H24 to be weaker vs the peak performance achieved in 2Q24. For 1H24, all rigs were fully utilized save for rig Naga 2 which had downt...
- Kong Ho Meng
Oil & Gas - Cautiousness in Business Enquiries: Signs Of Local O&G Cap...
Cautiousness in Business Enquiries: Signs Of Local O&G Capex Slowdown? Geopolitical risk may be the norm in the new world order, but we think this has been happening in Malaysia for the past six years. The highlight of this saga is when Petros took over the role of sole gas aggregator of Sarawak’s gas business, followed by major changes in Petronas’ top leadership roles. Although nothing is confirmed, channel checks suggest activities are slowing down. We advocate defensive stocks that are diver...
- Kong Ho Meng
Oil & Gas - Malaysia’s Positioning As Regional CCS Storage Hub
Malaysia’s Positioning As Regional CCS Storage Hub As we predicted, 2024 may be the year to evaluate Malaysia/Petronas’ CCS milestone. This is because Asia’s CCS projects are maturing, as major industries (ie emitters) take concrete action on emission targets. Malaysia is a clear beneficiary as a CCS storage hub, not only due to its local O&G fields and industries, but also strategically overseas emitters especially Japan and Korea. MISC, our sector top pick, is also a clear CCS beneficiary (LCO...
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Kong Ho Meng
- Ming San Soong
- Stevanus Juanda
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, July 15, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Money supply growth slows further. Trade Wider trade surplus in June on robust exports growth. Sector Banking Implications of PBOC’s bond sales for China banks. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$112.00/Target: HK$150.00) 2Q24 results ...
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
5218 SAPURA ENERGY BHD
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SCC SIAM CEMENT PUBLIC CO. LTD.
5243 VELESTO ENERGY
UZMA UZMA BHD
MISC MISC BHD
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
MMHE MALAYSIA MARINE AND HEAVY EN
PRIME PRIME ROAD POWER PUBLIC CO LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
HUME HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
- Kong Ho Meng
Oil & Gas - MISC-Bumi Armada Is Better Off Collaborating In Certain Pr...
MISC-Bumi Armada Is Better Off Collaborating In Certain Projects Speculations of a merger might have lifted Bumi Armada’s (BAB) share price in the past month. While combining both FPSO fleets may propel the merged entity to Modec’s fleet size, alongside complementary geographical FPSO market presence, the stumbling blocks are too great in our opinion. There is a lack of financial synergies from the non-FPSO segments. If any, we think a collaboration in certain projects may generate more positive...
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