We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...
We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...
>The direct investment market is still muted today, but we think real estate markets could reignite after seeing the first interest rate cuts - We visited the annual real estate conference MIPIM in Cannes last week. Although the weather was great, the mood in the investment market was still a bit muted. The changes in the real estate market leaves many investor uncertain today. It is still too early to see transactions to go up materially and pricing recovery in the ...
4Q'23 vs. 4Q'22 Results Ordinary Income: € 21.86 M (+12.1% vs. +10.3% BS(e)); FY2023 vs. FY2022 Results Ordinary Income: € 91.36 M (+9.3% vs. +8.9% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 65.4 M (+9.0% vs. +16.6% BS(e)); Adjusted Net Profit: € 56.7 M (+40.5% vs. +28.9% BS(e));
>In line earnings and solid operational performance, fair values declined by -2.4% - Yesterday before markets closed, Lar España reported its FY2023 figures presenting a solid set of results align with our estimates on the EPRA EPS, EPRA NTA stood slightly weaker upon the negative fair value declines. From today’s results, we highlight the following:Solid operational performance. Lfl – gross rental growth stood at 16.3% (vs. 6.9% in FY 2022). Occupancy improved...
Rdos. 4T'23 vs 4T'22: Ingresos ordinarios: 21,86 M euros (+12,1% vs +10,3% BS(e)). Rdos. 2023 vs 2022: Ingresos ordinarios: 91,36 M euros (+9,3% vs +8,9% BS(e)); EBITDA: 65,4 M euros (+9,0% vs +16,6% BS(e)); BDI ajustado: 56,7 M euros (+40,5% vs +28,9% BS(e)).
The stabilisation and even slight decline of interest rates in 2024 represents a catalyst for the sector, and leads us to now favour the players that are the best positioned to execute their growth and/or debt reduction strategy. In this context, we prefer Gecina, URW, CTP, Xior and Aedas Homes. We are making 10 rating changes: we upgrade Covivio, NSI, VGP, Patrizia and Xior to Outperform and Altarea, Deutsche Euroshop and SFL to Neutral. We are downgrading Icade and Mercialys to...
La stabilisation des taux d’intérêt, voire éventuellement leur légère baisse courant 2024, constituent un catalyseur pour le secteur et nous amènent à privilégier désormais les acteurs les mieux positionnés pour exécuter leur stratégie de croissance et/ou de désendettement. Dans ce cadre, nous privilégions Gecina, URW, CTP, Xior et Aedas Homes. Nous effectuons 10 changements de recommandation : nous relevons Covivio, NSI, VGP, Patrizia et Xior à Surperformance ainsi que Altarea, ...
Lar España has successfully rotated assets over the past five years. On the back of the company’s latest announcements and its expressed willingness to continue on this path, we remain confident about its ability to reach its goals while Lar España continues to see a resilient and strong operational performance regarding its portfolio, which should support the company’s activities. We still find its current discount to NAV unjustified, given the good occupier trends seen in its p...
3Q'23 vs. 1Q'22 Results Rental revenues: € 22.3 M (+5% vs. +8% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 16.7 M (-2% vs. +1% BS(e)). 9M'23 vs. 9M'22 Results Rental revenues: € 69.5 M (+13% vs. +14% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 49.7 M (+14% vs. +15% BS(e)); Net Profit (ex-asset revaluation): € 62.5 M (+129%).
Rdos. 3T'23 vs 3T'22: Ingresos por rentas: 22,3 M euros (+5% vs +8% BS(e)); EBITDA: 16,7 M euros (-2% vs +1% BS(e)). Rdos. 9meses'23 vs 9meses'22: Ingresos por rentas: 69,5 M euros (+13% vs +14% BS(e)); EBITDA: 49,7 M euros (+14% vs +15% BS(e)); BDI (ex reval activos): 62,5 M euros (+129%).
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, LAR ESPAÑA. The Ibex returns to 9,900 points European stock markets saw slight gains in a session where debt yields widened and the macroeconomic environment in the euro zone continues to slow down despite the slight improvement in November’s PMI data. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Energy and Banks led gains, whereas Travel&Leisure and Autos ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, November’s preliminary manufacturing and services PMI recovered more than e...
Lar España Real Estate continues to defy the doom and gloom surrounding the retail sector, posting strong financial and operational numbers. The value of its Spanish shopping centre and retail park portfolio has been stable despite higher interest rates – thanks in large part to extraordinary rental growth within its portfolio (gross rental income was up 16.4% over the first half of 2023). Retail sales within its portfolio totalled more than half a billion euros in the first six months of the y...
Lar España Real Estate’s manager says that the company’s strong financial and operational numbers show that it continues to defy the doom and gloom surrounding the retail sector. The value of its Spanish shopping centre and retail park portfolio has been stable despite higher interest rates – thanks in large part to rental growth within its portfolio (gross rental income was up 16.4% over the first half of 2023). Retail sales within its portfolio totalled more than half a billion euros in the f...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME. ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, LAR ESPAÑA, UNICAJA. EUROPA: ADIDAS, SANOFI. La incertidumbre en torno al techo de deuda en EE.UU. marcó el ritmo de las bolsas El tono alentador sobre la resolución del techo de la deuda en EE.UU., donde las posturas van poco a poco acercándose, marcó el transcurso de la semana, dejando subidas c. al +2,0% en el Euro STOXX 50 y próximo a niveles técnicos en la zona de los 4.400 puntos. El Dax terminó con avances también cercanos al +2% ...
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