VZ/FBYR/CPUC Update: Build Out Requirements Remain an Issue

In a recent analysis of an Administrative Law Judge issuing a Proposed Decision recommending California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) approval of the VZ/FYBR deal, albeit with numerous conditions, we focused on the conditions related to the tension between VZ’s letter to the FCC changing its policies toward DEI and requirements under California law and regulation, as that has been the key discussion point in the process to date. We noted but did not focus on the build-out requirement in pa...

Cellnex vs. Telefonica Cellnex (Buy, €34, +32%) Telefonica (Reduce, ...

On Wednesday, we published our European Telecoms Year Ahead note for 2026. In that note, we upgraded Cellnex to a Buy, as we think the market’s worst fears on growth are overdone, and we downgraded Telefonica to a Reduce, as we fear the low cashflow growth outlook is not being properly priced in. However, in that sector report, we missed out one important aspect to back up this diverging view of value and we now highlight that here.

VZ/FYBR Moves Toward California Approval

The VZ/FYBR deal has moved closer to closing with an Administrative Law Judge issuing a Proposed Decision recommending California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) approval, albeit with numerous conditions. In this note we discuss that Proposed Decision and the steps forward from here.

Cellnex (Buy, €34, +34%) Inwit (Buy, €11.8, +56%) Both upgraded to BU...

Yesterday, we published our sector lookahead for EU telecoms names for 2026. There is a lot of material in the report, but as part of the review, we upgraded Cellnex and Inwit to Buy for the first time since 2017 and 2023 respectively.

VZ: Investor meeting key takeaways

We hosted a Verizon investor lunch yesterday. We feel we came away with a clearer understanding of the evolving ‘Dan Plan’. Long story short, the chances of VZ ‘burning down the neighborhood’ are far lower than generally feared. This fear has nevertheless been priced into sector stocks, which may present an opportunity across the sector.

Bible 3Q25 – Telecom: Growth in fixed & semis; mobile stabilizing

Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, rising 11% YoY. RAN revenues declined 1% YoY, reflecting the ongoing weak demand following the 5G cycle. Telecom semis ...

European Telecoms for 2026 Industry action required for further outpe...

Over the past 3 years, the EU telecoms sector has had a great run – up >50%, despite modest underlying revenue/ EBITDA growth. This has almost entirely come from a deserved upwards re-rating in the multiple as the risk profile across the sector diminishes – which has been a key theme of ours in the past few years given improved regulation. So, we feel this has now largely played out.

IBERIAN DAILY 12 DECEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. The Ibex near 17,000 points European stock markets climbed near 1% yesterday after the Fed’s rate cut and despite doubts surrounding the technology sector after the poor reception of Oracle’s results. In the STOXX 600, Construction (that rallied after being the worst-performing sector last Wednesday) and Leisure, closely followed by Banks led the gains whereas Utilities and Energy were almost the only sectors ending w...

INFORME DIARIO 12 DICIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS. El Ibex enfila los 17.000 puntos Las bolsas europeas avanzaron ayer cerca de un 1% tras la bajada de tipos por parte de la Fed y pese a las dudas en las tecnológicas tras la mala acogida de los resultados de Oracle. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción (rebotó tras ser el miércoles el peor sector) y Ocio seguido de cerca por los Bancos mientras...

Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +26%) Safaricom buyout: More FCF accretive than ...

Vodafone and Vodacom have announced today that they will be taking control of Safaricom. Given the structure of the deal with Kenyan Government involving pre-paying dividends, we think the deal could offer better than expected accretion to Vodafone’s reported FCF for limited capital outflow.

The future of broadband 3Q25: Our updated broadband industry forecast ...

In this report, our latest broadband outlook tome, in addition to forecasting the future of broadband by technology for the next 5 years, we undertake a sensitivity analysis for Cable's end-state market share possibilities. We also refresh our work on the relative competitive positioning of carriers based on end-user cNPS scores via our Recon Analytics partnership.

Verizon Communications Inc. - September 2025 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Can VZ Reduce Churn and Improve Performance with a Delete, Delete, Del...

A big issue affecting all mobile carriers is churn. One way to reduce churn is by creating friction for customers seeking to change carriers in transferring their phone to a different carrier. VZ, due to a 2007 commitment, is at a disadvantage relative to T and TMUS. VZ is seeking to change that rule, arguing that the rule not only creates an unfair playing field but also increases its costs and creates opportunities for fraud. In this note, we describe the current state of play for whether VZ...

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/EnBW, Enel, Verizon, Merlin Properties, Co...

Utilities: EnBW 9M25 financial performance slightly down. Enel 9M25 financials in line with expectations. Telecom: Verizon reportedly preparing job cuts. Real Estate: Merlin Properties 9M25: Good results with a strong Madrid office market. Colonial 9M25: Solid results, prime CBD office exposure continues to perform well

Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +30%) H1 26 - Multiple re-rating in play

Vodafone has reported a decent set of H1 results and guidance has been moved to the upper-end of the guidance range (albeit us and consensus were already there). We think there is still a story for the multiple to be re-rated further – and even though there is new dividend guidance today, we also think there is potential for incremental cash return to come at the FY results.

Moody's Ratings assigns Baa1 rating to Verizon's proposed senior unsec...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa1 ratings to Verizon Communications Inc.'s (Verizon) proposed senior unsecured notes, which will be comprised of various maturities. Verizon will use the proceeds from the proposed offering to fund the acquisition of Frontier Communications Parent, Inc. (Frontie...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES LARGE CAPS MORNING NEWS 11/07/2025