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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPL PW; CDR PW; RICHT HB; RO Macro; SNP RO; SNG RO; ELPE G...

HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 4Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2026E guidance POSITIVE • CD Projekt: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – Complete Edition available on Xbox Game Pass on 19 February NEUTRAL • Richter: announces R&D collaboration for endometriosis drug candidate NEUTRAL • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • OMV Petrom / Romgaz: Romania to postpone gas price liberalisation until 2027E NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 4Q25 preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ En...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DOC AV; PKN PW; PZU PW; TXT PW; MOL HB; H2O RO; MTLN GA; M...

HEADLINES: • DO & CO: mixed 3Q FY26 P&L results; strong FCFF generation, double vs. last year NEUTRAL • Orlen: acquires stake in the Afrodite discovery in Norway NEUTRAL • PZU: 4Q25E results preview (due on 26 February) • Text: 3Q25-26E preview – 28% yoy EBITDA decline expected (due on 26 February) • MOL: to explore for oil and gas in Libya with TPAO and Repsol POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: preliminary 4Q25 total volumes sold 18% above our estimate POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: secures access ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EAT PW; SFG RO; INPST NA; MIL PW; PGE PW; APR PW; DVL PW; ...

HEADLINES: • AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera downgraded to HOLD) • InPost: EUR 15.6 offer from FedEx, Advent, A&R and PPF consortium POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: solid 4Q25 delivery, beat due to tax differences NEUTRAL • PGE: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: January sales growth drops to 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Develia: 4Q25E preview – 30% EBITDA drop, following margin normalisation (due on 3 April) • 4iG: 4Q25E preview – 4%...

Miguel Dias
  • Miguel Dias

WOOD Flash – BRD-GSG: dividend payout of 50% proposed, and notes from ...

BRD-GSG is proposing a 50% dividend payout ratio from its 2025 net profit, below the 60% we assumed back in 2025 and implying a c.18% lower DPS for 2025 than we expected (RON 1.11 vs. RON 1.36). At the current price levels, this implies a 3.8% dividend yield. This proposal is subject to approval at the GSM, to be held on 29 April.

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Société Générale earnings, Canadian covereds

Société Générale earnings get a boost from a profitability uplift. Friday's focus: Canadian covered bonds – good on issuer ratings and the strengthening of Canada's covered bond regime

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Société Générale earnings, Canadian covereds

Société Générale earnings get a boost from a profitability uplift. Friday's focus: Canadian covered bonds – good on issuer ratings and the strengthening of Canada's covered bond regime

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; TPE PW; ENA PW; WPL PW; CZ Macro; MTELEKOM HB; BR...

HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: neutral 2025 results and DPS; 2026E dividend payout ratio trimmed and no major upside surprise in the 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Tauron / Enea: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview – a weak quarter, with a 10% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA drop expected (due on 24 March) • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 25 February) • BRD-GSG: 4Q25 net profit...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Long majors vs short LCC : le choix de 2026

Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Long legacy carriers vs short LCC: the choice for 2026

For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LPP PW; PL Macro; BDX PW; EBS AV; SNG RO; RO Macro; HTO GA...

HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

Halfway out of the turbulence

Summary We leave our TP at 20.0 GBP and reiterate our Buy recommendation, reflecting the ongoing restructuring story. Following the fiscal Q3/26 conference call held on 29 January, we repeatedly concluded that the fruitful strategic overhaul is under way. The management is building back confidence, so that’s good news for value investors. The problem is that they have to manage high-capacity growth (+24% seats and +30% ASK) during fiscal Q2/27. Key question remains how the market will be able ...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Raiffeisen beats consensus on lower costs and impairments

Key message: Raiffeisen beat market consensus on ex-Russia profit, delivering EUR 416m versus EUR 325m consensus, driven mainly by lower operating costs, lower Polish FX-related expenses, and lower loan-loss impairments, partly offset by significantly weaker other operating income. The lower cost base and reduced impairments point to efficiency improvements and a healthier-than-expected credit environment, reflected in low default levels. Raiffeisen proposed a EUR 1.60 dividend, slightly a...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Banks; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; TEN PW; MUR PW; MONET CP...

HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...

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