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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LPP PW; EEMEA Macro; TRESTATE GA; MOH GA; EUR PW; TXT PW; ...

HEADLINES: • LPP: mediocre 4Q24 – EBIT 4-5% below expectations, but decent start to the year; FY25E guidance broadly maintained, and FY26-27E guidance of stable margins, despite major sales growth acceleration POSITIVE • EEMEA macro: US reciprocal tariff effects • Trade Estates: strong 2024 results POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line with the consensus, but net income weak NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 4Q24 in line with the prelims NEUTRAL • Text: 4Q24-25 (calendar 1Q25) prelimi...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MAVI TI; TL Banks; GPW PW; BFT PW; MOL HB; EU Macro; DNP P...

HEADLINES: • Mavi: a mispriced story with solid fundamentals (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Turkish banks: weather vs. climate (reinitiating on Akbank, Garanti, Isbank and Yapi Kredi with HOLDs) • Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY) • Benefit Systems: March sports cards addition surprises positively, mostly in Poland POSITIVE • MOL: announces dividend proposal of HUF 275/share NEUTRAL • EU macro: cohesion funds can be deployed for defence, housing and energy investments • Dino...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Türkiye in the red, again

EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
7203 SHOPER SA
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ALDEL DELFINGEN INDUSTRY SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
VRAP VRANKEN-POMMERY MONOPOLE SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MCPHY MCPHY ENERGY SA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
S30 SOLUTIONS 30 SE
VK VALLOUREC SA
KTA KNAUS TABBERT
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
TEN TENARIS S.A.
Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ALDEL DELFINGEN INDUSTRY SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
VRAP VRANKEN-POMMERY MONOPOLE SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MCPHY MCPHY ENERGY SA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
S30 SOLUTIONS 30 SE
VK VALLOUREC SA
KTA KNAUS TABBERT
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
TEN TENARIS S.A.
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (1 April 2025)

HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: bottom-line miss in 4Q24, on higher costs, but proposed DPS in line with expectations NEUTRAL • AROBS Transilvania Software: publishes its 2025 budget POSITIVE • MedLife: publishes its 2025 budget NEGATIVE • CCC: new financing agreement, extending factoring line POSITIVE • DataWalk: sale to Coöperatieve Rabobank; total contract value reaches PLN 66.1m POSITIVE • Orlen: 2024 consolidated results to be affected by one-offs NEUTRAL • Poland macro: preliminary Mar...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Banks; ACP PW; INPST NA; KTY PW; HSBK LI; TITC GA; GPP ...

HEADLINES: • Polish banks: pricing and believing (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • Asseco Poland: 4Q24 review – net profit up 9% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • InPost: 4Q24 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA growth guidance in the mid-20%s, but a slow start to the year POSITIVE • Kety: solid full 4Q24 results, with EBITDA 12% above preliminaries POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 4Q24 review and 2025E guidance highlights • Titan Cem...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (26 March 2025)

HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong delivery in 4Q24, due mainly to the lower costs booked POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q24 EBIT 7% above our forecast; The Witcher 4 to be released after 2026E NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: 4Q24 results – below expectations NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: earnings call takeaways – focus on flagship games’ monetisation improvement in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Eurowag: takeaways from the 2H24 earnings call NEUTRAL...

Philip Hettich
  • Philip Hettich

One United Properties : Bucharest Real Estate developer available at a...

We view the >50% drop in the share price over the past year as an opportunity to buy into a profitable and growing Bucharest real estate developer at a depressed valuation, before a positive inflection on EPS and BVPS growth (CAGR of 8% and 14%, respectively, until 2027) and we reiterate our Outperform rating. We have edged-up our target price to RON 35 from RON 34 previously.

Research Team
  • Research Team
CEZ CEZ AS
LPP LPP S.A. ... (+8)

WOOD Daily: WPL PW; ALR PW; TEN PW; WPS LN; PL Retail; CEZ CP; PL Macr...

HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 17% yoy, 8% above the consensus POSITIVE • Alior Bank: 2027E targets – PLN 2.6bn of net profit; ROE above 18%; payout ratio above 50% POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: mixed newsflow – solid 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA, strong dividend recommendation, but disappointing trading update POSITIVE • Eurowag: 2H24 operating results in line, special dividend announced NEUTRAL • Polish retail: Zabka's 4Q24 below the consensus NEGATIVE • CEZ: up...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Banks; DAT PW; TL Macro; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; GTC...

HEADLINES: • Polish banks: Financial Stability Committee mentions sanction of free credit risk for consumer loans portfolio NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q24 results – sales up 19% yoy, to PLN 9.09m POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: putting the CBRT’s emergency rate hike into context • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (17-23 March) • GTC: solvency of controlling investor in question, after State Audit Office of Hungary's report • Banca Transilvania: dividend proposal from the 2024 profits NEUTRA...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BFT PW; JMT PL; OPAP GA; TPE PW; TL Macro; ALE PW; INPST N...

HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: pumping iron (stays BUY) • Jeronimo Martins: small beat in 4Q24, Biedronka margin erosion slows down; tough market environment continues in 2025 POSITIVE • OPAP: the beat goes on, in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Tauron: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA 45% above our estimate, on strong Generation and Distribution, and lower loss in Supply POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: assessment of recent political events • Allegro vs. InPost: our take on the companies' two calls • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key ...

Lukasz Wachelko ... (+3)
  • Lukasz Wachelko
  • CFA
  • Maria Mickiewicz

Benefit Systems: pumping iron (stays BUY)

We reiterate our BUY on Benefit Systems (BFT). Our new 12-month price target (PT) of PLN 4,300 (from PLN 3,400) offers a strong 47% potential upside. We maintain our view of sound growth prospects for Poland, with a 3Y adjusted EBIT CAGR of 11%. The four established foreign markets could add c.100k cards annually in the coming three years, on our estimates, vs. 110-130k for Poland. We forecast a 3Y adjusted EBIT CAGR of 29% for the four markets, although 2025E may remain under pressure from the ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
STF STEF
MERY MERCIALYS SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
LPP LPP S.A.
DLG DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ALHGR HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
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