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Antoine Lebourgeois
  • Antoine Lebourgeois

Ekinops adds SSE capabilities with Olfeo buyout

Ekinops has signed an agreement to acquire Olfeo, a French cybersecurity software vendor focused on Security Service Edge (SSE) solutions. The deal adds EUR6.3m in ARR (>20% EBITDA margin) and is fully cash-funded. While the price remains undisclosed, Ekinops’ post-transaction net cash position

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €15.4, +24%) Q1 25: Solid numbers, guidance reiterat...

Orange has reported a solid set of results, with Telco revenue and EBITDA in-line with consensus expectations; the important French SR trends are slightly weaker (but ahead of consensus expectations), but all guidance for Group and divisions (including France) has been reiterated.

Amira Manai ... (+2)
  • Amira Manai
  • Gautier Le Bihan
Antoine Lebourgeois
  • Antoine Lebourgeois

Ekinops: still no breakout in Q1

Ekinops has reported Q1 2025 revenue of EUR28.5m, up 1% yoy, extending the run of quarterly prints within the EUR28–30m range, with no discernible inflection. Underlying dynamics remain uneven: North America declined 20% yoy, offset by a 21% rebound in EMEA; Access Solutions rose 11%, while Optical

Amira Manai ... (+2)
  • Amira Manai
  • Gautier Le Bihan
Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

EU TELCOS: What a recessionary scenario might look like

When the news of the Trump tariffs first hit the tapes, we didn’t write anything initially as a) we didn’t think we had much of value to add to the thousands of column inches already written on the topic, and b) the direct impact from the tariffs to the EU telecoms sector is minimal – resulting in relative outperformance for the group over the past few days.

James Ratzer ... (+2)
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

M&A policy update – thoughts from Brussels and London with Pablo Asbo

It’s pretty clear that in-market M&A is a hot topic which we addressed in more detail in our recent sector M&A note. One of the reasons why speculation is rising about further deals is twofold we think: 1. Recent remedies in UK and Spain were non-intrusive in a historical context, making the deals attractive on a net basis; and 2. Politicians seem to be becoming more amenable to M&A, most notably Mario Draghi, and some are hoping that regulatory/legislative support will follow.

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Baptiste Lebacq
Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Baptiste Lebacq
Amira Manai ... (+2)
  • Amira Manai
  • Gautier Le Bihan
Antoine Lebourgeois
  • Antoine Lebourgeois

Ekinops: Cost discipline shields margins as growth recovery takes shap...

Despite topline softness (FY24 revenue down 9% yoy), Ekinops delivered an FY24 EBITDA margin of 15.3% (+90bps yoy), driven as expected by a favourable business mix effect on gross margin (54.8%, +270bps yoy) and stricter-than-expected cost discipline, with opex down 7% yoy. Looking ahead, 2025 is s

Amira Manai ... (+2)
  • Amira Manai
  • Gautier Le Bihan
Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €15.7, +35%) Altice France (SFR) (Most Preferred) Ili...

We were in Barcelona for the MWC this week. Please reach out if you would like to discuss any of the myriad of announcements made there. The biggest Telcos seemed to have focused their fire on in-market consolidation, with comments by the CEOs of Orange, DT and Telefonica.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €15.1, +43%) Q4 24: EBITDA beat, some good EBITDA/FC...

Orange has reported a good set of results, with Telco EBITDA c+1.2% ahead of consensus, and has lifted FCF guidance for 2025 by c3%, and guided to EBITDA c1% ahead of consensus for FY25.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €15.1, +48%) Altice France (Most Preferred) Iliad (Eq...

Last week we reported in our tariff tracker, HERE, that some prices had risen in France. Since then, there have been further positive changes, including Iliad yesterday and Bouygues today, which we outline in this short report.

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