HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: value is (sometimes) relative (stays BUY) • Kazakhstan macro: State of the Nation Address sets grounds for new constitutional reform and ambitious digitalisation agenda • PGE: 2Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: August sales growth decelerates to a mere 2% yoy NEGATIVE • Aselsan: massive domestic contract win POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: wins multi-billion CZK tender for new generators at Temelin POSITIVE • MOL: announces discovery of an oil fie...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
We have updated our financial model to reflect recent macroeconomic developments, setting a 2026 year-end ex-dividend target price of 0.790 RON, representing a 9.0% upside including the anticipated 0.020 RON special dividend following the 2024 fiscal year (regular dividend has been already paid out) and total dividend of 0.068 RON following the 2025 fiscal year. Consequently, we change our recommendation to Neutral from Accumulate for OMV Petrom.
HEADLINES: • Tupras: enjoying life in the margins (stays BUY) • Kruk: 2Q25 beat, on a positive tax balance, lower financial costs and a drop in the cost to collect ratio POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 24% yoy, 6% above the consensus; weak 2H25E outlook NEGATIVE • Enea: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA 15% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply and better Generation; PLN 2.8bn capex, including wind farm acquisitions POSITIVE • Gentoo Media: 2Q25 financial...
Banca Transilvania (TLV) reported its 2Q25 results this morning (26 August), posting shareholder net profit of RON 1,087m (+10% yoy), a small (4%) miss vs. our expectations. The NII and NFC were below expectations, but offset partially by a better other income delivery. Costs were in line, and the provisions booked were the major source of the delta, but were also offset partially by the lower net profit attributable to minorities. All-in-all, we view the results as slightly negative, due to the...
HEADLINES: • Echo Investment: sells 5.3k Resi4Rent units to TAG POSITIVE • Orlen: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 August) NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25E results preview (due on 22 August) NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 2Q25E results preview (due on 28 August) • Short News (PCF)
HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: multi-sector story (BUY - transfer of coverage) • BIM: solid operating results overshadowed by bottom-line miss in 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Sok Marketler Ticaret: bottom line misses expectations in 2Q25 NEGATIVE • Kalekim: 2Q25 – strong set of results POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 2Q25 – eyeing +6% EBITDA margin for 2H25E POSITIVE • Romgaz: 2Q25 results – better than our forecasts POSITIVE • Romania macro: GDP heading into a tough 2H • DIGI Communications: key takeawa...
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: unjustifiably expensive (downgraded to SELL) • PKO BP: very solid 2Q25; our ambitious forecasts seem achievable; market valuation appears to be pricing it in NEUTRAL • Elbit Systems: 2Q25 results – strong operating performance and a big contract win in Europe • Migros: 2Q25 results – bottom line misses expectations NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q25 – weaker margins yoy, as expected • Logo Yazilim: 2Q25 results – in line; FY25E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Ignitis Gro...
• The company reported clean CCS operating profit of RON 1,188 mn, representing a 6% decline QoQ and a 14% decline YoY. However, it outperformed the consensus estimate of RON 1,111 mn, exceeding it by 7%, mainly due to stronger-than-expected performance in the E&P segment. The results were significantly boosted by a one-off litigation settlement, which increased EBITDA and EBIT by RON 200 mn. The outperformance was even more pronounced at the net profit level, further supported by RON 170 mn in ...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: recovery on the horizon (stays BUY) • OTP Bank: books solid 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 2Q25 highlights – on track, with revised down guidance, could start buying back stock in 2026E • Elm: 2Q25 conference call takeaways – organic growth guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Theon International: to acquire KAPPA Optronics of Germany POSITIVE • Titan: to acquire 80% of leading concrete solutions provider in Southeastern Europe with Molins POSITIVE • Allegro: buyback price of PL...
Following the AGM‘s approval on 25 April, Banca Transilvania (TLV) increased its share capital by RON 1,734,423,790 by issuing 173,442,379 new shares at a nominal value of RON 10/share on 18 July. The increase was carried out through the capitalisation of reserves from the 2024 net profit. Therefore, we have adjusted our 12M price target (PT) of RON 40.16/share for TLV to RON 33.77/share. There are no changes in our earnings estimates or valuation for the company.
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