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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MCOVB SS; Türkiye macro; KRKG SV; WIZZ LN; EXAE GA; SAB1L ...

HEADLINES: • Medicover: 2Q25 results - a decent beat on operating leverage POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT surprises with a bold cut • Krka: 2Q25 in line with prelims, guidance update in November NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 1QF26 results - another miss, but focus on a planned shift to slower growth • Athens Exchange Group: 2Q25E preview (due on 28 July) • Artea Bankas: 2Q25E preview (due on 31 July) • BRD-GSG: 2Q25E preview (due on 31 July) • Coca-Cola Içecek – 2Q25E earnings preview (due on 11 August) • ...

Jovan Sikimic
  • Jovan Sikimic

ODDO : Sailing through hard times

We are resuming coverage of Romanian banks with an Outperform rating and a TP of RON 32.3 on Banca Transilvania (TLV) and a Neutral stance with a TP of RON 20.3 on BRD. We believe that current market prices largely factor in the downside risks of the upcoming fiscal consolidation package even beyond 2026. Despite BRD's increasing appetite for growth, we favour TLV due to its effective growth through its M&A strategy, higher long-term ROE potential and more attractive valuation metrics.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ASELS TI; RO Macro; WIZZ LN; PEO PW; GPP PW; LAMDA GA; MON...

HEADLINES: • Aselsan: to tap DIRCM market POSITIVE • Romania macro: Government survives vote of no confidence, as expected • Wizz Air: to exit Abu Dhabi by the end of the summer • Bank Pekao: to book PLN 417m of extra provisions related to various legal risks in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl at 395,000 in 1H25, flat yoy NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: completes early repayment of EUR 230m retail bond NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 24 July) • Bank Millenn...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: RO Banks; KOMB CP; MONET CP; PCO PW; BELA GA; PL Utilities...

HEADLINES: • Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania stays BUY, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays HOLD) • Pepco Group: 3Q25 revenues of New Pepco up 8% yoy, in line with expectations; FY25E guidance maintained; EUR 50m buyback NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H25 sales up by a solid 8% yoy, as largely expected NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: Ministry of State Asset...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania ...

While the macro outlook in Romania may not be the most inviting over the next few years, due to the budget consolidation efforts that Romania must undertake to comply with the EC targets and avoid being downgraded to non-investment grade, we remain fairly constructive on Banca Transilvania (TLV), while less so on BRD-GSG. Despite some pressure on margins, due to rate cuts by the ECB, we expect both banks’ NIMs to expand mildly in 2025E and, even though the tax burden is increasing and we see hig...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD)

We have downgraded Komercni Banka to HOLD (from Buy), and we set our updated 12M price target (PT) at CZK 1,108 (up from CZK 959/share), 7% upside. We see the c.9% annual dividend yield as the key return for shareholders in the next 12 months. We believe that the high yield should be sustainable over the next two years, as we have prolonged our assumption of a 100% dividend payout ratio by one year, beyond management’s explicit current guidance. Komercni Banka is trading at our 2025-26E P/Es of ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: RO Macro; RO Banks; EME Macro/Strategy – PL; PL Macro; TXT...

HEADLINES: • Romania macro: discussing a new fiscal package with the EU • Romanian banks: government to increase tax on gross revenues to 4% NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy – Poland: bigger, happier but also more divided • Poland macro: MPC reduces the policy rate by 25bps • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) preliminary results – MRR of USD 7.17m (up 0.7% qoq, up 1.4% yoy); 928 net LiveChat customers outflow NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: guiding for PLN 33m outflow related to the 2018-19 increased fees; PLN 50-...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: rebound in Türkiye

EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
BELA JUMBO S.A.
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
VRC VERCOM SA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO SHOPER SA
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
BOROUGE BOROUGE
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EMEA Airlines; RO Banks; MOL HB; GSPARK HB; CEZ CP; SNP RO...

HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)

Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Capital/It's getting hot in here

We take a look at the broad developments in euro-denominated AT1 markets. So far this year the tight trading levels have reflected as banks continuing to remain very active in primary markets. With the uncertain geopolitical landscape, we would remain selective on issuers and in terms of bonds.

Lenzing AG: 1 director

A director at Lenzing AG bought 18,180 shares at 27.630EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...

Patrick Steiner
  • Patrick Steiner

Lenzing : Still not out of the woods…

We downgrade to Underperform (Neutral) and reduce our target price to € 20 (€ 33). Lenzing’s substantial investments, totaling more than € 3.3bn since 2017, increased the group’s net financial debt from € 119m in 2017 to € 2.0bn in 2024, while EBITDA fell by c. 20%. Lower volume demand, pricing pressure and high input costs led to a further increase of leverage (c. 5x 2024 net debt/EBITDA, excl. hybrid bond) and a massive earnings deterioration in 2022-24. Despite the capital increase in 2023, s...

Emira Sagaama ... (+3)
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Jeremy Garnier
  • Steven Boumans
Emira Sagaama ... (+3)
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Jeremy Garnier
  • Steven Boumans
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