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Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback Analyst & Asset Manager Day

Tessenderlo reiterated FY25 guidance at the occasion of its Investor event yesterday. We note that Luc Tack expressed his desire to become more strict in allocating capex, whilst in terms of activity portfolio there are no sacred cows and management asks themselves whether they are still the best owner of their businesses. The deal with Darling Ingredients on gelatin & collagen is progressing with deal closing probable in 2H26. We continue to appreciate Tessenderlo for its healthy FCF generation...

Kristof Samoy ... (+2)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Hoste
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Brederode S.A: 1 director

A director at Brederode S.A bought 2,000 shares at 105.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...

Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Brederode Currency headwinds weigh on the private equity portfolio

In 1H25, Brederode's NAV per share declined 4.4% to €135.2 (vs. €141.4 at FY24-end). The decline was driven by a €164.7m loss in the Private Equity portfolio, now valued at €2.7bn. The primary cause was the USD's depreciation of over 14% during the period. With ~66% of the Private Equity portfolio exposed to USD, currency risk remains a concern. The listed securities portfolio partially offset the loss with a €24.9m gain, led by strong performances in electricity and healthcare sectors. Cash flo...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : BREB BB, OPTI BB, EXM BB, SOLB BB, WDP BB, DEME BB, JD...

: BREB BB, OPTI BB, EXM BB, SOLB BB, WDP BB, DEME BB, JDEP NA, ENRGY BB

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback 1H results conference call

Below are the highlights from the conference call. Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation t...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Addition of €200m to existing SBB, considering US domicile, results mixed. Alfen: 19% EBITDA cut, mid-point new 2026 guidance. Flow Traders: Positive volumes, negative volatility. Kinepolis: Strong profit beat on better operating leverage, higher ticket and ITS per visitor. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 2Q25 results. Tessenderlo: Solid 1H25 beat, guidance maintained. VGP: Strong results, more news on JVs to come

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: 1H adj EBITDA +8%, FY guidance maintained

Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation to be attractive enough from maintaining our Accumul...

Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Tessenderlo/Model update ahead of 1H25/BUY

We update our model to reflect recent macro and FX trends as well as Tessenderlo's 2025F guidance. We lower our target price to €30 per share from €32 previously, mainly as a result of our lower estimates. We stick to our BUY on valuation grounds.

Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Holdings Report - July 2025 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -0.5% Durin...

1M Performance - Absolute Total Return: During Jul'25 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a total return of -0.5% which was mainly driven by the performance of the multi-asset holdings (-0.9%), while the single-asset holdings posted a return of +0.4%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+11.7%), KBC Ancora (+9.4%) and Quest For Growth (+5.5%) while the 3 worst performers were Brederode (-6.4%), Heineken Holding (-5.0%) and D'Ieteren Group (-4.7%). YTD Pe...

Tessenderlo Group: 1 director

A director at Tessenderlo Group bought 626,596 shares at 25.140EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Brederode 1Q25: NAVps down 1.7%; Weakening Dollar Impacts Private Asse...

Over 1Q25, NAVps decreased by 1.7% to €139.0ps (vs. €141.4ps at FY24-end). This was mainly due to the private asset portfolio, which recorded a loss of €74.7m on the ~€4.1bn portfolio. The primary reason was the recent decline of the USD. The listed assets generated a modest €6.6m gain, mostly driven by Iberdrola and Enel. During the first quarter, the position in Experian was strengthened, while the position in Nestlé was reduced. We currently estimate the NAVps at €140.0, implying a 13.2% disc...

Michiel Declercq ... (+2)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste
Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Holdings Report May 2025 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns 2.2% During Ma...

1M Performance - Absolute: During May'25 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of +2.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+2.6%) while single-asset holdings posted a smaller return of +1.2%. The 3 top performers during the period were Gimv (+12.1%), KBC Ancora (+11.1%) and Ackermans & van Haaren (+4.1%) while the 3 worst performers were Solvac (-2.8%), Groupe Bruxelles Lambert (-0.8%) and Heineken Holding (-0.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (as o...

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: Creating a global leader in gelatin/collagen w...

Tessenderlo and Darling Ingredients announced the intention to combine their gelatin & collagen businesses in a joint venture, in which Tessenderlo would have a 15% stake. In light of the difficult market conditions, we welcome the combination which will lead to a gelatin & collagen powerhouse with a global market share of 35-40%. We still appreciate Tessenderlo for the sizeable free cash flow generation and maintain our Accumulate rating for now.

Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Holdings Report - April 2025 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns 2.7% Durin...

1M Performance - Absolute: During April'25 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of +2.7% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+3.0%) while single-asset holdings posted a smaller return of +2.0%. The 3 top performers during the period were D'Ieteren (+10.6%), Ackermans & van Haaren (+7.7%) and Groupe Bruxelles Lambert (+5.4%) while the 3 worst performers were Exor (-0.8%), HAL Trust (-1.5%) and Quest for Growth (-5.5%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (a...

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