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Emira Sagaama ... (+3)
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Jeremy Garnier
  • Martial Descoutures
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: FY24/25F set to be in line with recently revised guidance. Exor: In search of a €2bn deal. Flow Traders: Sell In May And Go Away. Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex May 2025 box office revenue up 63% YoY, at 81% of 2019 level. Staffing: Dutch Period 5 - May vols up, strong pricing, working days/comps might distort. Staffing: French staffing - strong April data, May outlook also better

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group PLC: There can be only Juan. Colruyt: French press reports on divestment of its stores in France. Staffing: US temp volume YoY trend stable, revisions down to Apr/Mar, NFP jobs beat

Hans D’Haese ... (+2)
  • Hans D’Haese
  • Maxime Stranart

Colruyt/FY24/25 profit warning/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating on Colruyt but reduce our target price from €48 to €45.5 following the profit warning management issued on Friday. Colruyt's share price has corrected by c.15% following this release, despite consensus needing only to cut estimates by c.5% at EBIT level, in our view. Furthermore, we believe that the competitive environment should improve for Colruyt, as: (1) we lap tough comps on competitors opening stores on Sundays; and (2) Colruyt's potential to also open on Sunday...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: 1Q25 in line, no material impact from tariffs yet. Aedifica, Cofinimmo: Bid on Cofinimmo from Aedifica. Colruyt: Profit warning on FY24/25. Shell: 1Q shows underlying strength, 2Q promising

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Banks & Batteries. Colruyt: New acquisition in eCommerce. D'Ieteren: March car registrations down 10%, VW down 13%. IBA: IBA to supply P1 system to Tri-Service General Hospital in Taiwan

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ACKB BB, AGFB BB, COLR BB, IBAB BB, IVA FP, ONTEX BB, ...

: ACKB BB, AGFB BB, COLR BB, IBAB BB, IVA FP, ONTEX BB, WHATS BB, SHUR BB, EKOP BB, ARG FP

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: Confirms it looking into strategic options for its French activity. D'Ieteren: State Farm officially switches to Safelite Solutions for claim administration. dsm-firmenich: Billion Buyback Begins

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: Cash is King. Adecco: 4Q24 result beats by 6%, stabilising trends in 4Q24, balance sheet relief. ASM International: 1H25 guidance slightly better but orders missed in 4Q24. Colruyt: Expects to open OKay stores on Sundays. Deceuninck: Soft FY24 results due to Turkey. DEME Group: Strong FCF. JDE Peet's: Mean green beans. Kinepolis: Peer AMC 4Q24 results. NEPI Rockcastle: Strong performance at all levels. Wolters Kluwer: FY24 results; in line, new CEO in 2026

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian food retail: Carrefour plans to open all its stores on Sundays. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: On course for FTSE inclusion. CVC Capital Partners: Stronger for longer. Econocom: REBITA in line but EBIT, net profit and net debt miss materially. Euronext: Strong finish. KPN: New “Althio” tower company deal closed. Recticel: Recovery in the Belgian construction sector expected by 2027F. Umicore: In-line 2024 and 2025 EBITDA guide, dividend cut and rebased. Wereldhave: €167m...

Hans D’Haese ... (+2)
  • Hans D’Haese
  • Maxime Stranart

Colruyt/Forget all about the Jims/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating on Colruyt but reduce our target price from €52 to €48 due to a c.2% lower EBIT forecast over the medium term and an increase in 10-year treasury yields. We remain convinced Colruyt's current discount to peers is unwarranted, given its healthy balance sheet and EBIT growth over the medium term. At our €48 target price, Colruyt would trade at 11.2x EV/EBIT FY25/26F, a 5% discount to its 12m fwd EV/EBIT average over-the-cycle and a c.10% discount to European Food Retail...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Benelux retail: Dutch no.2 player Jumbo FY24 sales. IBA: CFO leaves

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