Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500 Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670. We have discussed since mid-October how we would use any pre-election pullback in the MSCI ACWI or the S&P 500 (the U.S. remains our only country overweight) as an opportunity to add exposure, and that we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025. This remain...
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, SACYR, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO - SOCIMI. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Alemania celebrará elecciones en febrero El contagio desde Asia junto con el incremento en...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, REAL ESTATE SECTOR, SACYR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Germany to hold elections in February The contagion from Asia, along with the increased geopolitical risk, dragged down European stock markets. In the STOXX 600, only Technology ended in gree...
>Q3 2024 results 13% above company compiled css - IAG released a strong set of Q3 2024 results with operating profit reported at € 2.013bn (+15% y-o-y), 19% above our estimates and 13% above company compiled consensus. This positive operational performance comes on the back of strong demand on all core markets leading to a passenger unit revenue increase of 1.2% (vs. our virtually flat expectation of 0.3%) despite an exceptionally strong comps and a capacity gr...
>Q3 2024 results 13% above company compiled css - IAG released a strong set of Q3 2024 results with operating profit reported at € 2.013bn (+15% y-o-y), 19% above our estimates and 13% above company compiled consensus. This positive operational performance comes on the back of strong demand on all core markets leading to a passenger unit revenue increase of 1.2% (vs. our virtually flat expectation of 0.3%) despite an exceptionally strong comps and a capacity gr...
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 9.329 Bn (+7.9% vs. +6.1% BS(e) and n/a consensus); EBIT: € 2.013 Bn (+15.4% vs. +4.8% BS(e) and +1.8% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 24.053 Bn (+8.2% vs. +7.5% BS(e) and n/a consensus); EBIT: € 3.322 Bn (+10.5% vs. +4.4% BS(e) and +2.7% consensus);
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 9.329 M euros (+7,9% vs +6,1% BS(e) y n/a consenso); EBIT: 2.013 M euros (+15,4% vs +4,8% BS(e) y +1,8% consenso). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 24.053 M euros (+8,2% vs +7,5% BS(e) y n/a consenso); EBIT: 3.322 M euros (+10,5% vs +4,4% BS(e) y +2,7% consenso).
NEWS SUMMARY: FCC, GRIFOLS, IAG. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Rally in the euro zone Yesterday European stock markets recovered ground whereas the rally to new record highs continued in the US. Thus, in the STOXX 600, most sectors ended with gains (15/20), led by Basic Resources and Autos vs. the big...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FCC, GRIFOLS, IAG. EUROPA: AIRBUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Rebote en la Eurozona Ayer las bolsas europeas se recuperaron mientras en EE.UU. continuaron su particular rally renovando nuevos máximos. Así, en el STOXX 60...
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 1.143 Bn (+5.8% vs. -0.7% BS(e) and +0.9% consensus); EBITDA: € 290.8 M (-13.2% vs. -10.8% BS(e) and -11.1% consensus); EBIT: € 270.35 M (+1.3% vs. -0.9% BS(e) and -6.7% consensus); Net Profit: € 22.0 M (-21.4% vs. -12.7% BS(e) and -25.0% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 3.262 Bn (+0.6% vs. -1.6% BS(e) and -1.1% consensus); EBITDA: € 947.8 M (-3.3% vs. -2.5% BS(e) and -2.6% consensus); EBIT: € 870.0 M (+2.8% vs. +2.2% BS(e) and +0.3% consensus); Net P...
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