HEADLINES: • Allegro: 1Q25 results spot on our expectations; lower bound of FY25E guidance increased POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group: 2Q25 results – slightly below the consensus; no changes in FY25E guidance • Mavi: 2Q25 results miss expectations; 2025E guidance lowered NEGATIVE • Echo Investment: 2Q25 – sales could unlock net cash equivalent to one-third of market cap • Auto Partner: 2Q25 EBITDA broadly in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 2Q25 – yield compressio...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: 2Q25 EBITDA misses our and the market's expectations by 4-5% NEGATIVE • Eurozone macro: so far, so good • Colt CZ Group SE: multiple military contracts POSITIVE • CEZ: Babis will not buy CEZ "at any price" NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: PGE, Enea and Tauron contract 5.9 GW of new capacity obligations for 2026 NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation soars in August • Türkiye macro: interest rates drop, but monetary stance remains tight • LPP: 2Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITD...
Brent crude oil prices declined USD 2.4/bbl vs. the previous month, to USD 67.2/bbl, due to OPEC+ quota increases. In July, OPEC production hit its highest level, again, since November 2023. Our benchmark margin fell by USD 1.7/bbl in August, to USD 12.6 /bbl, but is still very high. Most petrochemicals margins weakened further.
HEADLINES: • Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD) and Motor Oil Hellas (BUY) - transfer of coverage) • Asseco Poland: 2Q25 review – net profit up 33% yoy, 11% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 9% yoy POSITIVE • OPAP: 2Q25 results – in line NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: 1H25 – FFO at EUR 10m, up 37% yoy POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2Q25 earning...
Following a change in analyst responsibilities, we transfer coverage, and update our forecasts and outlook, of the Greek refiners, to reflect the recent upturn in the refining backdrop. We rate Motor Oil Hellas (MOH) a BUY, with an updated price target (PT) of EUR 31.5 (from EUR 25.8), and keep HELLENiQ Energy (ELPE) a HOLD, with an updated PT of EUR 8.8 (from EUR 7.6). The two Greek refiners offer a broadly similar compelling investment case and remain attractively valued on absolute terms, in ...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: all about capital returns (stays BUY) • Colt CZ Group SE: acquires SNC – a strategic move POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: 2Q25 EBITDA 14-24% above our and the market's expectations; guidance on new projects POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 2Q25 EBITDA 19-24% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) results – EBITDA down 21% yoy, 5% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 2Q25 soft, but better than we expected; FY25E budget cut NEGATIVE • MedLi...
HEADLINES: • PZU: 2Q25 results – beat on the bottom line, but insurance operations show some weakness and delivered below expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 2Q25 results – beat driven by stellar 37% gross profit margin POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: neutral 2Q25 results – beat on underlying bottom line driven by bond sales gains; negative NII trend NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 2Q25 – slightly above low expectations; new strategy publication in November POSITIVE • DataWalk: 2Q25 actual numbers fully in li...
HEADLINES: • Premier Energy: focus on RES (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, some offset may come from slight cut in the bank tax NEGATIVE • Dino: 1-5% EBITDA miss in 2Q25; FY25E lfl guidance cut to mid-single digits NEGATIVE • Budimex: final 2Q25 results fully confirm prelims NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings call takeaways – optimistic outlook for 2H25E POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 2Q25 ear...
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: opening the next chapter (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: CEO Klesyk dismissed NEGATIVE • MOL: 2Q25 results hit by one-off charge NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • NLB Group: material bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mainly to provisions and impairments released POSITIVE • CCC: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 1-5%, on the top line POSITIVE • Akcansa: 2Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Brisa: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Cimsa:...
After the Q2 results we revised our forecast and rolled our TP to Jun-26 which we set at EUR 28.3 excluding the DPS after the 2025 results. We increased our 2026 estimated EPS by 15% to EUR 4.2. However, we cut our recommendation to Accumulate from Buy due to the limited upside potential. We assume that RBI will increase the dividend payout ratio to 40% following last year's decline. RBI reported a net profit of EUR 307mn, a 25% increase YoY, due to the higher operating income and lower CHF pr...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: solid 2Q25, with a beat vs. the market's expectations on stronger other income and lower LLPs POSITIVE • Richter: 2Q25 results broadly in line NEUTRAL • Aselsan: 2Q25 results – strong beat, driven by operating performance POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q25 – EBIT above the consensus on better costs POSITIVE • Isbank: 2Q25 highlights – a mixed bag, but management sounds confident in sharp margin recovery in 2H25E • Cimsa: 2Q25 financial results review – strong revenue grow...
Brent crude oil prices were flat vs. the previous month, at USD 69.6/bbl, after disruption fears eased. A subsequent OPEC+ decision has made little difference at the start of August. Our benchmark margin increased by USD 1.3/bbl in July, to USD 14.3/bbl, a significant increase, which takes it to the highest level since February 2024. Once again, the less said about petrochemicals margins, the better, in our view.
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