On Wednesday, we published our European Telecoms Year Ahead note for 2026. In that note, we upgraded Cellnex to a Buy, as we think the market’s worst fears on growth are overdone, and we downgraded Telefonica to a Reduce, as we fear the low cashflow growth outlook is not being properly priced in. However, in that sector report, we missed out one important aspect to back up this diverging view of value and we now highlight that here.
Yesterday, we published our sector lookahead for EU telecoms names for 2026. There is a lot of material in the report, but as part of the review, we upgraded Cellnex and Inwit to Buy for the first time since 2017 and 2023 respectively.
NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, INDRA. Doubts do not disappear they change Calm prevailed at both sides of the Atlantic with a battery of macroeconomic data that did not convince the market. In the STOXX 600, almost all sectors (16/20) ended with drops, led by Energy and Industrials vs. the larger gains of Consumer Goods, Financial Services and Retail Estate. On the macro side, in the euro zone, November’s PMI fell more than expected (the manufacturing PMI was at its lowest level in 8 months) but the co...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, INDRA Las dudas no desaparecen, se transforman Volvió la cautela a ambos lados del Atlántico con una batería de datos macro que no convenció al mercado. En el STOXX 600, casi todos los sectores (16/20) terminaron con caídas, lideradas por Energía e Industriales frente a las mayores ganancias de B. de Consumo, Servicios Financieros e Inmobiliario. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona los PMI’s de noviembre cayeron más de lo esperado (manufactur...
NEWS SUMMARY: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. The Ibex near 17,000 points European stock markets climbed near 1% yesterday after the Fed’s rate cut and despite doubts surrounding the technology sector after the poor reception of Oracle’s results. In the STOXX 600, Construction (that rallied after being the worst-performing sector last Wednesday) and Leisure, closely followed by Banks led the gains whereas Utilities and Energy were almost the only sectors ending w...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS. El Ibex enfila los 17.000 puntos Las bolsas europeas avanzaron ayer cerca de un 1% tras la bajada de tipos por parte de la Fed y pese a las dudas en las tecnológicas tras la mala acogida de los resultados de Oracle. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción (rebotó tras ser el miércoles el peor sector) y Ocio seguido de cerca por los Bancos mientras...
3Q'25 vs. 3Q'24 Results Sales: € 9.814 Bn (+4.9% vs. +3.8% BS(e) and +3.8% consensus); EBIT: € 2.371 Bn (+11.2% vs. +4.1% BS(e) and +4.2% consensus); Net Profit: € 1.854 Bn (+9.6% vs. +3.2% BS(e) and +4.7% consensus); 9M'25 vs. 9M'24 Results Sales: € 28.171 Bn (+2.7% vs. +2.4% BS(e) and +2.4% consensus); EBIT: € 5.943 Bn (+4.8% vs. +2.1% BS(e) and +2.1% consensus); Net Profit: € 4.622 Bn (+3.9% vs. +1.4% BS(e) and +2.0% consensus);
Rdos. 3T'25 vs 3T'24: Ventas: 9.814 M euros (+4,9% vs +3,8% BS(e) y +3,8% consenso); EBIT: 2.371 M euros (+11,2% vs +4,1% BS(e) y +4,2% consenso); BDI: 1.854 M euros (+9,6% vs +3,2% BS(e) y +4,7% consenso). Rdos. 9meses'25 vs 9meses'24: Ventas: 28.171 M euros (+2,7% vs +2,4% BS(e) y +2,4% consenso); EBIT: 5.943 M euros (+4,8% vs +2,1% BS(e) y +2,1% consenso); BDI: 4.622 M euros (+3,9% vs +1,4% BS(e) y +2,0% consenso).
NEWS SUMMARY: INDITEX, INDRA. Calm returns to the markets European markets once again rose after Monday’s losses. In the STOXX 600, Banks and Insurance were the sectors rising the most, with Media and Food posting the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the euro zone November’s general inflation rose unexpectedly by +0.1% to 2.2% YoY, with the core figure remaining at 2.4%. October’s unemployment rate was disappointing, remaining at the 6.4% registered in September (raised from 6.3%). In Braz...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDITEX, INDRA. EUROPA: AIRBUS. Regresa la calma Los mercados europeos se volvieron a girar al alza después del retroceso del lunes. En el STOXX 600, Bancos y Seguros fueron los que más subieron frente a las mayores caídas de Media y Alimentación. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la inflación general de noviembre repuntó inesperadamente una décima hasta el 2,2% interanual con la subyacente reteniendo el 2,4% anterior. La tasa de desempleo de octub...
NEWS SUMMARY: INDITEX, REPSOL, SANTANDER. December kicks off with losses Stock markets on both sides of the Atlantic started the week off with drops in a cautious session. The IBEX 35 ended its streak of five straight sessions of gains, while the geopolitical risk continues to rise after Trump ordered Venezuelan airspace be closed. In the STOXX 600, Household Goods and Basic Materials rose the most, with the biggest drops coming in Industrials and Financial Services. On the macro side, in Spain...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDITEX, REPSOL, SANTANDER. EUROPA: BAYER, L’ORÉAL. Diciembre arranca con caídas Las bolsas a ambos lados del Atlántico comenzaron la semana con descensos, en una jornada marcada por la cautela. El Ibex 35 interrumpió su racha de cinco sesiones consecutivas al alza mientras que el riesgo geopolítico sigue en aumento después de que D. Trump ordenara cerrar el espacio aéreo de Venezuela. En el STOXX 600, Hogar y R. Básicos fueron los que más subieron...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ARCELORMITTAL, CAIXABANK, IAG, INDITEX, OHLA, SANTANDER. Stability for now In the absence of references from the US due to Thanksgiving, European stock markets traded within a narrow sideways range. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Financial Services were the best performers whereas Pharma, Technology and Basic Resources were the only sectors that ended with drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, October’s M3 remained at 2.8% YoY, in line with expectations, wherea...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ARCELORMITTAL, CAIXABANK, IAG, INDITEX, OHLA, SANTANDER. Por el momento, estabilidad En una sesión sin referencias desde EE.UU., por la festividad de Acción de Gracias, las bolsas europeas se movieron en un rango lateral estrecho. En el STOXX 600, las ganancias fueron dirigidas por Autos, S. Financieros e Inmobiliario. En el lado contrario, sólo Farma, Tecnología y R. Básicos terminaron con caídas. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozo...
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