reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CPS PW; EME Strategy – OFEs; GPP PW; MIL PW; ING PW; MBK P...
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: structural headwinds ahead (downgraded to SELL) • EME Strategy: OFEs' 2025 annual assets structure • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl reached 368k in 2H25, down 2% yoy NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 4Q25E preview (due on 9 February) • ING BSK: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • mBank: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • MOL: to buy NIS in Serbia POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: concludes construction of 72MW of BESS projects NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: solid traffic growth...
- Jonathan Lamb
WOOD Flash – MOL: to buy NIS in Serbia
MOL has signed a binding Heads of Agreement (HoA) to buy 56.15% of Serbian integrated oil company NIS from Gazprom Neft. The terms have not been disclosed and management expects the final agreement to be signed before the end of the first quarter of 2026E. The negotiations are ongoing with ADNOC for a minority stake. NIS has upstream operations, a single 96 kbpd refinery, and more than 400 retail sites. We see the acquisition as strengthening MOL’s operations and an excellent strategic fit.
- Atinc Ozkan
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
Cyfrowy Polsat: structural headwinds ahead (downgraded to SELL)
We have downgraded our rating on Cyfrowy Polsat (CPS) to SELL (from Hold) and cut our price target (PT) to PLN 11.86/share (from PLN 15.42), implying 12% downside potential. We believe that the positive short-term triggers in CPS’ story have materialised already (succession completion, interest rates cuts supporting the FCF), while the weak 4Q25 results and 2026E outlook (we expect further declines in the telecoms segment) could fuel drops. Most importantly, in the long term, we see structural h...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Marios Bourazanis
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
- Thaleia Makedou
Greek Equity Strategy – 2026 outlook | Less beta, more selectivity
Fundamentals taking over – Greek equities delivered an exceptional performance in 2025, emerging as one of the strongest markets globally, with the ASE General Index up c50%. This marked the 4th consecutive year of outperformance vs the Euro Stoxx 600, a streak not witnessed in the past two decades. The magnitude of the 2025 rally inevitably sets a high base heading into 2026 (especially since the ASE is already up c6% ytd). As a result, we believe the market will transition from a beta-driven p...
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Marios Bourazanis
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
- Thaleia Makedou
Greek Equity Strategy – 2026 outlook | Less beta, more selectivity
Fundamentals taking over – Greek equities delivered an exceptional performance in 2025, emerging as one of the strongest markets globally, with the ASE General Index up c50%. This marked the 4th consecutive year of outperformance vs the Euro Stoxx 600, a streak not witnessed in the past two decades. The magnitude of the 2025 rally inevitably sets a high base heading into 2026 (especially since the ASE is already up c6% ytd). As a result, we believe the market will transition from a beta-driven p...
Moody's Ratings assigns a Ba3 (hyb) rating to Bank Millennium's propos...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today assigned a Ba3 (hyb) local-currency rating to Bank Millennium S.A.'s (BM, long-term deposits: Baa1 stable, Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA): ba1) perpetual non-cumulative Additional Tier 1 (AT1) capital securities with non-viability loss absorption features. The...
MBank S.A.: 1 director
A director at MBank S.A. sold 73 shares at 1,051.450PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showi...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DOM PW; MIL PW; PL Banks; TITC GA; OPAP GA; BELA GA; THYAO...
HEADLINES: • Dom Development: sells 4.4k apartments in 2025, an all-time high POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to add PLN 487m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Polish banks: Puls Biznesu on M&A in the Polish banking sector • Titan: Titan America enters agreement to acquire Keystone Cement Company POSITIVE • OPAP: Allwyn merger passes EGM; focus shifts to 9 February exit-right deadline NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 2025 sales +7%, to EUR 1.23bn, as expected; declares EUR 0.50 special DPS NEUTRAL • Turk...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KTY PW; ALE PW; BFT PW; MBR PW; TEN PW; PL Telecoms; GEKTE...
HEADLINES: • Kety: still fuel in the tank (stays BUY) • Allegro: disposal of Mall’s Slovenian and Croatian business with a PLN 235m loss POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: net addition of 145.6k sports cards in 4Q25, acceleration in Türkiye POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: SKO cancels increased fees for 2016 and 2020 NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: 4Q25 bookings up 12.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 4Q25 NEUTRAL • GEK Terna / Motor Oil Hellas: EC cle...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CEZ CP; TXT PW; DAT PW; APR PW; CPS PW; WPL PW; JMT PL; TL...
HEADLINES: • CEZ: government reiterates intention to seek full control of generation assets NEUTRAL • Text: key takeaways from the 3Q25-26 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • DataWalk: key takeaways from an interview with the CEO NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: December sales growth accelerates to 17.9% yoy POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 23.20%, while WP TV at 0.57% in December 2025 NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q25E trading update preview – 8% yoy sales growth expected...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Czech PX in the lead in December
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PRIUA PRIMOCO UAV SE
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TXT PW; PZU PW; PEO PW; MBK PW; SPL PW; CPS PW; MBR PW; CD...
HEADLINES: • Text: preliminary 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – MRR of USD 6.98m (-1.1% qoq and -1.7% yoy) NEGATIVE • PZU/Bank Pekao: delay merger deadline NEGATIVE • mBank: to face PLN 362.1m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: updates market on the impact of sale of 60% stake in Santander Consumer Bank NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: calls EGM for 22 January NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Liechtenstein court upholds May ruling on Solorz family succession POSITIVE •...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Polish utilities; KTY PW; KTY PW; RBW PW; SPL PW; Polish u...
HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: 2026E distribution bills to increase 7.6% yoy on average, implying a smaller-than-expected reduction in WACC POSITIVE • Kety: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with expectations; FY25 guidance met NEUTRAL • Kety: conservative management guidance for 2026E NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales +6.1% yoy NEUTRAL • Santander BP: PFSA agrees the sale of a 49% stake to Erste • Polish utilities: retail electricity price for 2026E set at PLN 495/MWh; utili...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LPP PW; PE RO; Polish telecoms; PCO PW; CEZ CP; Hungary ma...
HEADLINES: • LPP: profitable growth (stays BUY) • Premier Energy: M&A-driven growth on track (upgraded to BUY) • Polish telecoms: Revolut enters the Polish mobile market NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 2H25 in line with guidance; FY26 EBITDA and earnings growth guidance of 9%+ and 25%+, 2025-30E EBTDA CAGR of 9%+ POSITIVE • CEZ: cabinet approves step to lower utility bills NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB softens its hawkish tone • OPAP: EGM for merger with Alwyn set for 7 January; preference shares scrapped...
Gek Terna S.A.: 1 director
A director at Gek Terna S.A. sold 50,000 shares at 25.509EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPTIMA GA; CTPNV NA; PCF PW; CPS PW; WPL PW; BDX PW; 11B P...
HEADLINES: • Optima Bank: buying the dip (stays BUY) • CTP: great story, fairly valued (downgraded to HOLD) • PCF Group: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.37%, while WP TV at 0.46% in November 2025 NEUTRAL • Budimex: plans to pay out 100% of net income in dividends in 2025-29E NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: finalises agreement with Microsoft on licence for Game Pass POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: October Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish ISE 30 in the red in Novem...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO HELLENIQ ENERGY
4071 SHOPER SA
ACAG ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
H2O AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
7203 HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
OPTIMAr ELM CO
MUR2 OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES AQUILA PART PROD COM
THEON TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
PRIUA GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR PRIMOCO UAV SE
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO DIAGNOSTYKA SA
PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – Years Ahead; RBW PW; ALR PW; BHW PW; ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: the years ahead – 2026-27E • Rainbow Tours: consolidated October sales 20.7% higher yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales 14% higher yoy POSITIVE • Alior Bank: c.PLN 105m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: c.PLN 120m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • mBank: PLN 125m positive DTA revaluation and estimated 2026E CIT increase impact NEUTRAL • LPP: PLN 788m write-down of Russian assets NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: ...
- Alessio Chiesa
- Raffaella Tenconi
EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets ha...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
MOL MOL NYRT
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
BOROUGE BOROUGE
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
- Natalia Svyriadi
Autohellas | A demanding year, but the engine still turns
2025e: resilient but stagnant amid elevated competition – Autohellas has maintained solid top line momentum across its core activities despite an increasingly demanding backdrop, continuing to gain share in key segments. Against this environment we have modestly trimmed our 2025 forecasts to reflect the soft patch in international rentals and the intensified competition in both Greek rentals and Autotrade. At the same time, profitability remains constrained by elevated depreciation tied to a mor...
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