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Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

LAR ESPAÑA: RDOS. 9MESES’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ingresos comparables recurrentes: 74 M euros (+4%); BDI recurrente: 56,8 M euros (+17%). Publicó un escueto Trading Update de los 9meses’24 donde muestra unas cifras de ingresos comparables recurrentes y BDI totalmente alineados con lo que esperamos para todo el ejercicio. Los ingresos comparables recurrentes crecieron un +4%, entendemos que por indexación, mejora de ocupación y subida de precios en las renovaciones. La ocupación al cierre de septiembre aumentó +8...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime

>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...

>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...

Anthony Dick ... (+5)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Youssef Besbes

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/03/2024

DEME, the world’s leading offshore wind installation company and top 3 in the global dredging market, delivered a better than expected H1. Its share price, however, corrected by 15-20% as DEME’s outlook was weaker than expected. In this report, we explain there are three good reasons why DEME management is holding its cards at its chest: (1) US elections; (2) Gaza conflict, and (3) the still uncertain usage of its € 1.0-1.5bn war chest. Expecting DEME to not only use the war chest for...

Anthony Dick ... (+5)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Youssef Besbes

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/10/2024

DEME, the world’s leading offshore wind installation company and top 3 in the global dredging market, delivered a better than expected H1. Its share price, however, corrected by 15-20% as DEME’s outlook was weaker than expected. In this report, we explain there are three good reasons why DEME management is holding its cards at its chest: (1) US elections; (2) Gaza conflict, and (3) the still uncertain usage of its € 1.0-1.5bn war chest. Expecting DEME to not only use the war chest for...

Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

Lar España : Helios RE ups its bid for Lar España

>An improved offer - Yesterday, after market close, Helios RE, a consortium comprising Hines and Grupo Lar, announced an improved offer for Lar España. The offer price has been increased by €0.20 per share, representing a 2.5% enhancement to €8.30 per share.Additionally, Helios RE has secured an agreement with Castellana Properties, which is ultimately owned by Vukile Property, stipulating that Castellana Properties will tender its shares for cash once the accept...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 03 0CTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR ESPAÑA, OHLA, ROVI. EUROPA: INFORME ANUAL EURO STOXX 50, SAP, TOTAL ENERGIES. A la espera de novedades en Oriente Medio Las bolsas europeas cerraron muy planas, ya que la depreciación del euro ayudó a capear la mayor prima por riesgo geopolítico. Con todo lo anterior, en el STOXX 600 Energía repitió como el mejor sector (gracias al avance del Brent) seguido por Tecnología mientras que Utilities y Viajes&Ocio terminaron con las mayores correccion...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 03 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: LAR ESPAÑA, OHLA, ROVI. Awaiting news from the Middle East European stock markets ended flat, as the depreciation of the euro contributed to offset the increasing premium for geopolitical risk. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Energy continued to be the best-performing sector (thanks to the rally of Brent crude), followed by Technology, whereas Utilities and Travel&Leisure ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, the 2Q’24 unemployment rate remained stable at 6.4%...

Christophe Chaput ... (+3)
  • Christophe Chaput
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : The recovery is only beginning and the best is yet to come

The rate cut carried out and yet to come (ECB: -125bp to -150bp to come by end-2025e) is a real driver for listed real estate and creates the conditions enabling it to outperform. In this context, we are lifting 23 target prices for the 42 stocks covered. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing are now our Top Picks. Aedifica (Outperform vs Neutral) should also benefit. Lastly, we are lowering Care Property to Neutral and SFL to Underperform. - >...

Christophe Chaput ... (+3)
  • Christophe Chaput
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : La reprise ne fait que commencer et le meilleur est à venir

La baisse de taux actée et à venir (BCE : -125 à 150 pb à venir d’ici fin 2025e) agit comme un véritable catalyseur pour l’immobilier côté et crée les conditions lui permettant de surperformer. Dans ce cadre, nous relevons 23 objectifs de cours sur 42 valeurs suivies. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing constituent désormais nos top picks. Aedifica (Surperformance vs Neutre) devrait également en bénéficier. Enfin, nous abaissons Care Property à N...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 23 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR, ROVI. EUROPA: SECTOR BANCARIO, SEGUROS Y ENERGÍA ITALIA, UNICREDIT. A pesar de la Fed, semana plana en el STOXX La buena acogida a la decisión de bajar -50 p.b. tipos se vio compensada por los miedos a la demanda china. Con todo lo anterior, el STOXX 600 terminó cerrando con ligeras caídas, con Retail y Viajes&Ocio presentando las mayores subidas semanales mientras que defensivos como Alimentación y Farma acabaron con las mayores ventas. Por el...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 23 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: LAR ESPAÑA, ROVI. Flat week on the STOXX, despite the Fed The Fed’s well-received decision to cut interest rates by -50bps was offset by the fears surrounding Chinese demand. With this in mind, the STOXX 600 ended with slight losses, with Retail and Travel & Leisure posting the biggest weekly gains, whereas defensive sectors like Food and Pharma ended with the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the UK August’s retail sales were in line with expectations. In the euro zone, consu...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 19 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: LAR ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. The Fed cut rates by 50bps in the end It was a transition session with slight corrections for European stock markets that put an end to the Ibex’s rally that led it to return to 2015 highs. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Automobiles and Energy were the only sector avoiding drops, which were led by Media, Food and Consumer Goods. On the macro side, in the euro zone, August’s final monthly inflation was cut by one tenth to 0.1% (with the YoY data unchanged at 2.2%). ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 19 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BASF, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, UNICREDIT. Finalmente la Fed se decanta por los 50 puntos de recorte Sesión de transición con leves caídas en las bolsas europeas, que cortó la racha alcista en el Ibex que le llevó a renovar máximos de 2015. Así, en el STOXX 600 tan sólo Autos y Energía esquivaron las caídas que estuvieron lideradas por Media, Alimentación y B. de Consumo. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la inflación mensual...

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