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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: Miss but strong capital, good set of results / Ahold Delhaize: Strong 4Q25 but no major surprise on FY26 adj. EPS guidance / Alfen: No recovery yet and another transitional year / BAM Group: Preview: 2026 outlook the key item / Econocom: Better REBITA, net debt, but EBIT below, much lower net profit, dividend halved, 2026-28 guidance postponed to “medium term” / Exor: Ferrari 4Q25 and 2026 guidance beat / Gecina: Results and guidance in line, DPS set to grow over 2026-30 / Heineken: No...

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Francesca Ferragina ... (+2)
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Michiel Vereycken

Real Estate Update/A new normality

European real estate rebounded in 2025, signalling positive momentum after two difficult years. In 2026, we expect investors to adapt to a new, normalised environment with recalibrated profitability that should drive transaction activity. This comes alongside a normalisation of rents (on the back of lower inflation) – a slowdown that will be notable but largely expected. We see a company's ability (and willingness) to pursue EPS-accretive investments and being active in capital recycling opportu...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+2)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Lewi

EVS Broadcast Equipment SA: 1 director

A director at EVS Broadcast Equipment SA sold 9,750 shares at 35.120EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 77/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List How to start 2026?

How to start 2026? We have selected for the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List 12 large-cap companies — AB InBev, Aedifica, Argenx, ASMi, Azelis, DEME, D'Ieteren, Shurgard, Sofina, Vopak, WDP, and Wolters Kluwer — along with 3 small and mid-cap names (under €1.5bn in market capitalization): Corbion, EVS, and IBA. So, going into 2026, we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, featuring 8 cyclical and 6 defensive stocks, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have b...

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste

Local Champions Mid Cap Conference Book 11.12.2025

This conference book is your guide to our annual Local Champions Mid Cap Conference set to take place on Thursday, 11 December 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or attend small group sessions with the top management and/or IR of the following companies: BARCO | BEKAERT | DECEUNINCK | DEME | EVS | IBA | JENSEN GROUP | MATERIALISE | ONTEX | PROXIMUS | RECTICEL | XFAB

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: Only 5 stores left to divest in France. EVS: Lower end of the range becomes the base case, on longer lead times. Fagron: Two EMEA acquisitions and California license for FSS. Kinepolis: “Wicked” achieves solid box office. OCI: Divesting Rotterdam ammonia terminal for €290m. Prosus: 1HFY26 results – on track

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

EVS Broadcast Equipment Pointing toward the lower end of the range aft...

Without giving exact numbers, EVS indicated they delivered y/y growth in 3Q25 revenue, offsetting the impact of major events in 3Q24 and signalling recovery from the delays seen in 1H25. Strong order intake for 4Q25 supports confidence in full-year growth, allowing EVS to reaffirm its revenue guidance of € 195m–€ 210m. That said, company-specific factors for 2025 point toward the lower end of the range as some 2025 orders may slip into 2026, reflecting longer lead times between order intake and ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: Announces merger of equals with US coatings peer Axalta. EVS: 3Q25 preview. GBL: Sale of half of Umicore stake. IBA: Negative press on poor Proton Therapy results, controversy about Dutch PT centres

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Digi negative view on fibre deals, ups stake in Belgium to 76.9%. CFE: Preview - navigating challenging end markets. Retail Estates: Conference call highlights

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CVC Capital Partners: Moment of realisations. Retail Estates: Results in line. SBM Offshore: Main topics of 3Q25 conference call

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Retail Estates 1H25/26 Results, no big acquisition, but managing the b...

RET reported its 1H25/26 results (September end) slightly below our estimates. EPRA EPS amounted to €3.06 vs. our expectation of €3.10. NRI grew 2.95% to €72.7m vs. 74.0m expected. Despite many bankruptcies, occupancy remained relatively stable at 97.4% vs. 97.6% over 1H24/25. Out of 19 outlets in restructuring, RET has relet 2 and is in exclusive talks on 10. The difference with our expectations results largely from lower net investments of €5.1m vs. €40.0m expected. The debt ratio increased 0....

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update November: Removing Xior; Adding Aedifica

The tariff war has eased, but with Trump, uncertainty has become a guarantee. While the macro-economic impact has been limited so far, the prolonged situation could still result in significant and long-lasting economic damage. We are maintaining a defensive stance in our Benelux Dynamic Top Pick List. The Federal Reserve (FED) has started its easing cycle, but the final amount of interest rate cuts is uncertain. The European Central Bank (ECB) has now largely completed its interest rate cutting ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Feedback from conference call 3Q25. Belgian telcos: Telenet positive net adds in broadband, near ECM decision. CTP: 34k sqm lease signed in Poland. Eurocommercial Properties: Organic momentum is getting stronger. Fugro: Reasonable 3Q, challenging 4Q and beyond. Heijmans: Order book quality improves further. KPN: VodafoneZiggo guidance maintained, ECM decision near. Proximus: CPaaS peer Twilio reports strong 3Q25 results. Retail Estates: Jysk new tenant of 5 Leen Bakker B...

Francesca Ferragina ... (+2)
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Michiel Vereycken

Retail Estates/Model update/BUY

We update our model with added cautiousness on the top line but leave our bottom line and NTA projections almost unchanged. Our FY26-28F earnings CAGR is at c.2%. Despite some problematic tenants (Leen Bakker, Casa and Carpetright, accounting for c.2.5% of rents), Retail Estates has a history of being capable of quick/efficient reletting and good tenant mix improvement on the back of this. We confirm our positive stance on the company, which currently trades at a 21.3% NTA discount to its FY26F ...

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