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Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/20/2024

Grifols: the board considers that Brookfield’s indicative price undervalues the company Teva: S&P upgrades the rating to BB/positive from BB/positiveElior: Results recovered in 2023-24, exceeding expectations. Debt reduction is making headway as planned.Tereos: Sharp decline in EBITDA in Q2 24/25. The financial position is stable thanks to the generation of FCF.>...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/20/2024

Efforts to revitalise the five brands that make up the Lanvin Group are under way and should pay off in the medium term. However, at this stage of development (critical mass not yet achieved for some brands, negative profitability and cash burn) and in a consumer environment that does not yet point to a rebound, we prefer to remain cautious on the share. We are initiating coverage with a Neutral rating, with a target price of $ 1.80, based on a DCF valuation. - ...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 20/11/2024

Grifols : le conseil d’administration estime que le prix indicatif proposé par Brookfield sous-évalue la sociétéTeva: S&P upgrades the rating to BB/positive from BB/positiveElior: les résultats se sont redressés 2023/24, dépassant les attentes. Le désendettement progresse comme prévu.Tereos : fort repli de l'EBITDA au T2 24/25. La situation financière est stable grâce à la génération de FCF.>...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 20/11/2024

Les efforts de redynamisation sont en cours pour les 5 marques qui constituent Lanvin Group et devraient porter leurs fruits à moyen terme. Toutefois, à ce stade de développement (taille critique encore non atteinte sur certaines marques, rentabilité négative et consommation de cash) et dans un environnement de consommation n’indiquant pas encore de rebond, nous préférons rester encore prudents sur le titre. Nous initions à Neutre, avec un OC à 1.8 $ résultant d’une valorisation par D...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Elior : FY 2023-24 results mixed (better on EBIT but a miss on net inc...

>FY 2023-24 results above at the EBIT level but a miss on net income - Elior reported FY 2023-24 results (October 2023 to September 2024) that beat expectations at the EBIT level but missed on net income. Sales were € 6,053m, in line with the consensus at € 6,043m and up 16% on a reported basis. Organic growth was 5.1%, broadly in line with the consensus at 5.3% (ODDO BHF at 5.4%, guidance of +4-5%). We note a deterioration in the retention rate to 91.2% (vs 92.0% in...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Elior : FY 2023-24 results mixed (better on EBIT but a miss on net inc...

>FY 2023-24 results above at the EBIT level but a miss on net income - Elior reported FY 2023-24 results (October 2023 to September 2024) that beat expectations at the EBIT level but missed on net income. Sales were € 6,053m, in line with the consensus at € 6,043m and up 16% on a reported basis. Organic growth was 5.1%, broadly in line with the consensus at 5.3% (ODDO BHF at 5.4%, guidance of +4-5%). We note a deterioration in the retention rate to 91.2% (vs 92.0% in...

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

TALGO: 9M’24 RESULTS AND CHANGE OF T.P. TO UNDER REVISION (ANÁLISIS BA...

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 151.7 M (-16.5% vs. -2.9% consensus); EBITDA: € 16.8 M (-43.1% vs. -29.5% consensus); Net Profit: € -7.9 M (vs. € 6.9 M consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 497.8 M (+5.8% vs. +11.1% consensus); EBITDA: € 57.7 M (-10.5% vs. -4.3% consensus); Net Profit: € 6.7 M (vs. € 22 M consensus);

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

TALGO: RDOS. 9MESES’24 Y CAMBIO DE P.O. A BAJO REVISIÓN (ANÁLISIS BANC...

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 151,7 M euros (-16,5% vs -2,9% consenso); EBITDA: 16,8 M euros (-43,1% vs -29,5% consenso); BDI: -7,9 M euros (vs 6,9 M euros consenso). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 497,8 M euros (+5,8% vs +11,1% consenso); EBITDA: 57,7 M euros (-10,5% vs -4,3% consenso); BDI: 6,7 M euros (vs 22 M euros consenso).

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Talgo : Q3 2024 results well below expectations prompt the group to lo...

>Q3 2024: Revenues down 17% and EBITDA margin of 11.1% - Talgo yesterday evening reported Q3 2024 results well below expectations.Revenues came in at € 152m (the consensus at € 176m), down 17% on Q3 2023. Over 9M 2024, sales are still up 6%, with the acceleration of ongoing projects (DB, DSB). We believe that the sharp slowdown in Q3 is due to the failure to reach certain milestones on these two projects during the quarter.The EBITDA margin stood at 11.1% (c...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Figeac Aero : Cadences monocouloirs et effet prix tirent la croissance...

>CA T2 en croissance l-f-l de 23.4% mais de 7.5% en sous-jacent - Figeac a publié un CA de 106.4 M€ sur son T2 2024/25, ressortant 13.7% au-dessus de nos attentes. La croissance organique de 23.4%, à première vue en forte accélération par rapport aux quatre derniers trimestres, s’explique par des éléments récurrents mais également par un impact exceptionnel lié à un rééquilibrage des stocks pour un montant de 14 M€, soit l’équivalent de c15.9% de croissance. Du côté ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Figeac Aero : Narrowbody production rates and price effect driving gro...

>Q2 revenues up 23.4% l-f-l but +7.5% on an underlying basis - Figeac posted revenues of € 106.4m for Q2 2024-25, beating our expectations by 13.7%. Organic growth of 23.4%, at first glance showing a marked acceleration on the last four quarters, can be attributed to recurrent factors but also an exceptional impact related to inventory rebalancing for € 14m, or the equivalent of c15.9% of growth. From a recurrent perspective (or around 7.5% l-f-l, still above our fore...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Talgo : Un T3 largement inférieur aux attentes conduit le groupe à rév...

>T3 2024 : CA en recul de ~17% et marge d’EBITDA de 11.1% - Talgo a publié hier soir des résultats T3 2024 largement inférieurs aux attentes.Le chiffre d’affaires atteint 152 M€ (css à 176 M€), en recul de près de 17% vs T3 2023. Sur 9M, le CA est toujours en hausse de 6% avec l’accélération de l’exécution des projets en cours (DB, DSB). Le fort ralentissement du T3 est, selon nous, expliqué par la non-atteinte de certains milestones sur ces deux projets lors du ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Elior : Net redressement de la rentabilité opérationnelle et poursuite...

PARIS LA DÉFENSE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Regulatory News: Ce communiqué de presse contient des éléments multimédias. Voir le communiqué complet ici : Elior Group (Paris:ELIOR) (Euronext Paris – ISIN : FR 0011950732), un des leaders mondiaux de la restauration et des multiservices, publie ses résultats non audités de l’exercice 2023-2024 clos au 30 septembre 2024. La stratégie de transformation et de développement initiée depuis avril 2023 porte ses fruits : Un profil opérationnel fortement amélioré avec un EBITA en progression de +108 millions d'euros (+183%) par rapport à 2022-2023, soit +2...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

OVHcloud : A challenging profile for the stock market

>Overview of our tender to the public share buyback recommendation - We advise shareholders to contribute to the public share buyback at € 9 per share given the risks associated with an even smaller free-float (up to 9% of the share capital), high debt (leverage at 3.1x), limited size (ultra-domination of hyperscalers), a degraded economic situation (in Europe) and still loss-making results (net profit and FCF).Our valuation by DCF model has been set at € 8 per s...

Klaus Ringel
  • Klaus Ringel

Autoneum Holding AG : Delivering on its M&A ambitions in China

>Acquisition of China-based Jiangsu Huanyu Group - Autoneum announced that it has signed an agreement to acquire 70% of the shares of Jiangsu Huanyu Group, a leading automotive supplier for acoustic and thermal management in China with strong ties to major domestic OEMs like BYD, BAIC and GAC. Autoneum plans to continue to operate the company under the Chinese company name, as it wants to be perceived as a domestic supplier to local OEs. Jiangsu Huanyu Group generated...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 20 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, POSSIBLE TAX CHANGES, TALGO. Russia shakes markets The threat of using nuclear weapons by Russia after Ukraine used its long-range missiles on Russian territory led to corrections in European stock markets that eased throughout the session after the Foreign Minister S. Lavrov stressed that Russia does not wish nor expect a nuclear war. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Real Estate and Pharma were the only sectors ending with gains vs. Banks and Automobiles that ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 20 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, GRIFOLS, IMPUESTOS ESPAÑA, TALGO. EUROPA: NOKIA. Rusia agita los mercados La amenaza de uso de armas nucleares por parte de Rusia después de que Ucrania utilizase sus misiles de largo alcance sobre territorio ruso deparó una sesión de caídas en Europa, que fueron moderándose a lo largo de la sesión después de que el ministro de exteriores ruso S. Lavrov remarcase que el país no desea ni espera una guerra nuclear. Así, dentro del STOXX 600...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

ODDO : ABI data (November 2024): trends confirmed

>Update on the macroeconomic and banking situation in Italy - The latest data from the Italian Banking Association (ABI), covering October 2024 confirms the recent trend, with an overall situation confirming its relative resilience in view of the recent indications (GDP, industrial production, confidence climate, etc.) and given uncertainties on the short to medium term. Lending activity confirmed signs of an improvement YTD (notably with regard to households) – ...

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