reports
- Russell Waller
Altice France equity (Neutral, TP: €10.3, -14%) Altice France bonds (E...
The price war at the low end of the French mobile market, which began at the beginning of summer 2024, and which we have written about extensively (HERE, HERE, HERE and HERE), appears to be coming to an end, thanks to some tariff changes that should lead to higher APRUs. We show some new work on tariffs in France in this short report, that should be good for all the MNOs.
- Russell Waller
Altice France equity (Neutral, TP: €10.3, -14%) Altice France bonds (E...
New Altice France debt and equity is now trading. Given the material change in bond terms, and the creation of a new separately traded equity piece, we reassess our rating, and think that at these levels the bonds look pretty fairly valued, and so take the bond rating to Equal weight from Overweight (the old bonds ended up +20% from the lows), and initiate on the equity with a Neutral, as we think that the equity is already implying a high probability of a deal happening, and see minimal underli...
- Russell Waller
Altice France (Overweight) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €52, +39%) Iliad (Equal ...
There have been a few recent reports that the sale process for XpFibre has heated up. It has been suggested that a sale might eventually be pulled and the stake used as a sweetener in any eventual deal; but actually, a sale could also be the first domino in the whole M&A process, as an XpFibre sale would help to ease leverage concerns that Bouygues might have from acquiring SFR. We still think a SFR-Bouygues deal is more likely than not by year end, and that Bouygues is the best way to play this...
- Russell Waller
Orange (Buy, TP: €15.8, +19%) MasOrange (Equal Weight) It’s not all a...
We have been long-term Buyers of Orange, and are pleased about the YTD share price performance (+37% vs the sector +10%). Some of that outperformance is probably due to the prospect of French market repair (France is 56% of the value), but actually it is the Spanish and AME divisions that cause our target to rise to €15.8 from €14.9 post the Q2 results.
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Marc Lavaud
- Olfa Taamallah
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Yan Derocles
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
EO FAURECIA SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
HO THALES SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
ALDEL DELFINGEN INDUSTRY SA
EKI EKINOPS SA
FII LISI SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
BIG BIGBEN INTERACTIVE SA
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
TPS
VASTB ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CON VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
WAF CONZZETA AG
INSD SILTRONIC AG
FACC VERIMATRIX SA
LDO FACC AG
FTG111 LEONARDO SPA
SAE FLATEXDEGIRO AG
CASH SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
GEST PROSEGUR CASH SA
CAF GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
WAVE CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
TMV WAVESTONE SA
NACON TEAMVIEWER AG
HAG NACON SASU
AERO HENSOLDT AG
AM MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
ALLFG DASSAULT AVIATION
LAT ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
R3NK LATECOERE
EXENS RENK GROUP AG
CAN EXOSENS
CANAL+
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Marc Lavaud
- Olfa Taamallah
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Yan Derocles
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
EO FAURECIA SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
HO THALES SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
ALDEL DELFINGEN INDUSTRY SA
EKI EKINOPS SA
FII LISI SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
BIG BIGBEN INTERACTIVE SA
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
TPS
VASTB ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CON VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
WAF CONZZETA AG
SMHN SILTRONIC AG
INSD SUESS MICROTEC AG
FACC VERIMATRIX SA
LDO FACC AG
FTG111 LEONARDO SPA
SAE FLATEXDEGIRO AG
CASH SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
GEST PROSEGUR CASH SA
CAF GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
WAVE CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
TMV WAVESTONE SA
NACON TEAMVIEWER AG
HAG NACON SASU
AERO HENSOLDT AG
AM MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
ALLFG DASSAULT AVIATION
LAT ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
R3NK LATECOERE
EXENS RENK GROUP AG
CAN EXOSENS
CANAL+
- Amira Manai
- Russell Waller
Orange (Buy, TP: €14.9, +14%) Q2 25: EBITDA guidance lifted thanks to...
Orange has reported a solid set of results, with Telco EBITDA c+0.3% ahead of consensus, and has lifted Group EBITDAaL guidance thanks to AME. French KPIs are solid, but French retail SR growth has turned negative y/y. There are some encouraging signs on French front-book low-end mobile pricing in July (HERE), but clearly overall conditions remain difficult (albeit Orange is doing a good job of off-setting those difficulties at the EBITDAaL level in France).
- Amira Manai
- Russell Waller
Altice International (Equal Weight) Sale process Hot-ting up in Israe...
Bezeq has confirmed that its subsidiary, Pelephone, has made an offer for Altice International’s Israeli business, Hot Mobile, HERE, for NIS2bn (c€500m). In addition, it seems that Cellcom and Hot have sold their stakes in IBC, HERE. Cellcom has sold its 23% stake for NIS520m (c€130m), and we would assume that Altice has sold its 23% stake for the same amount. In this report we look at the implications of the sales for ATCI lenders.
- Christophe Chaput
- Amira Manai
- Gautier Le Bihan
- Christophe Chaput
- Amira Manai
- Gautier Le Bihan
- Russell Waller
Altice France (Overweight) Iliad (Equal Weight) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €55...
There have been several recent articles about French M&A. The latest article from TMT finance yesterday has some fairly specific details, and most importantly, seems to suggest that the price demanded for SFR is now approaching what we would see as fair value.
- Russell Waller
- Jeremy Garnier
ODDO : ODDO BHF Nextcap Forum: Feedback from day two
Feedback of the companies present at the ODDO BHF Nextcap Forum Company Country Market cap. (m) Company Country Market cap. (m) Accsys Technologies € 124 Hoffmann Green € 62 Afyren € 72 Hornbach € 1 451 Altri € 1 058 IDI € 537 AMG € 550 Implenia CHF 973 AmRest PLN 3 544 Jacquet Metals € 494 Arcure € 29 Kloeckner & Co € 653 Arverne 194 Knaustabbert € 144 Austriacard Holdings € 188 Lna Santé € 270 Bastide € 218 Medincell € 398 Befesa € 1 116 Nacon € 63 CAF € 1 649 N...
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
ALTR ALTRI SGPS SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
EKI EKINOPS SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
ALCAR CARMAT SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
QDT QUADIENT SA
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
IDIP INSTITUT DE DEVELOPPEMENT INDUSTRIEL SCA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
PAL
RIEN PALFINGER AG
AMG RIETER HOLDING AG
EDR AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
ZAG EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
POST ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
INSD OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
FACC VERIMATRIX SA
AXS FACC AG
HBH ACCSYS TECHNOLOGIES
TRE HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
SMCP TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
BFSA SMCP SA
VOS BEFESA SA
CAF VOSSLOH AG
MEDCL CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
EAT MEDINCELL SA
GRE AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ALCUR GRENERGY RENOVABLES
FQT ARCURE SA
CLA FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
S30 CLARANOVA SE
ALHGR SOLUTIONS 30 SE
NACON HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
KTA NACON SASU
UPG KNAUS TABBERT
ALAFY UNIFIEDPOST GROUP
FORSE AFYREN
WAGA FORSEE POWER SA
EAPI WAGA ENERGY SA
ACAG EUROAPI
ARVEN AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
ORP ARVERNE GROUP SA
LOCAL ORPEA
SOLOCAL GROUP
- Jeremy Garnier
ODDO : ODDO BHF Nextcap Forum 2025: Feedback
Our 14th edition of the ODDO BHF Nextcap Forum took place on 11 June in Paris, and on 12 June virtually. 96 companies and 170 investors were present for more than 700 meetings organized. Overall, we noted a still cautious tone from companies, with limited visibility on a solid rebound in a persistently uncertain market environment (geopolitical situation, US politics, etc.), even if there are some signs of recovery and certain sectors remain very well positioned (leisure, energy, defence). At th...
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
INF INFOTEL SA
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
ALTR ALTRI SGPS SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
AUB AUBAY SA
EKI EKINOPS SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
MRN MERSEN SA
FII LISI SA
LSS LECTRA SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
ALCAR CARMAT SA
QDT QUADIENT SA
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
IDIP INSTITUT DE DEVELOPPEMENT INDUSTRIEL SCA
DEZ DEUTZ AG
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
PAL
RIEN PALFINGER AG
AMG RIETER HOLDING AG
EDR AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
ALBFR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
ZAG SIDETRADE SA
POST ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
FACC OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
AXS FACC AG
HBH ACCSYS TECHNOLOGIES
TRE HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
SMCP TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
BFSA SMCP SA
VOS BEFESA SA
CAF VOSSLOH AG
MEDCL CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
EAT MEDINCELL SA
WAVE AMREST HOLDINGS SE
GRE WAVESTONE SA
THEP GRENERGY RENOVABLES
ALCUR THERMADOR HOLDING SA
FQT ARCURE SA
CLA FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
S30 CLARANOVA SE
ALHGR SOLUTIONS 30 SE
NACON HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
DSC1 NACON SASU
KTA DUTCH STAR C SHAR
UPG KNAUS TABBERT
ALAFY UNIFIEDPOST GROUP
FORSE AFYREN
WAGA FORSEE POWER SA
EAPI WAGA ENERGY SA
ACAG EUROAPI
ARVEN AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
ORP ARVERNE GROUP SA
VIRI ORPEA
LOCAL VIRIDIEN
SOLOCAL GROUP
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jeremy Garnier
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
INF INFOTEL SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
ALTR ALTRI SGPS SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
AUB AUBAY SA
EKI EKINOPS SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
MRN MERSEN SA
FII LISI SA
LSS LECTRA SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
ALCAR CARMAT SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
QDT QUADIENT SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
IDIP INSTITUT DE DEVELOPPEMENT INDUSTRIEL SCA
DEZ DEUTZ AG
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
PAL
RIEN PALFINGER AG
AMG RIETER HOLDING AG
MONC AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDR MONCLER SPA
ALBFR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
ZAG SIDETRADE SA
POST ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
LTA OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
BC ALTAMIR ACT PORTEUR
CFR BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
FACC COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
AXS FACC AG
HBH ACCSYS TECHNOLOGIES
DKG HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
TRE DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
FTG111 TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
BP. FLATEXDEGIRO AG
SMCP BP P.L.C.
BFSA SMCP SA
VOS BEFESA SA
CAF VOSSLOH AG
MEDCL CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
EAT MEDINCELL SA
WAVE AMREST HOLDINGS SE
GRE WAVESTONE SA
THEP GRENERGY RENOVABLES
ALCUR THERMADOR HOLDING SA
FQT ARCURE SA
CLA FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
S30 CLARANOVA SE
ALHGR SOLUTIONS 30 SE
NACON HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
DSC1 NACON SASU
KTA DUTCH STAR C SHAR
UPG KNAUS TABBERT
ALAFY UNIFIEDPOST GROUP
FORSE AFYREN
WAGA FORSEE POWER SA
SHEL WAGA ENERGY SA
EAPI SHELL PLC
ACAG EUROAPI
ARVEN AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
ORP ARVERNE GROUP SA
VIRI ORPEA
LOCAL VIRIDIEN
SOLOCAL GROUP
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jeremy Garnier
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
INF INFOTEL SA
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
OMV OMV AG
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
ALTR ALTRI SGPS SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
AUB AUBAY SA
EKI EKINOPS SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
MRN MERSEN SA
FII LISI SA
LSS LECTRA SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
ALCAR CARMAT SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
QDT QUADIENT SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
IDIP INSTITUT DE DEVELOPPEMENT INDUSTRIEL SCA
DEZ DEUTZ AG
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
PAL
RIEN PALFINGER AG
AMG RIETER HOLDING AG
MONC AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDR MONCLER SPA
ALBFR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
ZAG SIDETRADE SA
POST ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
BC OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
CFR BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
FACC COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
AXS FACC AG
HBH ACCSYS TECHNOLOGIES
TRE HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
BP. TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
SMCP BP P.L.C.
BFSA SMCP SA
VOS BEFESA SA
CAF VOSSLOH AG
MEDCL CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
EAT MEDINCELL SA
WAVE AMREST HOLDINGS SE
GRE WAVESTONE SA
THEP GRENERGY RENOVABLES
ALCUR THERMADOR HOLDING SA
FQT ARCURE SA
CLA FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
S30 CLARANOVA SE
ALHGR SOLUTIONS 30 SE
NACON HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
DSC1 NACON SASU
CPR DUTCH STAR C SHAR
KTA DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
UPG KNAUS TABBERT
ALAFY UNIFIEDPOST GROUP
FORSE AFYREN
WAGA FORSEE POWER SA
SHEL WAGA ENERGY SA
EAPI SHELL PLC
ACAG EUROAPI
ARVEN AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
ORP ARVERNE GROUP SA
VIRI ORPEA
LOCAL VIRIDIEN
SOLOCAL GROUP
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