reports
- Oliver Metzger
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/01/2024
Like Astérix in the album of the same name, Michel Barnier has a cauldron to fill. Two measures to manage this have “leaked” in the press in the last few days: a reduction in the CIR research tax credit and an exceptional tax increase on large companies. We measured the sensitivity to these two measures of the 90 and 80 companies most concerned in our coverage universe. 20 companies have a CIR >5% of their EBIT and 22 companies would see their EPS fall by more than 5% due to the addit...
- Oliver Metzger
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 01/10/2024
Comme Astérix dans l’album éponyme, Barnier a un chaudron à remplir. Deux mesures pour y parvenir ont « fuité » ces derniers jours dans la presse : rabotage du CIR (Crédit d’impôt Recherche) et hausse « exceptionnelle » de l’impôt des sociétés sur les grands groupes. Nous avons mesuré la sensibilité des 90 et 80 sociétés les plus concernées dans notre univers de couverture à ces deux mesures. 20 sociétés ont un CIR > 5% de leur EBIT et 22 sociétés verraient leurs BPA baisser de plus d...
- Anis Zgaya
- Philippe Ourpatian
Solaria : 2024 MW trajectory to be clarified in our next roadshow
>Outperform rating maintained and target price adjusted to € 20.50 vs € 21.1 - Following the release of H1 2024 results, which on a reported basis came in slightly higher than we anticipated, but excluding capital gains on disposals slightly undershot our expectations, the group has not really made any announcements on the year end in terms of installed capacity, given the administrative environment in Spain which remains complicated, preferring to highlight its new ...
- Anis Zgaya
- Philippe Ourpatian
Solaria : Une trajectoire 2024 de MW à clarifier lors de notre prochai...
>Opinion Surperformance maintenus et OC ajusté à 20.50 € vs 21.1 € - A l’issue de la publication des résultats du S1 24, qui sont ressortis, en publié, un peu au-dessus de nos attentes, mais hors plus-value de cession, un peu en dessous de nos estimations, le groupe n’a pas vraiment communiqué sur son atterrissage de fin d’année en termes de capacité installée, compte tenu d’un environnement administratif en Espagne qui demeure compliqué, préférant mettre en lumière ...
- Rafael Bonardell
- Rafael Bonardell
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 01 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: CELLNEX, INDRA, SOLARIA. Political noise and Automobiles continue to add pressure on the Euro STOXX European equity markets dropped, dragged down by the risks of more aggressive taxation to large French companies and by the profit warnings battery in the Automobile sector. In the STOXX 600, Energy and Consumer Goods were the only sectors ending in positive territory whereas Automobiles and Travel&Leisure saw the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Germany, September’s preliminary...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 01 0CTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: EUROPA: CELLNEX, INDRA, SOLARIA. El ruido geopolítico y los autos siguen presionando al Euro STOXX Caídas en la renta variable europea, lastradas por los riesgos de una tributación más agresiva a las grandes empresas de Francia y por la ola de profit warnings del sector Autos. En el STOXX 600 sólo Energía y R. Básicos se mantuvieron al margen de las caídas mientras que Autos y Viajes&Ocio sufrieron las mayores pérdidas. Por el lado macro, en Alemania la inf...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 30 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: N/A. China’s measures boost stock markets European stock markets rallied last week thanks to the unexpected battery of stimulus measures announced by China. Thus, the S&P500 hit a new record high and the Ibex35 traded near 12,000 points, hitting a new annual high and not seen since 2010. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors by far were Consumer Goods and Basic Resources (higher exposure to China) vs. Energy (dragged down by the drop in crude oil) and Pharma. On the macro ...
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/26/2024
‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In the U...
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
ORA ORANGE SA
HO THALES SA
SW SODEXO SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
COLR ETABLISSEMENTEN FRANZ COLRUYT N.V.
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
FII LISI SA
NXT NEXT PLC
BAS BASF SE
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
LDO LEONARDO SPA
SIE SIEMENS AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
HAG HENSOLDT AG
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
AM DASSAULT AVIATION
SHEL SHELL PLC
LAT LATECOERE
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/26/2024
tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
ORA ORANGE SA
HO THALES SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
SDG SYNERGIE SA
INF INFOTEL SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
BEN BENETEAU SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
FII LISI SA
GBT GUERBET SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
MONT MONTEA SCA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
AXS ACCSYS TECHNOLOGIES
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
HBH HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
FNTN FREENET AG
LDO LEONARDO SPA
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
AM DASSAULT AVIATION
ALVGO VOGO SA
LAT LATECOERE
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 26/09/2024
“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffrent ma...
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
ORA ORANGE SA
HO THALES SA
SW SODEXO SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
COLR ETABLISSEMENTEN FRANZ COLRUYT N.V.
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
FII LISI SA
NXT NEXT PLC
BAS BASF SE
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
LDO LEONARDO SPA
SIE SIEMENS AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
HAG HENSOLDT AG
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
AM DASSAULT AVIATION
SHEL SHELL PLC
LAT LATECOERE
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 26/09/2024
tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
ORA ORANGE SA
HO THALES SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
SDG SYNERGIE SA
INF INFOTEL SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
BEN BENETEAU SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
FII LISI SA
GBT GUERBET SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
MONT MONTEA SCA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
AXS ACCSYS TECHNOLOGIES
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
HBH HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
FNTN FREENET AG
LDO LEONARDO SPA
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
AM DASSAULT AVIATION
ALVGO VOGO SA
LAT LATECOERE
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ODDO : More users switching provider in France, Italy and the UK
>More consumers are looking to change provider in France, Italy and UK - The Oliver Wyman consultancy published yesterday a survey with 7,000 consumers in five countries (see page 2). These studies are not indisputable but offer additional indicators.Mobile market: according to the survey, the desire to switch operator within 24 months is up sharply in Italy (27%, +9pp), the UK (31%, +6pp) and France (27%, +4pp). No major shifts in Germany (26%, +2pp) or Spain (2...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ODDO : Plus d’envies de résiliations en France, Italie et au Royaume-U...
>Les consommateurs veulent plus bouger en France, Italie et Royaume-Uni - La cabinet Oliver Wyman a publié hier un sondage auprès de 7 000 consommateurs dans 5 pays (Cf. page 2). Ces études ne sont pas incontestables mais offrent des indicateurs de plus.Marché mobile : selon l’étude, la volonté de changer d’opérateur d’ici 24 mois est en nette hausse en Italie (27%, +9pp), au R-U (31%, +6pp) et en France (27%, +4pp). Pas de grand changement en Allemagne (26%, +2p...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- Rafael Bonardell
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 24 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: NEINOR HOMES, OHLA, SOLARIA. IBEX on the cusp of 11,800 points The session in Europe was driven in part by the positive opening in the US, which continues its record trend and seeks to hit a new record high. In the STOXX 600, and after strong sector rotation during the session, Autos and Retail rose the most, with Pharma and Banks being the worst relative performers. On the macro side, in Spain the Govt. will raise GDP’24 growth to 2.7% from the previous 2.4%, in line with the 2.8...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 24 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NEINOR HOMES, OHLA, SOLARIA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS, DHL GROUP, UNICREDIT. El Ibex se queda a las puertas de los 11.800 puntos Jornada europea de menos a más, impulsada en parte por la apertura positiva en EE.UU. que continúa su tendencia de récord y busca renovar máximos históricos. Así en el STOXX 600, y tras bastante rotación sectorial durante la sesión, Autos y Retail fueron los sectores que más subieron, frente a Farma y Bancos que tuvieron el pe...
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
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