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Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/25/2024

Encouraging retail sales in some segments in October|Unicredit launches a takeover bid for Banco BPM for EUR 10 bn|

Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

UNICREDIT: OPA SOBRE BPM (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Esta mañana UCG ha anunciado una OPA en acciones sobre el 100% del italiano Banco BPM (BAMI). UCG valora BAMI en ~10.100 M euros (16% capitalización de UCG, 0,83x P/TE’24 y 6,7x PER’24 según datos de consenso) lo que implica una prima de +0,5%, por lo que no descartamos que tenga que mejorar la oferta (BAMI sube >5%). UCG estima un CET1 combinado de 15,4% ex PPA (vs previos de 16,1% UCG y 15,5% BAMI), acreción de BPA de dígito simple alto 24 meses después de la operación asumiendo unas sinergias...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 25/11/2024

Des ventes retail encourageantes en octobre pour certains segments|Unicredit lance une OPA sur Banco BPM pour 10 mds EUR|

Chaima Ferrandon ... (+2)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Sven Edelfelt
Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

VINCI: ENERGIES - APROVECHANDO LOS VIENTOS DE COLA... (ANÁLISIS BANCO ...

CMD Vinci Energies: Aprovechando los vientos de cola sectoriales. SOBREPONDERAR Del CMD de Vinci Energies del viernes destacamos su guidance de crecimiento en ventas 2024-30e a “dígito medio-alto” (vs +c.5% BS(e)) y unos márgenes EBIT de al menos el 7,5% en 2030e (vs 7,3% BS(e)). Estiman un valor de la división (EV) superior a 20.000 M euros en base a un DCF, que se sitúa más de un +>20% por encima de nuestra valoración de 16.019 M euros (16% del EV; 11x EV/EBIT’25e; +17% prima frente a comparab...

Chaima Ferrandon ... (+2)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Sven Edelfelt
Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 25 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX. EUROPA: UNICREDIT, VINCI. Otra semana más con EE.UU. haciéndolo mejor Una semana más EE.UU. cierra en positivo mientras Asia registró caídas y Europa terminó con signo mixto donde el FTSE y el SMI fueron los mejores y el CAC y MIB los peores. Dentro del STOXX 600, Media y Farma lideraron las ganancias mientras que los Bancos fueron los que más cayeron (>-2,0%), seguidos de Viajes&Ocio y Autos. Por el lado macro, Eurozona los PMIs prelimin...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 25 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CELLNEX. Another week with the US leading the way It was another week with the US closing in positive numbers, whereas Asia saw losses and Europe ended with mixed performance, where the FTSE and SMI were the best performers and the CAC and MIB the worst. In the STOXX 600, Media and Pharma led the gains, while Banks saw the biggest drops (more than -2.0%), followed by Travel & Leisure and Autos. On the macro side, in the euro zone November’s preliminary manufacturing and services P...

Chaima Ferrandon ... (+2)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Sven Edelfelt

VINCI : Trees can reach to the sky

>Ambitious but realistic targets for VINCI Energies - Today, VINCI is to host a CMD in Paris dedicated to its Energies division, during which it will present its targets out to 2030. VINCI Energies notably forecasts: Annual revenue growth in the mid- to high single digits on average between 2024 and 2030 (consensus at low to mid-single digits for the time being). International revenue up to 65% of total revenue in 2030 (vs 58% in 2023) An operating mar...

Chaima Ferrandon ... (+2)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Sven Edelfelt

VINCI : Les arbres peuvent monter jusqu’au ciel

>Perspectives VINCI Energies ambitieuses mais réalistes - VINCI tient aujourd’hui à Paris un CMD dédié à sa division Energies, au cours duquel il présentera les perspectives à horizon 2030. VINCI Energies prévoit notamment : Une croissance annuelle de son chiffre d’affaires mid-to-high single digit en moyenne entre 2024 et 2030 (consensus, à ce stade low-to-mid single digit). Un chiffre d’affaires à l’international porté à 65% du total en 2030 (vs 58% en 20...

 PRESS RELEASE

Capital Markets Day dedicated to VINCI Energies “Strategic positioning...

Capital Markets Day dedicated to VINCI Energies “Strategic positioning to capture megatrends” Nanterre, 22 November 2024 Capital Markets Day dedicated to VINCI Energies“Strategic positioning to capture megatrends” VINCI Energies: a key contributor to the Group’s strategic positioning in the buoyant energy transition and digital transformation marketsVINCI Energies’ outlook for 2030: annual revenue growth in the mid-to-high single digit on average between 2024 and 2030; operating margin1 of at least 7.5% in 2030; and cash conversion2 of at least 100% on average over the periodEnterprise va...

 PRESS RELEASE

Capital Markets Day dedicated to VINCI Energies “Strategic positioning...

Capital Markets Day dedicated to VINCI Energies “Strategic positioning to capture megatrends” Nanterre, 22 November 2024 Capital Markets Day dedicated to VINCI Energies“Strategic positioning to capture megatrends” VINCI Energies: a key contributor to the Group’s strategic positioning in the buoyant energy transition and digital transformation marketsVINCI Energies’ outlook for 2030: annual revenue growth in the mid-to-high single digit on average between 2024 and 2030; operating margin1 of at least 7.5% in 2030; and cash conversion2 of at least 100% on average over the periodEnterprise va...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/20/2024

Efforts to revitalise the five brands that make up the Lanvin Group are under way and should pay off in the medium term. However, at this stage of development (critical mass not yet achieved for some brands, negative profitability and cash burn) and in a consumer environment that does not yet point to a rebound, we prefer to remain cautious on the share. We are initiating coverage with a Neutral rating, with a target price of $ 1.80, based on a DCF valuation. - ...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 20/11/2024

Les efforts de redynamisation sont en cours pour les 5 marques qui constituent Lanvin Group et devraient porter leurs fruits à moyen terme. Toutefois, à ce stade de développement (taille critique encore non atteinte sur certaines marques, rentabilité négative et consommation de cash) et dans un environnement de consommation n’indiquant pas encore de rebond, nous préférons rester encore prudents sur le titre. Nous initions à Neutre, avec un OC à 1.8 $ résultant d’une valorisation par D...

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