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Maria Paz Ojeda
  • Maria Paz Ojeda

MAPFRE: FY2025 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

4Q'25 vs. 4Q'24 Results Premiums: € 6.761 Bn (+2.6% vs. +2.5% BS(e) and +2.0% consensus); Net Profit: € 250.0 M (+0.8% vs. -18.4% BS(e) and +9.7% consensus); FY2025 vs. FY2024 Results Premiums: € 29.145 Bn (+3.3% vs. +3.3% BS(e) and +3.2% consensus); Net Profit: € 1.079 Bn (+19.6% vs. +14.3% BS(e) and +22.1% consensus);

Maria Paz Ojeda
  • Maria Paz Ojeda

MAPFRE: RDOS. 2025 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 4T'25 vs 4T'24: Primas: 6.761 M euros (+2,6% vs +2,5% BS(e) y +2,0% consenso); BDI: 250,0 M euros (+0,8% vs -18,4% BS(e) y +9,7% consenso); Rdos. 2025 vs 2024: Primas: 29.145 M euros (+3,6% vs +3,3% BS(e) y +3,2% consenso); BDI: 1.079 M euros (+19,6% vs +14,3% BS(e) y +22,1% consenso).

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 09 FEBRERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 4T’25. IDEAS DESTACA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: MAPFRE, TALGO. EUROPA: DANONE, UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Continúa la volatilidad en las bolsas Semana de volatilidad en las bolsas europeas tras los vaivenes en las materias primas y las dudas sobre las valoraci...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 09 FEBRUARY + 4Q’25 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO ...

NEWS SUMMARY: MAPFRE, TALGO. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets remain volatile It was a volatile week on European stock markets after the ups and downs in basic materials and doubts about the valuation of AI companies. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Food and Telecoms (tra...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Long majors vs short LCC : le choix de 2026

Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Long legacy carriers vs short LCC: the choice for 2026

For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

INFORME SECTORIAL AUTOPISTAS EUROPA: SEGUIMOS VIENDO CATALIZADORES (AN...

Seguimos viendo catalizadores. Nuestra favorita es Ferrovial. A pesar de un entorno de crecimiento económico limitado e inflación a la baja, seguimos viendo catalizadores. Ferrovial (P.O. 65,0 euros/acc; +13% potencial) es nuestra favorita por las favorables perspectivas de sus Managed Lanes y 407ETR (especialmente a nivel de tarifas), su mayor sensibilidad a tipos y mejor posicionamiento de cara a la licitación de Managed Lanes. En Sacyr (P.O. 4,60 euros/acc; +15% potencial) estamos positivos p...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 05 FEBRERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 4T’25. PREVIEWS (ANÁ...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ARCELORMITTAL, IAG, INDRA, SANTANDER, SECTOR AUTOPISTAS. EUROPA: ASML, BNP. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Estabilización de los mercados El Ibex no tiene techo Jornada positiva en las bolsas europeas de la mano de los resultad...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 05 FEBRUARY + 4Q’25 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...

NEWS SUMMARY: ARCELORMITTAL, HIGHWAY SECTOR, IAG, INDRA, SANTANDER. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Ibex continues to climb It was a positive session for European stock markets thanks to business results and despite mounting tension in Iran and the drops in the technology sector. In the STOXX 600, Chemi...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 02 FEBRUARY + 4Q’25 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...

NEWS SUMMARY: FERROVIAL, NATURGY, REPSOL. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Ibex hits new record highs Last week was marked by the earnings season in both Europe and the US, and the geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran did not prevent the Ibex from hitting new record highs. In the STOXX 600, the ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 02 FEBRERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 4T’25. PREVIEWS (ANÁ...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, NATURGY, REPSOL. EUROPA: N/A. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Nuevos máximos históricos del Ibex Semana marcada por la temporada de resultados y las tensiones geopolíticas entre EE.UU. e Irán lo que no impidió ver nu...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 19 JANUARY + 4Q’25 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVI...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, GREENING, INDRA, MAPFRE, MERLIN PROPERTIES, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Between the US results season and geopolitics European stock markets had a transitional week with mixed performance, marked by the geopolitical situation in Greenland/Iran and the start of the resu...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 19 ENERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA 4T’25. IDEAS DESTACADAS Y PREVI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GREENING, INDRA, MAPFRE, MERLIN PROPERTIES, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Entre la temporada de resultados en EE.UU. y la geopolítica Las bolsas europeas tuvieron una semana de transición, con un c...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 14 ENERO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: MAPFRE. EUROPA: ESSILORLUXOTTICA. Arranca la temporada de resultados en EE.UU. Estabilidad en las bolsas europeas en el arranque de la temporada de resultados de EE.UU. y con D. Trump arengando a continuar las protestas en Irán. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron Energía (impulsado por la subida del Brent) y R. Básicos mientras que Construcción (lastrado por rebaja de recomendación de una casa de análisis) y Telecomunicaciones registraron ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 14 JANUARY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: MAPFRE. US results season kicks off European stock markets remained stable at the start of the results season in the US, with Trump calling for continued protests in Iran. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Energy (driven by the rising Brent prices) and Basic Materials, whereas Construction (dragged down by recommendation downgrade by a broker) and Telecoms saw the biggest corrections. On the macro side, in the US December’s inflation remained, as expected, at the ...

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